Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The correct long-term thing to do is, and the right short-term trade don't match. Best to sell <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ (6670 JP)</a> above the tender offer price or at the offer price.</li>
<li>At 6.1x forward EV/EBITDA - and ~80% discount to NAV - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avichina-industry-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16315:1" rel="noopener">AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK)</a> is not expensive.</li>
<li>An interesting fact pattern appears like it might be a setup for a significant change in capital structure for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-steel-mfg-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16195:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Steel Mfg (5423 JP) T</a> related to the former CEO</li>
</ul>


The correct long-term thing to do is, and the right short-term trade don't match. Best to sell MCJ (6670 JP) above the tender offer price or at the offer price.
At 6.1x forward EV/EBITDA - and ~80% discount to NAV - AviChina Industry &amp; Technology H (2357 HK) is not expensive.
An interesting fact pattern appears like it might be a setup for a significant change in capital structure for Tokyo Steel Mfg (5423 JP) T related to the former CEO


Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, AviChina, Tokyo Steel Mfg, 3SBio

<ul>
<li>For March 2026, 5 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~33%, and a year-to-date average of 40%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For March 2026, 5 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~33%, and a year-to-date average of 40%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A, March 2026 Wrap: Rohm, Gunma Bank, Toyota Indust., Nippon Sheet Glass, Echo Marketing

<ul>
<li>I tally 31 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sheet-glass-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9013:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP)</a>. and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gunma-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15777:1" rel="noopener">Gunma Bank (8334 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daishi-hokuetsu-financial-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27533:1" rel="noopener">Daishi Hokuetsu Financial Group (7327 JP)</a> .</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua Holdings (3991 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 31 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP). and Gunma Bank (8334 JP)/Daishi Hokuetsu Financial Group (7327 JP) .
Key updates/news also took place on: Pepper Money (PPM AU), Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP), Insignia Financial (IFL AU), and Changhong Jiahua Holdings (3991 HK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Nippon Sheet Glass, Yinson, Pepper Money, Sankei Real Estate, Insignia

<ul>
<li>I tally 33 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week; however <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15457:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP)</a> is possibly in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 33 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week; however Tokyo Electric Power (TEPCO) (9501 JP) is possibly in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news also took place on: Pepper Money (PPM AU), Toyota Industries (6201 JP), MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP), ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP), and Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Pepper Money, Toyota Industries, MCJ Co, ROHM Co, IJM Corp

<ul>
<li>I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmerson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18705:1" rel="noopener">Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga Ltd (AVARGA SP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Emmerson Resources (ERM AU), ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP), and Avarga Ltd (AVARGA SP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Toyota Industries (6201 JP), National Storage REIT (NSR AU), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Toyota Inds, Emmerson Res, Avarga, National Storage, Dongfeng Motors, Ijm

Australia

Webjet Group Limited is a global travel organization. The Company offers an online marketplace for the travel trade, that connects hotels and other travel service suppliers to a distribution network of travel buyers to find rooms for their travelling customers. Webjet Group operates worldwide.

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Webjet Group (WJL AU)

Last Week In Event SPACE: MCJ, AviChina, Tokyo Steel Mfg, 3SBio

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David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A, March 2026 Wrap: Rohm, Gunma Bank, Toyota Indust., Nippon Sheet Glass, Echo Marketing

For the month of March, 5 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Nippon Sheet Glass, Yinson, Pepper Money, Sankei Real Estate, Insignia

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Pepper Money, Toyota Industries, MCJ Co, ROHM Co, IJM Corp

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Toyota Inds, Emmerson Res, Avarga, National Storage, Dongfeng Motors, Ijm

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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