Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 53 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 532.</li>
<li>We expect 44 of the 53 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 9 March. 25 of the 28 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.</li>
<li>On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have massively outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


There are 53 adds and 28 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the March rebalance to take the number of index constituents up to 532.
We expect 44 of the 53 HSCI inclusions to be Stock Connect adds from the open on 9 March. 25 of the 28 deletions could be removed from Stock Connect.
On average, stocks that are expected to be added to Southbound Stock Connect have massively outperformed stocks that are expected to be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 53 Adds, 28 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

<ul>
<li>There could be 3 constituent changes for the HSIII Index in March along with capping changes for the largest index members.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.77bn. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pony-ai-inc-f40ea771-20a4-48e1-9405-0a35b4c4aadb" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46237:1" rel="noopener">Pony AI (2026 HK)</a> has been trading higher over the last several weeks on expectations of large passive buying over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There could be 3 constituent changes for the HSIII Index in March along with capping changes for the largest index members.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.77bn. There are a few stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.

Pony AI (2026 HK) has been trading higher over the last several weeks on expectations of large passive buying over the next couple of months.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Pony AI Jumps

<ul>
<li>There could be 49 potential inclusions and 25 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


There could be 49 potential inclusions and 25 potential deletions for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. There are more stocks that are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Mar 2026): Many Changes Following Huge IPO Quarter

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cidi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44089:1" rel="noopener">CiDi Inc (CIDI HK)</a> raised US$183m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CiDi is a leading autonomous driving technology provider for commercial vehicles in China, with a strong foothold in the autonomous mining segment.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



CiDi Inc (CIDI HK) raised US$183m in its Hong Kong IPO.
CiDi is a leading autonomous driving technology provider for commercial vehicles in China, with a strong foothold in the autonomous mining segment.
In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cidi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44089:1" rel="noopener">CiDi Inc (CIDI HK) </a>is looking to raise about US$183m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CiDi is a leading autonomous driving technology provider for commercial vehicles in China, with a strong foothold in the autonomous mining segment.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



CiDi Inc (CIDI HK) is looking to raise about US$183m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
CiDi is a leading autonomous driving technology provider for commercial vehicles in China, with a strong foothold in the autonomous mining segment.
In our previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the IPO valuations.


CiDi IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

China

WeRide Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides autonomous driving technology solutions designs to cater to a broad spectrum of scenarios from urban environments to highways. WeRide serves customers worldwide.

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WeRide (WRD US)

HSCI Index Rebalance: 53 Adds, 28 Deletes, Changes to Southbound Stock Connect & BIG Outperformance

There are 53 adds and 28 deletes for the HSCI in March. For Stock Connect, we expect 44 adds and 25 deletes. The forecast Connect adds have...

Brian Freitas

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: 3 Changes as Pony AI Jumps

There could be 3 constituent changes in March along with capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.3% resulting in a round-trip trade of...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Mar 2026): Many Changes Following Huge IPO Quarter

There could be 74 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 64 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

CiDi IPO Trading - Subdued Insti Demand

CiDi Inc. raised around US$183m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the IPO and demand and trading dynamics.

Akshat Shah

CiDi IPO - Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

CiDi Inc. is looking to raise about US$183m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the peer comp and IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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