External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We are turning more positive on the construction machinery &amp; heavy-duty truck (HDT) sector as we expect meaningful earnings recovery in 2023E (following the down-cycle since early 2021), underpinned by: (1) resilient overseas demand; (2) strong mining activities; (3) gradual reopening in China; (4) decline in freight rate and steel price.</li><li>Meanwhile, the supporting policies on property will serve as risk reduction factor for the sector.</li><li>Aerial work platform (AWP) is our most preferred subsector, followed by HDT, excavator and other machinery.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We are turning more positive on the construction machinery &amp; heavy-duty truck (HDT) sector as we expect meaningful earnings recovery in 2023E (following the down-cycle since early 2021), underpinned by: (1) resilient overseas demand; (2) strong mining activities; (3) gradual reopening in China; (4) decline in freight rate and steel price.Meanwhile, the supporting policies on property will serve as risk reduction factor for the sector.Aerial work platform (AWP) is our most preferred subsector, followed by HDT, excavator and other machinery.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2023 Outlook

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weichai’s net profit in 2024 grew 27% YoY to RMB11.4bn, which is in line with our expectation.</li><li>Net profit in 4Q24 grew 19% YoY to RMB3bn, driven by 28%/13% YoY reduction of S&amp;D / R&amp;D expenses despite a flat (YoY) revenue.</li><li>Weichai proposed a final dividend of RMB0.347/shr. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai’s net profit in 2024 grew 27% YoY to RMB11.4bn, which is in line with our expectation.Net profit in 4Q24 grew 19% YoY to RMB3bn, driven by 28%/13% YoY reduction of S&amp;D / R&amp;D expenses despite a flat (YoY) revenue.Weichai proposed a final dividend of RMB0.347/shr. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) - Strong Engine Margin Expansion in 2024

<ul><li>We expect Weichai Power will gain traction in the near term, as the market has been looking for beneficiaries across the AI-related sectors.</li><li>Based on our estimates, in 2024, Weichai Power delivered 400 units of large-bore highspeed engines specifically for data centres, of which 60% were sold overseas.</li><li>We forecast sales volume in 2025E to surge 1.5x YoY to 1k units. We expect segment revenue in 2025E to reach RMB2bn, based on ASP of RMB2mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect Weichai Power will gain traction in the near term, as the market has been looking for beneficiaries across the AI-related sectors.Based on our estimates, in 2024, Weichai Power delivered 400 units of large-bore highspeed engines specifically for data centres, of which 60% were sold overseas.We forecast sales volume in 2025E to surge 1.5x YoY to 1k units. We expect segment revenue in 2025E to reach RMB2bn, based on ASP of RMB2mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) - Expect Strong Volume Growth of Engines for Data Centres

<ul><li>We trim our HDT engine sales volume forecast by 7%/7%2% in 2024E/25E/26E, after incorporating our new industry HDT sales forecast (for details, please refer to our sector report “China Heavy-duty Truck – Headwinds in 4Q24 in both China &amp; export; Eyes on policy-driven recovery in 2025”). In the near term, we believe the narrowed LNG/diesel price spread will be unfavourable to Weichai’s gas engine segment.</li><li>While our earnings forecast in 2024E-26E is only revised down by 1-3% due to a relatively solid margin outlook, our new forecasts suggest profit growth to decelerate from 51% in 1H24 to 7%/2% in 2H24E/2025E.</li><li>Our SOTP-based TP for A/H (rolled over to 2025E) is revised down to RMB17.9/HK$17.7 (from RMB18.0/HK$19.5). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We trim our HDT engine sales volume forecast by 7%/7%2% in 2024E/25E/26E, after incorporating our new industry HDT sales forecast (for details, please refer to our sector report “China Heavy-duty Truck – Headwinds in 4Q24 in both China &amp; export; Eyes on policy-driven recovery in 2025”). In the near term, we believe the narrowed LNG/diesel price spread will be unfavourable to Weichai’s gas engine segment.While our earnings forecast in 2024E-26E is only revised down by 1-3% due to a relatively solid margin outlook, our new forecasts suggest profit growth to decelerate from 51% in 1H24 to 7%/2% in 2H24E/2025E.Our SOTP-based TP for A/H (rolled over to 2025E) is revised down to RMB17.9/HK$17.7 (from RMB18.0/HK$19.5). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (000338 CH) - Still Positive, but Wait for a Better Entry Point After 3Q24E Results

<ul><li>While Weichai Power (Weichai)’s revenue growth of 6% YoY in 1Q24 is below our expectation, net profit of RMB2.6bn (+40% YoY) accounted for 21.4% of our full-year estimates (run rate in 1Q23: 20.5%), which is still in line with our expectation.</li><li>The earnings growth was driven by margin expansion on both core business and KION Group (KGX GR, NR).</li><li>We maintain Weichai as our sector top pick, given (1) the large gas/diesel price gap will continue to drive natural gas engine demand, where Weichai has &gt;60% market share in; (2) high-speed large-bore engines will serve as a structural growth driver on the back of construction of more data centres. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

While Weichai Power (Weichai)’s revenue growth of 6% YoY in 1Q24 is below our expectation, net profit of RMB2.6bn (+40% YoY) accounted for 21.4% of our full-year estimates (run rate in 1Q23: 20.5%), which is still in line with our expectation.The earnings growth was driven by margin expansion on both core business and KION Group (KGX GR, NR).We maintain Weichai as our sector top pick, given (1) the large gas/diesel price gap will continue to drive natural gas engine demand, where Weichai has &gt;60% market share in; (2) high-speed large-bore engines will serve as a structural growth driver on the back of construction of more data centres. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (000338 CH) - 1Q24 Net Profit +40% YoY in Line; Solid Growth Outlook

China

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of vehicles and parts. The Company produces engines, heavy vehicles, light vehicles, construction machinery, hydraulic products, automotive electronics, and related parts. Weichai Power markets its products across worldwide.

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Weichai Power (000338 CH)

China Construction Machinery / HDT – 2023 Outlook

We are turning more positive on the construction machinery & heavy-duty truck (HDT) sector as we expect meaningful earnings recovery in 2023E...

CMB International

Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) - Strong Engine Margin Expansion in 2024

Net profit in 4Q24 grew 19% YoY to RMB3bn, driven by 28%/13% YoY reduction of S&D / R&D expenses despite a flat (YoY) revenue.

CMB International

Weichai Power (2338 HK/000338 CH) - Expect Strong Volume Growth of Engines for Data Centres

We expect Weichai Power will gain traction in the near term, as the market has been looking for beneficiaries across the AI-related sectors.

CMB International