Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.</li>
</ul>


PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US listed China companies.
The Hong Kong visit was on the back of the 26th Aug 2022 announcement by PCAOB and CSRC that they had entered into an agreement with US authorities for access.
In this note, we'll talk about the latest developments, possible outcomes and implications.


China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Shouhui’s business model does not have high barriers, with weak ability to resist risks.For investors, this is a bet on the industry's prospects and a test of the management's ability.</li>
<li>The “unified reporting and underwriting” policy has become the turning point in this industry. If financial performance continues to deteriorate, Shouhui may undergo business restructuring or seek M&amp;As.</li>
<li>Due to increasing competition, decreasing commissions, disintermediation trend, tightening policy environment, we are not optimistic about the outlook of Shouhui. The valuation of Shouhui would be lower than peers.</li>
</ul>


Shouhui’s business model does not have high barriers, with weak ability to resist risks.For investors, this is a bet on the industry's prospects and a test of the management's ability.
The “unified reporting and underwriting” policy has become the turning point in this industry. If financial performance continues to deteriorate, Shouhui may undergo business restructuring or seek M&amp;As.
Due to increasing competition, decreasing commissions, disintermediation trend, tightening policy environment, we are not optimistic about the outlook of Shouhui. The valuation of Shouhui would be lower than peers.


Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

<ul>
<li>The business model of QingSong is a platform offering comprehensive healthcare services and tailored financial resources. By connecting different stakeholders, QingSong can monetize its user base, creating a virtuous cycle.</li>
<li>Qingsong’s revenue structure has undergone significant changes. However, if Qingsong's future business focus is on Qingsong Healthcare services, it may be difficult to generate large-scale profits in the end.</li>
<li>Listed insurance intermediary platforms have been in the shadow of a decline in stock prices. So, there is concerns that future share price performance of QingSong may not be optimistic.  </li>
</ul>


The business model of QingSong is a platform offering comprehensive healthcare services and tailored financial resources. By connecting different stakeholders, QingSong can monetize its user base, creating a virtuous cycle.
Qingsong’s revenue structure has undergone significant changes. However, if Qingsong's future business focus is on Qingsong Healthcare services, it may be difficult to generate large-scale profits in the end.
Listed insurance intermediary platforms have been in the shadow of a decline in stock prices. So, there is concerns that future share price performance of QingSong may not be optimistic.  


QingSong Health Corporation - Pain Points of the Business Model and the Outlook

<ul>
<li>The essence of Shouhui's business model is to "sell insurance" rather than provide services with technological attributes. So, Shouhui has relatively single business composition and lacks diversified sources of revenue.</li>
<li>The trend of "disintermediation" is becoming increasingly evident, which may lead to customers deciding to purchase insurance directly from insurance companies not from Shouhui, resulting declining demand for Shouhui’s services/products.</li>
<li>The business nature of insurance is incompatible with the Internet's pursuit of rapid expansion. Cooling "Internet +insurance" investment in recent years proves the decline of market's enthusiasm for this business.</li>
</ul>


The essence of Shouhui's business model is to "sell insurance" rather than provide services with technological attributes. So, Shouhui has relatively single business composition and lacks diversified sources of revenue.
The trend of "disintermediation" is becoming increasingly evident, which may lead to customers deciding to purchase insurance directly from insurance companies not from Shouhui, resulting declining demand for Shouhui’s services/products.
The business nature of insurance is incompatible with the Internet's pursuit of rapid expansion. Cooling "Internet +insurance" investment in recent years proves the decline of market's enthusiasm for this business.


Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech - The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amtd-digital" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36214:1" rel="noopener">AMTD Digital (HKD US)</a> shares are up 230x since its listing at US$7.80 per ADS on 15 July. Its market cap is a staggering US$334 billion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amtd-idea-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28137:1" rel="noopener">AMTD Idea Group (AMTD US)</a> accounts for 99.4% of the voting power. In January 2022, it increased its AMTD Digital shareholding to 97.1% of outstanding shares at US$1.2 billion valuation.</li>
<li>AMTD Digital’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation methodology can support the share price.    </li>
</ul>



AMTD Digital (HKD US) shares are up 230x since its listing at US$7.80 per ADS on 15 July. Its market cap is a staggering US$334 billion.

AMTD Idea Group (AMTD US) accounts for 99.4% of the voting power. In January 2022, it increased its AMTD Digital shareholding to 97.1% of outstanding shares at US$1.2 billion valuation.
AMTD Digital’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation methodology can support the share price.    


United States

Waterdrop Inc. is an insurtech platform headquartered in China. Founded in 2016, with coverage of Waterdrop Insurance Marketplace and Medical Crowdfunding, Waterdrop offers insurance and healthcare service through technology.

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Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)

China ADRs Delisting - Friday Could Be Judgment Day for over US$800bn Mcap of Stocks

PCAOB officials concluded their Hong Kong visit last month and PCAOB is due to announce its annual judgment on whether it had adequate access to US...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Shouhui attempts to stabilize stock price performance through reduce issuance scale (just 226 million circulating shares), but this does not solve...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

QingSong Health Corporation - Pain Points of the Business Model and the Outlook

By connecting different stakeholders, QingSong can monetize user base. As revenue structure has undergone big changes, it may be hard to generate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Shouhui Tech - The Business Outlook and Stock Price Performance Are Not Optimistic

As Internet giants with greater brand recognition/resources have made online insurance intermediary market a "red sea", Shouhui's outlook is full...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

AMTD Digital: Irrational Frenzy 2.0

The shares are currently up 143% today. AMTD’s financials are uninspiring and cannot justify the share price ramp. No sane valuation assumption can...

Arun George

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