IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Medlive Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medlive-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32985:1" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology (2192 HK)</a> is the largest online professional physician platform in China as measured by the number of registered physician users as of 31 December 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive derives most of its revenue from providing solutions that facilitate healthcare marketing to physicians. Medlive ranked first among physician platform-based digital healthcare marketing service providers in China as measured by revenue in 2020, with a 21.4% market share, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive is a JV between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/m3-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13316:1" rel="noopener">M3 Inc (2413 JP)</a> and Tiantian, each with 50% stakes.</p></div><div><p>Medlive will commence trading on Thursday, 15 July. Medlive priced its IPO at HK$27.20 and <a href="https://inews.hket.com/article/3006198/%E3%80%90%E6%96%B0%E8%82%A1IPO%E3%80%913%E9%9A%BB%E6%96%B0%E8%82%A1%E6%9A%97%E7%9B%A4%E3%80%80%E9%86%AB%E8%84%88%E9%80%9A2192%E5%8D%871%E6%88%90%E3%80%81%E4%B8%80%E6%89%8B%E5%B8%B3%E9%9D%A2%E8%B3%BA1350%E5%85%83?mtc=40001&amp;srkw=IPO%E6%9C%80%E5%BF%AB%E6%9C%80%E9%BD%8A" target="_blank" rel="noopener">closed 10% up at HK$29.90</a> in the Futu securities grey market. </p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/medlive-technology-ipo-initiation-what-s-up-doc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53683" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc?</a>, we stated that Medlive believes that it can compete with several players for a slice of healthcare companies’ marketing budgets due to its large and engaged physician user base, which enables it to reach a wider group of physicians more efficiently and achieve a better return on marketing spending. Medlive has strong fundamentals due to fast-paced revenue growth, rising margin and strong cash generation. We concluded that the Medlive IPO is worth a look. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/medlive-technology-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53879" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights</a>, we stated that we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range and strong blue-chip cornerstone support.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$32.17 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the grey market price is attractive.</p></div></div></div>

Medlive Technology (2192 HK) is the largest online professional physician platform in China as measured by the number of registered physician users as of 31 December 2020, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive derives most of its revenue from providing solutions that facilitate healthcare marketing to physicians. Medlive ranked first among physician platform-based digital healthcare marketing service providers in China as measured by revenue in 2020, with a 21.4% market share, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. Medlive is a JV between M3 Inc (2413 JP) and Tiantian, each with 50% stakes.Medlive will commence trading on Thursday, 15 July. Medlive priced its IPO at HK$27.20 and closed 10% up at HK$29.90 in the Futu securities grey market. In Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc?, we stated that Medlive believes that it can compete with several players for a slice of healthcare companies’ marketing budgets due to its large and engaged physician user base, which enables it to reach a wider group of physicians more efficiently and achieve a better return on marketing spending. Medlive has strong fundamentals due to fast-paced revenue growth, rising margin and strong cash generation. We concluded that the Medlive IPO is worth a look. In Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights, we stated that we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range and strong blue-chip cornerstone support.Updating for the final IPO net raise, our base-case DCF derived price target of HK$32.17 per share. As DCF-based target prices are subject to a wide range of variability, we present a sensitivity table to help investors gauge where target prices could head. Our DCF sensitivity analysis shows that the grey market price is attractive.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p>In our previous notes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-kanzhun-full-truck-and-didi-regulators-sending-a-message" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs - Kanzhun, Full Truck and Didi - Regulators Sending a Message </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-now-the-message-is-loud-and-getting-clearer" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs - Now the Message Is Loud and Getting Clearer, </a>we spoke about the recent crackdown on the three US listed firms along with the general crackdown on overseas listings for Chinese companies. </p>
<p>The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) came out with draft cyber security review measures. </p>
</div><div><p>We have looked at the ADRs in the past, in our previous notes:</p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-deep-dive-yin-and-yang" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing Deep-Dive: Yin and Yang,</a> published in Feb 2020,  we looked at the background and rules around undertaking a secondary listing in Hong Kong and then came up with a short-list of companies that might undertake a secondary listing. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-covid-19-has-increased-the-tension-but-narrowed-the-short-list" target="_blank" rel="noopener">In China ADRs Secondary Listing: COVID-19 Has Increased the Tension but Narrowed the Short List</a> published in May 2020, we looked at the recent developments and provided an revised short-list</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-holding-foreign-companies-accountable-act-i-m-coming-home" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing - Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act - I’m Coming Home</a>, published in May 2020, we spoke about the implication of the act which had made its way through the senate.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-secondary-listing-pipeline-looks-rich-have-three-years-to-move" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs Secondary Listing - Pipeline Looks Rich, Have Three Years to Move</a>, published in Feb 2021 we looked at the ADR pipeline and spoke about the updates from the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act becoming law and the updates at Hong Kong end as well. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-sec-notice-instead-of-three-probably-have-four-years-till-2025-correction-overdone" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs - SEC Notice - Instead of Three, Probably Have Four Years till 2025 - Correction Overdone, </a> we spoke about the new SEC notice and its implications. </li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-adrs-a-new-act-aims-to-put-an-end-to-china-adr-ipos" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China ADRs - A New Act Aims to Put an End to China ADR IPOs</a>, we spoke about the No IPOs for Unaccountable Actors Act, which aims to prohibit IPO on U.S. exchanges for Chinese companies.</li>
</ul></div>


