Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Credit

<ul>
<li>Asian USD high-yield bonds have outperformed on an improving sentiment toward emerging market credits.</li>
<li>China 5-year CDS has declined 14 bps since June and we expect non-property Chinese credits to have more capital inflow on  the hunt for a better yield.</li>
<li>We are in favor of Chinese high-yield credits with recurring revenue and operate in more defensive industries such as consumer non-discretionary, utilities, and pharmaceuticals.</li>
</ul>


Asian USD high-yield bonds have outperformed on an improving sentiment toward emerging market credits.
China 5-year CDS has declined 14 bps since June and we expect non-property Chinese credits to have more capital inflow on  the hunt for a better yield.
We are in favor of Chinese high-yield credits with recurring revenue and operate in more defensive industries such as consumer non-discretionary, utilities, and pharmaceuticals.


Asian Bond Monitor: Chinese Bonds Are Back

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cofco-meat-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22858:1" rel="noopener">Cofco Joycome (1610 HK)</a> is in a good position to benefit from the hog cycle upturn. China's anti-dumping investigation into imported pork from the EU may also disrupt supply.</li>
<li>Its average hog price has increased by 12.7% YTD and by 1.6% YoY for 5M24. Market hog price further surged by 10.4% in the week of 12-Jun from end-May.</li>
<li>Its P/B of 0.78x is inexpensive at 1SD below the 5-year average. Its peers like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/muyuan-foodstuff-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3705:1" rel="noopener">Muyuan Foodstuff (002714 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wens-foodstuff-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22859:1" rel="noopener">Wens Foodstuff Group (300498 CH)</a> are also interesting. </li>
</ul>



Cofco Joycome (1610 HK) is in a good position to benefit from the hog cycle upturn. China's anti-dumping investigation into imported pork from the EU may also disrupt supply.
Its average hog price has increased by 12.7% YTD and by 1.6% YoY for 5M24. Market hog price further surged by 10.4% in the week of 12-Jun from end-May.
Its P/B of 0.78x is inexpensive at 1SD below the 5-year average. Its peers like Muyuan Foodstuff (002714 CH) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498 CH) are also interesting. 


COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 300 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Wuliangye, China Life, SHANGHAI PUDONG DEVELOPMENT BANK, BYD, PING AN INSURANCE, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES, GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE, Ping An Insurance.


CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MUYUAN’s 25H1 performance growth was strong. The core driving force lies in the Company's continued implementation of cost reduction and efficiency enhancement strategies, which have achieved satisfactory results.</li>
<li>Inflation expectations would push up hog prices. If the price can fluctuate within the range of RMB14-18/kg in next three years, it will provide a favorable profit environment for MUYUAN.</li>
<li>Valuation of MUYUAN should be higher than peers and the industry average. We raised our 2025 forecast. Based on 2025 net profit forecast, market value is about RMB240-300 billion.</li>
</ul>


MUYUAN’s 25H1 performance growth was strong. The core driving force lies in the Company's continued implementation of cost reduction and efficiency enhancement strategies, which have achieved satisfactory results.
Inflation expectations would push up hog prices. If the price can fluctuate within the range of RMB14-18/kg in next three years, it will provide a favorable profit environment for MUYUAN.
Valuation of MUYUAN should be higher than peers and the industry average. We raised our 2025 forecast. Based on 2025 net profit forecast, market value is about RMB240-300 billion.


Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods - Optimistic Performance Ensures the Future Growth Prospects

Debt Capital Markets

Asia High Yield Bond Index / Debt Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Inflation will remain sticky but we expect the recession headline to keep a lid on consumer spending which should also limit the possibility of a future rate hike.</li>
<li>We believe fixed rate bonds should be the instrument of choice toward the end of this year. </li>
<li>Rising default and a lack of growth in developed markets should also bode well for Asian US Dollar (USD) bonds.</li>
</ul>


Inflation will remain sticky but we expect the recession headline to keep a lid on consumer spending which should also limit the possibility of a future rate hike.
We believe fixed rate bonds should be the instrument of choice toward the end of this year. 
Rising default and a lack of growth in developed markets should also bode well for Asian US Dollar (USD) bonds.


Asian Bond Monitor: Asian Bonds for the Upcoming Recession

China

Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. produces meat products. The Company produces, processes, and sells chicken, duck, pork, and other related products. Guangdong Wens Foodstuffs Group also manufactures and markets cooked meat and frozen meat.

Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (300498 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (300498 CH)

Asian Bond Monitor: Chinese Bonds Are Back

Asian high-yield bonds, particularly Chinese credits, are performing well due to improving sentiment towards emerging markets, with a focus on non...

Bondcritic

COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuliangye (000858 CH), China Life (601628 CH), SHANGHAI PUDONG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods - Optimistic Performance Ensures the Future Growth Prospects

MUYUAN's strong performance is driven by cost reduction and efficiency strategies. Inflation expectations to boost hog price.Valuation to surpass...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Asian Bond Monitor: Asian Bonds for the Upcoming Recession

Inflation remains high but recession fears will limit consumer spending and future rate hikes. Fixed rate bonds and Asian USD bonds are...

Bondcritic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Bond Monitor: Chinese Bonds Are Back

​Asian high-yield bonds, particularly Chinese credits, are performing well due to improving sentiment towards emerging markets, with a focus on non...

Bondcritic

COFCO Joycome (1610 HK): Brewing a Hog Cycle Upturn?

​Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...

Osbert Tang, CFA

CSI 300 Index Earning Revision (Oct): Wuliangye, China Life, SPDB, BYD

We analyzed CSI 300's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Wuliangye (000858 CH), China Life (601628 CH), SHANGHAI PUDONG...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO Muyuan Foods - Optimistic Performance Ensures the Future Growth Prospects

​MUYUAN's strong performance is driven by cost reduction and efficiency strategies. Inflation expectations to boost hog price.Valuation to surpass...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Asian Bond Monitor: Asian Bonds for the Upcoming Recession

​Inflation remains high but recession fears will limit consumer spending and future rate hikes. Fixed rate bonds and Asian USD bonds are...

Bondcritic

Asian high-yield bonds, particularly Chinese credits, are performing well due to improving sentiment towards emerging markets, with a focus on non...

Cofco Joycome is well-positioned for China's hog cycle upturn, potential supply disruption from anti-dumping investigation into EU pork. Peers...

MUYUAN's strong performance is driven by cost reduction and efficiency strategies. Inflation expectations to boost hog price.Valuation to surpass...

Inflation remains high but recession fears will limit consumer spending and future rate hikes. Fixed rate bonds and Asian USD bonds are...