Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

Weatherford International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weatherford International reported an exceptional year in 2023 with a revenue growth of 19%, adjusted EBITDA margins expanding 423 basis points to 23.1% and adjusted free cash flow of $651 million.</li><li>The growth was noted across all segments, particularly with DRE and WCC seeing high teens growth due to increased drilling and completions activity.</li><li>The company has achieved significant growth in international markets and even managed to grow margins in North America despite a decline in revenue, indicating an effective change in the operating culture.</li></ul>

Weatherford International reported an exceptional year in 2023 with a revenue growth of 19%, adjusted EBITDA margins expanding 423 basis points to 23.1% and adjusted free cash flow of $651 million.The growth was noted across all segments, particularly with DRE and WCC seeing high teens growth due to increased drilling and completions activity.The company has achieved significant growth in international markets and even managed to grow margins in North America despite a decline in revenue, indicating an effective change in the operating culture.

Weatherford International plc: Initiation Of Coverage - Does It Have A Sustainable Economic Moat? - Major Drivers

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.</li>
<li>US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.</li>
<li>Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.
US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.
Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.</li>
<li>We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.</li>
</ul>


Over the last two weeks we discussed expectations for an oversold bounce; the bounce has continued. We believe it is possible we've seen the lows for this pause/pullback on SPX.
We see low probability of a meaningful correction if SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support), but would not be surprised to see another month+ of consolidation between 4325 and 4600.
Shorter-Term, as long as 4460 short-term support holds, we expect a test of 4600. Today we highlight several buys within Energy.


Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

iShares Russell 2000 ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder.</li>
<li>Beginning with our 7/18/23 Compass, we discussed our expectation for major 1+ year breakouts on the equal-weighted S&amp;P 500 (RSP), Dow, and Russell 2000 (IWM). </li>
<li>The breakouts happened later that day on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invesco-s-p-500-equal-weight-e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32932:1" rel="noopener">RSP</a> and Dow (above $153 and 34,280, respectively), and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-russell-2000-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32964:1" rel="noopener">IWM</a> is now on the cusp of breaking out above $199.</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder.
Beginning with our 7/18/23 Compass, we discussed our expectation for major 1+ year breakouts on the equal-weighted S&amp;P 500 (RSP), Dow, and Russell 2000 (IWM). 
The breakouts happened later that day on the RSP and Dow (above $153 and 34,280, respectively), and the IWM is now on the cusp of breaking out above $199.


Expecting Russell 2000 (IWM) Breakout Above $199; Highlighting Buys in Energy

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Energy- Rotation to Laggards or Something More Brewing?</li><li>The worst S&amp;P 500 sector so far in 2023 has been energy which is down almost 8% getting trounced by the technology and communication services sectors.</li><li>Inflation readings have benefited so far by energy “staying in the box” in 2023 versus the wild price spikes to $5/gallon gasoline and above which occurred last spring.</li></ul>

Energy- Rotation to Laggards or Something More Brewing?The worst S&amp;P 500 sector so far in 2023 has been energy which is down almost 8% getting trounced by the technology and communication services sectors.Inflation readings have benefited so far by energy “staying in the box” in 2023 versus the wild price spikes to $5/gallon gasoline and above which occurred last spring.

United States

Weatherford International Public Limited Company provides oil field services and equipment. The Company offers drilling solutions, gas well unloading, restoration, and other related activities. Weatherford International serves customers worldwide.

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Weatherford International (WFRD US)

Weatherford International plc: Initiation Of Coverage - Does It Have A Sustainable Economic Moat? - Major Drivers

Weatherford International reported an exceptional year in 2023 with a revenue growth of 19%, adjusted EBITDA margins expanding 423 basis points to...

Baptista Research

Silver Measured Move to 35.50

Gold looks a bit fatigued and silver likely to play catch up. Greenback could present headwinds for equities. Japan reverses big gains in 2024.

Douglas Busch

Bounce Continues; Small-Caps Test 3.5-Year RS Lows; Nasdaq/NYSE Breadth Improving; Buys in Energy

Expectations over the past two weeks for an oversold bounce in $SPX have played out. 4300-4325 (1.5-year support) remains solid floor, but could...

Vermilion Research

Expecting Russell 2000 (IWM) Breakout Above $199; Highlighting Buys in Energy

Expecting Russell 2000 $IWM Breakout Above $199; Many Reasons to be Bullish; $DXY and Treasury Yields $TNX $TYX Remain Below Resistance;...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 7/10

The worst S&P 500 sector so far in 2023 has been energy which is down almost 8% getting trounced by the technology and communication services sectors.

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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