Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China’s NPPA issued a list of 67 new games approved for July 2022, and once again, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>  and its smaller rival NetEase were excluded from the list.</li>
<li>The nine-month long freeze on new game approval was lifted in April, however, none of Tencent’s new games were included in the approved lists in April, June and July.</li>
<li>This further affirms our view that the anti-monopoly crackdown on tech firms hasn’t slowed down, but regulators are probing on dominant players such as Tencent to level the playing field.</li>
</ul>


China’s NPPA issued a list of 67 new games approved for July 2022, and once again, Tencent (700 HK)  and its smaller rival NetEase were excluded from the list.
The nine-month long freeze on new game approval was lifted in April, however, none of Tencent’s new games were included in the approved lists in April, June and July.
This further affirms our view that the anti-monopoly crackdown on tech firms hasn’t slowed down, but regulators are probing on dominant players such as Tencent to level the playing field.


Tencent – Excluded Again from New Game Approvals

<ul>
<li>On 10th July, SAMR published 28 administrative penalties for violating anti-monopoly law related to disclosing past transactions on firms including Tencent, Alibaba, Didi, Weibo and Bilibili.</li>
<li>A fine of RMB17.2m (US$2.56m) was imposed in total and were fined for not properly reporting past deals between March 2011 to July 2021.</li>
<li>The market has come to believe that the anti-monopoly investigation in China is easing off, however, the recent development suggests that the anti-monopoly normalisation will continue.</li>
</ul>


On 10th July, SAMR published 28 administrative penalties for violating anti-monopoly law related to disclosing past transactions on firms including Tencent, Alibaba, Didi, Weibo and Bilibili.
A fine of RMB17.2m (US$2.56m) was imposed in total and were fined for not properly reporting past deals between March 2011 to July 2021.
The market has come to believe that the anti-monopoly investigation in China is easing off, however, the recent development suggests that the anti-monopoly normalisation will continue.


Tencent Fined for Violating Disclosure on Past Transactions; Anti-Monopoly Probe Is Far From Over

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhihu Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. 
Unlike all the prior dual primary/secondary listings which have been done via offering either only primary or a mix of primary+secondary shares, Zhihu’s offering will consist of only secondary shares.
In this note, we'll talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Zhihu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Delivered the Correction but Still Set for the Worst Debut Yet

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhihu-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32185:1" rel="noopener">Zhihu Technology (ZH US)</a> has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zhihu-dual-primary-listing-a-question-of-judgment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:68266" rel="noopener">Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment</a>, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.</li>
</ul>



Zhihu Technology (ZH US) has launched an HKEx dual-primary listing to raise $150-200 million. The H Shares will be priced on 14 April and listed on 22 April.
In Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: A Question of Judgment, we stated that while a loss-making tech name is not everybody's cup of tea, Zhihu has resilient performance and an undemanding valuation.  
In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be reasonable, in our view.


Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After one month from the March batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 19 stocks. </li>
<li>We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.</li>
<li>We observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. </li>
</ul>


After one month from the March batch of Hong Kong Connect inclusion, we provide an analysis on the stock inclusion for 19 stocks. 
We analysed the inclusion by performance post announcement, performance post inclusion, inflows and analyst coverage.
We observed outperformance post the HSCI announcement but not the actual inclusion despite the fact that southbound inflows has a significant impact on the trading volume. 


HK Connect: March '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

China

Weibo Corporation operates a leading social media platform in China, enabling users to create, discover, and distribute Chinese-language content. The company primarily generates revenue through advertising and marketing services, alongside value-added services such as membership and online games. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2009.

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Weibo (9898 HK)

Tencent – Excluded Again from New Game Approvals

Tencent, once again failed to make into the approved list of 67 new games for July 2022, nor in the last two batches of approved new game titles....

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Tencent Fined for Violating Disclosure on Past Transactions; Anti-Monopoly Probe Is Far From Over

Tencent was fined for failing to make timely disclosures regarding past deals. Though the fine is not significant given the size of Tencent, it is...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Zhihu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Delivered the Correction but Still Set for the Worst Debut Yet

Zhihu Technology (ZH US) raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

HK Connect: March '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

We provide post-event analysis for the March 7th stock inclusion. We analyzed performance for key milestones dates, impact on trading volume and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Tencent – Excluded Again from New Game Approvals

Tencent, once again failed to make into the approved list of 67 new games for July 2022, nor in the last two batches of approved new game titles....

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Tencent Fined for Violating Disclosure on Past Transactions; Anti-Monopoly Probe Is Far From Over

Tencent was fined for failing to make timely disclosures regarding past deals. Though the fine is not significant given the size of Tencent, it is...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Zhihu HK Secondary Listing Trading - Delivered the Correction but Still Set for the Worst Debut Yet

Zhihu Technology (ZH US) raised around US$106m via a dual primary listing in Hong Kong. In this note we talk about the demand and trading dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/​​​(Discount) Views

In this note, we will look at Zhihu’s potential HK-ADS premium/(discount). Zhihu pricing its H-shares at a discount of 3-4% to its ADSs will be...

Arun George

HK Connect: March '22 Inclusion Post-Event Analysis

We provide post-event analysis for the March 7th stock inclusion. We analyzed performance for key milestones dates, impact on trading volume and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zhihu Dual-Primary Listing: HK-ADS Premium/(Discount) Views