In our previous notes China ADRs - Kanzhun, Full Truck and Didi - Regulators Sending a Message and China ADRs - Now the Message Is Loud and Getting Clearer, we spoke about the recent crackdown on the three US listed firms along with the general crackdown on overseas listings for Chinese companies. 
The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) came out with draft cyber security review measures. 
We have looked at the ADRs in the past, in our previous notes:

China ADRs Secondary Listing Deep-Dive: Yin and Yang, published in Feb 2020,  we looked at the background and rules around undertaking a secondary listing in Hong Kong and then came up with a short-list of companies that might undertake a secondary listing. 

In China ADRs Secondary Listing: COVID-19 Has Increased the Tension but Narrowed the Short List published in May 2020, we looked at the recent developments and provided an revised short-list
In China ADRs Secondary Listing - Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act - I’m Coming Home, published in May 2020, we spoke about the implication of the act which had made its way through the senate.
In China ADRs Secondary Listing - Pipeline Looks Rich, Have Three Years to Move, published in Feb 2021 we looked at the ADR pipeline and spoke about the updates from the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act becoming law and the updates at Hong Kong end as well. 
In China ADRs - SEC Notice - Instead of Three, Probably Have Four Years till 2025 - Correction Overdone,  we spoke about the new SEC notice and its implications. 
In China ADRs - A New Act Aims to Put an End to China ADR IPOs, we spoke about the No IPOs for Unaccountable Actors Act, which aims to prohibit IPO on U.S. exchanges for Chinese companies.


China ADRs - Draft Cyber Security Review Measures - ADRs Listing Likely Shut, HK Might Face Delay

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Neusoft Xikang Healthcare Technology Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

Neusoft Xikang Healthcare Technology Co Ltd

<p>On the last day of May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neusoft-medical-systems-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33446:1" rel="noopener">Neusoft Medical Systems (NMS HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neusoft-xikang-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33447:1" rel="noopener">Neusoft Xikang Holdings (NXH HK)</a> submitted their prospectuses to the HKEX at the same time. Actually, the "Neusoft faction" already has two listed companies in A-share and HKEX respectively, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neusoft-corp-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6854:1" rel="noopener">Neusoft Corp A (600718 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neusoft-education-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29234:1" rel="noopener">Neusoft Education Technology Co. Ltd (9616 HK)</a>, with the market value of RMB12 billion and HK$4 billion respectively by the end of July.6, 2021. If Neusoft Medical and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neusoft-xikang-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33447:1" rel="noopener">Neusoft Xikang</a> are successfully listed, there will be four public companies in "Neusoft faction". Behind the active capital operation, how about Neusoft Xikang? This insight mainly analyzed the business model and the concerns of the Company.</p>

