External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.</li><li>Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

<ul><li>Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.</li><li>Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.</li><li>1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

<ul><li>Weibo reported 4Q22 financial results on 1 Mar. 4Q22 total revenue declined by 27% YoY (-20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$448mn, in line with our and consensus estimate.</li><li>FY22 total revenue was down by 19% YoY to US$1.8bn, mainly due to macro headwind and COVID-19 impact.</li><li>4Q22 nonGAAP net income dropped by 9% YoY to US$179mn, beating the consensus estimate of US$122mn, primarily due to effective expense control and reversal of US$58.8mn compensation expenses. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported 4Q22 financial results on 1 Mar. 4Q22 total revenue declined by 27% YoY (-20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$448mn, in line with our and consensus estimate.FY22 total revenue was down by 19% YoY to US$1.8bn, mainly due to macro headwind and COVID-19 impact.4Q22 nonGAAP net income dropped by 9% YoY to US$179mn, beating the consensus estimate of US$122mn, primarily due to effective expense control and reversal of US$58.8mn compensation expenses. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Gradual revenue and margin recovery in FY23

<ul><li>Weibo faced pressure in 4Q22E due to tighter regulations on entertainment content and extreme disruptions on ads promotions from resurgence of COVID in Dec 2022.</li><li>Hence, we lower FY22/4Q22E total revenue forecast by 1/4%. Market now looks ahead to recovery potential in online ads demand, driven by China’s reopening and consumption recovery.</li><li>The speed of economic activities recovery post Chinese New Year is ahead of our previous expectation, which should support Weibo’s revenue recovery in FY23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo faced pressure in 4Q22E due to tighter regulations on entertainment content and extreme disruptions on ads promotions from resurgence of COVID in Dec 2022.Hence, we lower FY22/4Q22E total revenue forecast by 1/4%. Market now looks ahead to recovery potential in online ads demand, driven by China’s reopening and consumption recovery.The speed of economic activities recovery post Chinese New Year is ahead of our previous expectation, which should support Weibo’s revenue recovery in FY23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Recovery on the horizon despite ST pressure

<ul><li>Weibo reported its 3Q22 results on 17 Nov. 3Q22 revenue was down by 25% YoY (or -20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$454mn, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of US$469/460mn.</li><li>9M22 revenue declined by 15% YoY, as the macro headwind and resurgence of COVID-19 weigh on ad demand.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income dropped by 43% YoY to US$119mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$120mn.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported its 3Q22 results on 17 Nov. 3Q22 revenue was down by 25% YoY (or -20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$454mn, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of US$469/460mn.9M22 revenue declined by 15% YoY, as the macro headwind and resurgence of COVID-19 weigh on ad demand.Non-GAAP net income dropped by 43% YoY to US$119mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$120mn.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Ongoing moderate recovery

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

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Weibo Corp (WB US)

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Gradual revenue and margin recovery in FY23

Weibo reported 4Q22 financial results on 1 Mar. 4Q22 total revenue declined by 27% YoY (-20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$448mn, in line...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Recovery on the horizon despite ST pressure

Weibo faced pressure in 4Q22E due to tighter regulations on entertainment content and extreme disruptions on ads promotions from resurgence of...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Ongoing moderate recovery

3Q22 revenue was down by 25% YoY (or -20% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$454mn, largely in line with our/consensus estimate of US$469/460mn.

CMB International

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