IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a> entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg reports that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15350:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement (1102 TT)</a> is considering a buyout. </li>
<li>Privatisation interest is unsurprising, as ACC’s EV has been negative since 6 July 2022 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese property sector and uncertainty about cash use.</li>
<li>An offer price of HK$5.18 would imply a zero EV. However, due to the difficult trading conditions, we think an offer would be around HK$4.00 per share.</li>
</ul>



Asia Cement China (743 HK) entered a trading halt based on the Hong Kong Code on Takeovers and Mergers. Bloomberg reports that Asia Cement (1102 TT) is considering a buyout. 
Privatisation interest is unsurprising, as ACC’s EV has been negative since 6 July 2022 due to headwinds from the weak Chinese property sector and uncertainty about cash use.
An offer price of HK$5.18 would imply a zero EV. However, due to the difficult trading conditions, we think an offer would be around HK$4.00 per share.


Asia Cement China (743 HK): Privatisation by Asia Cement?

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Stable cement price, good cost control, and a better base for comparison will lift <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:159:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)</a>'s profitability recovery in 2-4Q24.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-gourgen-traffic-cons-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30237:1" rel="noopener"></a>
</li>
<li>Anhui Conch's earnings outperformed in 1Q24. Its peers are making losses and hence will reduce excess supply. Stabilisation of the real estate market will lower the pressure on demand.</li>
<li>Net cash equals 46% of the current share price, and its valuations (both PER and P/B) are inexpensive relative to peers and ROE.  </li>
</ul>


Stable cement price, good cost control, and a better base for comparison will lift Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)'s profitability recovery in 2-4Q24.  

Anhui Conch's earnings outperformed in 1Q24. Its peers are making losses and hence will reduce excess supply. Stabilisation of the real estate market will lower the pressure on demand.
Net cash equals 46% of the current share price, and its valuations (both PER and P/B) are inexpensive relative to peers and ROE.  


Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 10th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 10th): BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-316'>ENN Energy</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-16456'>ENN Natural Gas</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-17651'>Indofood CBP Sukses</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-9423'>West China Cement</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-473'>Wynn Macau Ltd</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.ENN EnergyENN Natural GasIndofood CBP SuksesWest China CementWynn Macau Ltd

Morning Views Asia: ENN Energy, ENN Natural Gas, Indofood CBP Sukses, West China Cement

<p>Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.</p><ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-30639'>Nickel Industries </a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-9423'>West China Cement</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Nickel Industries West China Cement

Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , West China Cement

China

West China Cement is a leading manufacturer and supplier of cement and cement products, including ordinary Portland, oil well, and specialized cements, as well as aggregates and commercial concrete. Its products are primarily used in infrastructure projects and housing construction across China, Africa, and Central Asia. The company was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Xi'an, Shaanxi province, China.

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West China Cement (2233 HK)

Asia Cement China (743 HK): Privatisation by Asia Cement?

An offer price of HK$5.18 would imply a zero EV. However, due to the difficult trading conditions, we think an offer would be around HK$4.00 per...

Arun George

Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK): Increasingly Favourable Odds

Anhui Conch Cement has rallied 14% in last week on the back of the government’s rescue of the property market through buying of unsold homes by...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 10th): BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou Technology

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, Li Auto, Meituan, HSBC, Tencent, CNOOC, Kuaishou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Morning Views Asia: ENN Energy, ENN Natural Gas, Indofood CBP Sukses, West China Cement

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Nickel Industries , West China Cement

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

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