On the last day of May, Neusoft Medical Systems (NMS HK) and Neusoft Xikang Holdings (NXH HK) submitted their prospectuses to the HKEX at the same time. Actually, the "Neusoft faction" already has two listed companies in A-share and HKEX respectively, namely Neusoft Corp A (600718 CH) and Neusoft Education Technology Co. Ltd (9616 HK), with the market value of RMB12 billion and HK$4 billion respectively by the end of July.6, 2021. If Neusoft Medical and Neusoft Xikang are successfully listed, there will be four public companies in "Neusoft faction". Behind the active capital operation, how about Neusoft Xikang? This insight mainly analyzed the business model and the concerns of the Company.

Pre-IPO Neusoft Xikang Holdings - The Business Model and the Concerns

<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/linkdoc-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33499:1" rel="noopener">LinkDoc (LDOC US)</a> is a Chinese healthtech company. LinkDoc consists of LinkCare, a digital care platform for patients with critical diseases, LinkData, an AI-enabled curation system for longitudinal medical data, and LinkSolutions, a data-driven precision life sciences solution platform that helps life sciences companies accelerate clinical research and real-world adoption.</div><div></div><p>LinkDoc is backed by Temasek (11.7% of outstanding shares), NEA Partners (10.2%), China Broadband Capital (9.2%), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-health-information-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:453:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK)</a> (8.4%) and MBK Partners (6.3%).</p><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.50-19.50 per ADS, LinkDoc will have a market cap of $1.6 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $182.7 million, below the rumoured $500 million raise target. LinkDoc has received $115 million indications of interest (57.4% of the ADSs being offered) from existing shareholders (Alibaba Health, Lake Bleu, Temasek) worth $60 million and new investors (UBS Asset Management, Hudson Bay, Sage Partners) worth $55 million. </p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linkdoc-technology-ipo-initiation-building-with-big-data" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53384" rel="noopener">LinkDoc Technology IPO Initiation: Building with Big Data</a>, we opined that LinkDoc is a play on China’s healthcare industry rising spend on IT and data services. LinkDoc focuses on oncology and has established the largest online oncology physician and patient engagement community in China. LinkDoc is benefiting from the trend of big data solutions adoption in healthcare by delivering solid growth and steadily reducing loss margins. Overall, we believe that LinkDoc is an attractive play on these market dynamics.</p></div><div>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Our relative valuation analysis suggests that LinkDoc is fairly valued at the low-end of the IPO price range. Consequently, we are inclined to sit on the sidelines awaiting a more attractive entry point.   </p></div>
<div><p><strong><em>For readers interested in IPOs of upcoming healthtech companies, we highlight: </em></strong></p></div>
<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/medlive-technology-ipo-initiation-what-s-up-doc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53683" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc?</a> </p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/medlive-technology-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53879" rel="noopener">Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights</a> </p>
</div>
<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/we-doctor-ipo-initiation-patient-revolution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50009" rel="noopener">We Doctor IPO Initiation: Patient Revolution</a> </p></div>
</div>


