Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qifu-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36657:1" rel="noopener">Qifu Technology (3660 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/q-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:79:1" rel="noopener">Q Technology Group (1478 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-music-entertainment-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36601:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK)</a> disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/country-garden-services-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27343:1" rel="noopener">Country Garden Services (6098 HK)</a> declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.
</li>
</ul>


Japan equity ETF flows have not recovered from the carry trade sell off.  Hong Kong Southbound Connect flows continue to be positive this month.

Qifu Technology (3660 HK) , Q Technology Group (1478 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK) all advanced on strong 2Q earnings announcements. 


Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK) disappointed on earnings and monthly user numbers.  Country Garden Services (6098 HK) declined in anticipation of a large drop in earnings in 2Q 2024.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

<ul>
<li>First major technical resistance for HSI and HSCEI has been met with force and a consolidation/correction begins</li>
<li>Market breadth expands over last month presenting investment opportunities beyond tech and mega-cap</li>
<li>Short and long term sentiment indicators going positive as most analysts continue to look in rear view mirror</li>
</ul>


First major technical resistance for HSI and HSCEI has been met with force and a consolidation/correction begins
Market breadth expands over last month presenting investment opportunities beyond tech and mega-cap
Short and long term sentiment indicators going positive as most analysts continue to look in rear view mirror


Technically Speaking: Hong Kong Strategy in the Secular Bull Market

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>Financial meeting / Caixin Explains: China concludes sixth top financial meeting to tackle new challenges</li><li>Personnel /: China’s wave of ministry-level leadership shakeups rolls on in October</li><li>PE /: Communist Party cadres told to steer clear of private equity</li></ul>

Financial meeting / Caixin Explains: China concludes sixth top financial meeting to tackle new challengesPersonnel /: China’s wave of ministry-level leadership shakeups rolls on in OctoberPE /: Communist Party cadres told to steer clear of private equity

CX Daily: China Concludes Sixth Top Financial Meeting to Tackle New Challenges 

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>HSTECH June 2026 added KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and MINIMAX-W and deleted KINGSOFT and KINGDEE INT'L. All event windows through the fourth post-implementation week are complete.</li>
<li>Both ADDs fell in the first implementation week, far beyond the historical ADD first-week means. KNOWLEDGE ATLAS then gained +46.8% in weeks two to four.</li>
<li>The positive-bridge DELETE rebound held for KINGSOFT at +3.9% but missed for KINGDEE INT'L at -12.3%.</li>
</ul>


HSTECH June 2026 added KNOWLEDGE ATLAS and MINIMAX-W and deleted KINGSOFT and KINGDEE INT'L. All event windows through the fourth post-implementation week are complete.
Both ADDs fell in the first implementation week, far beyond the historical ADD first-week means. KNOWLEDGE ATLAS then gained +46.8% in weeks two to four.
The positive-bridge DELETE rebound held for KINGSOFT at +3.9% but missed for KINGDEE INT'L at -12.3%.


HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Implementation Review

<ul>
<li>HSTECH June 2026 rebalance takes effect on 8 Jun 2026. Two ADDs and two DELETEs enter implementation on that date.</li>
<li>MINIMAX-W fell through the bridge. KNOWLEDGE ATLAS was flat. Both DELETEs rose over the same period.</li>
<li>Historical first-week outcomes showed weak ADD precedent. Positive-bridge DELETEs showed a small first-week gain.</li>
</ul>


HSTECH June 2026 rebalance takes effect on 8 Jun 2026. Two ADDs and two DELETEs enter implementation on that date.
MINIMAX-W fell through the bridge. KNOWLEDGE ATLAS was flat. Both DELETEs rose over the same period.
Historical first-week outcomes showed weak ADD precedent. Positive-bridge DELETEs showed a small first-week gain.


HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

China

Weibo Corporation operates a leading social media platform in China, enabling users to create, discover, and distribute Chinese-language content. The company primarily generates revenue through advertising and marketing services, alongside value-added services such as membership and online games. It is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2009.

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Weibo (9898 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (August 16)

Japan ETF flows have been light after the massive outflow from carry trade unwind. Qifu Tech, Q Tech and JDL all had positive earnings announcement...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking: Hong Kong Strategy in the Secular Bull Market

Hong Kong markets are now in a correction in a secular bull market. There are now opportunities to rotate into long term investments which will...

David Mudd

CX Daily: China Concludes Sixth Top Financial Meeting to Tackle New Challenges

Financial meeting / Caixin Explains: China concludes sixth top financial meeting to tackle new challenges China held its twice-a-decade central...

Caixin Global

HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Post-Implementation Review

HSTECH June 2026 rebalance has passed the first post-implementation month. We review what worked, what did not, and how current results compare...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HS TECH June 2026 Rebalance: Pre-Implementation Update

HSTECH enters the implementation phase on 8 Jun 2026. We update post-announcement stock performance and discuss implementation trades.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

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