LinkDoc (LDOC US) is a Chinese healthtech company. LinkDoc consists of LinkCare, a digital care platform for patients with critical diseases, LinkData, an AI-enabled curation system for longitudinal medical data, and LinkSolutions, a data-driven precision life sciences solution platform that helps life sciences companies accelerate clinical research and real-world adoption.LinkDoc is backed by Temasek (11.7% of outstanding shares), NEA Partners (10.2%), China Broadband Capital (9.2%), Alibaba Health Information Technology (241 HK) (8.4%) and MBK Partners (6.3%).At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $17.50-19.50 per ADS, LinkDoc will have a market cap of $1.6 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $182.7 million, below the rumoured $500 million raise target. LinkDoc has received $115 million indications of interest (57.4% of the ADSs being offered) from existing shareholders (Alibaba Health, Lake Bleu, Temasek) worth $60 million and new investors (UBS Asset Management, Hudson Bay, Sage Partners) worth $55 million. In LinkDoc Technology IPO Initiation: Building with Big Data, we opined that LinkDoc is a play on China’s healthcare industry rising spend on IT and data services. LinkDoc focuses on oncology and has established the largest online oncology physician and patient engagement community in China. LinkDoc is benefiting from the trend of big data solutions adoption in healthcare by delivering solid growth and steadily reducing loss margins. Overall, we believe that LinkDoc is an attractive play on these market dynamics.
Our relative valuation analysis suggests that LinkDoc is fairly valued at the low-end of the IPO price range. Consequently, we are inclined to sit on the sidelines awaiting a more attractive entry point.   
For readers interested in IPOs of upcoming healthtech companies, we highlight: 

Medlive Technology IPO Initiation: What's Up, Doc? 
Medlive Technology IPO: Valuation Insights 

We Doctor IPO Initiation: Patient Revolution 


LinkDoc Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/linkdoc-technology-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33499:1" rel="noopener">LinkDoc (LDOC US)</a> is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming U.S. IPO.</p><p>LinkDoc is a data-driven and AI-enabled healthcare technology company. The company operates data-driven digital infrastructures to serve different stakeholders in the healthcare ecosystem. The company has a focus on oncology with its patient care centres providing oncology patients with continuous care.</p><p>In this note, we compare LinkDoc to other China healthcare companies.</p><p>We have previously covered the IPO in: </p><ul><li dir="ltr" aria-level="1"><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linkdoc-pre-ipo-intricately-embedded-in-the-oncology-industry" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:53324" rel="noopener">LinkDoc (零氪科技) Pre-IPO - Intricately Embedded in the Oncology Industry</a> </p></li></ul>

LinkDoc (LDOC US) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming U.S. IPO.LinkDoc is a data-driven and AI-enabled healthcare technology company. The company operates data-driven digital infrastructures to serve different stakeholders in the healthcare ecosystem. The company has a focus on oncology with its patient care centres providing oncology patients with continuous care.In this note, we compare LinkDoc to other China healthcare companies.We have previously covered the IPO in: LinkDoc (零氪科技) Pre-IPO - Intricately Embedded in the Oncology Industry 

LinkDoc (零氪科技) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - A Niche that Doesn’t Give a Clear Advantage

China

Wedoctor Group operates health care software businesses. The Company provides registration, medical advice, and other services. Wedoctor Group conducts business in China. 

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WeDoctor Holdings (1737089D HK)

Medlive Technology IPO: Trading Debut

Medlive will commence trading on 15 July. Medlive priced at HK$27.20 and closed 10% up at HK$29.90 in the Futu grey market. Our DCF sensitivity...

Arun George

China ADRs - Draft Cyber Security Review Measures - ADRs Listing Likely Shut, HK Might Face Delay

In our previous notes we spoke about the recent crackdown on the three US listed firms. The Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC) recently came...

Sumeet Singh

Pre-IPO Neusoft Xikang Holdings - The Business Model and the Concerns

This article mainly analyzed Neusoft Xikang in terms of the business model, the financial position, and the related concerns.

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

LinkDoc Technology IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that LinkDoc is fairly valued at the low-end of the IPO price range. Consequently, we are inclined to sit on the...

Arun George

LinkDoc (零氪科技) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - A Niche that Doesn’t Give a Clear Advantage

LinkDoc (LDOC US) is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming U.S. IPO. LinkDoc is a data-driven and AI-enabled healthcare technology company.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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