CEO, CIO, ClearMacro

Mike Simcock

CEO, CIO

Strategic & Tactical Asset Allocation Global Macro

ClearMacro

CIO, & CEO ClearMacro Ltd
An institutional investor with over 25 years experience, laterly having spent 10 years at GIC Singapore SWF. Managng Director, managing Global Macro, FIxed Income (Europe) and Global Credit businesses.
Passionate about utilising technology to enhance portfolio idea generation across global, multi-asset classes and optimisation of the investment process.

Macroeconomics

<p>Strategic Portfolio returns available from strategic currency allocations. We review ClearMacro's expected returns methodology and the opportunities currently available from strategic currency allocations.  </p>

Strategic Portfolio returns available from strategic currency allocations. We review ClearMacro's expected returns methodology and the opportunities currently available from strategic currency allocations.  

Portfolio Return Opportunity from Strategic Currency Allocations?

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Tuesday 8 March 2016</p><div><strong>Cycle inflection points</strong></div><p>To view click on this link: </p><p><strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/2hBvPl15" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/2hBvPl15</a> </strong>4:14 min.</p><div>Our focus is on inflection turn signals across classes given we are entering a cycle turn date today that may stretch a few days but this week ST tops are due.</div><p>WTI close to 38 resistance after a big run is due for a at least a pullback within our more bullish March cycle.</p><div>CAD at even more interesting chart support for a short CAD/long USD. March is expected to…</div>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 8 March 2016Cycle inflection pointsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/2hBvPl15 4:14 min.Our focus is on inflection turn signals across classes given we are entering a cycle turn date today that may stretch a few days but this week ST tops are due.WTI close to 38 resistance after a big run is due for a at least a pullback within our more bullish March cycle.CAD at even more interesting chart support for a short CAD/long USD. March is expected to…

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Do not be lulled by a false sense of security with high NPL coverage. The figures can decline quickly and China is the quintessential example. &nbsp;Differences in NPL coverage trends, can help frame where banks are in their NPL cycle or how well prepared they are making themselves. Or both.&nbsp;</p><p>The stand out is China.</p>

Do not be lulled by a false sense of security with high NPL coverage. The figures can decline quickly and China is the quintessential example. &nbsp;Differences in NPL coverage trends, can help frame where banks are in their NPL cycle or how well prepared they are making themselves. Or both.&nbsp;The stand out is China.

Beware of NPL Coverage Trends Across Asia

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

<p>The RBA&rsquo;s recent communications continue to draw attention to the central bank&rsquo;s view that the Australian dollar remains relatively high given the decline in commodity prices and the state of the economy, and that a lower exchange rate is needed to achieve balanced growth in the economy.&nbsp; I develop a model of the Australian dollar that produces better out of sample performance during the Federal Reserve's zero interest rate policy.&nbsp; This and a modified model based on purchasing power parity suggests that the A$ is modestly under-valued relative to the US$,&nbsp; which has important implications for currency traders and the performance of Australian stocks with material US$ exposure.</p>

The RBA&rsquo;s recent communications continue to draw attention to the central bank&rsquo;s view that the Australian dollar remains relatively high given the decline in commodity prices and the state of the economy, and that a lower exchange rate is needed to achieve balanced growth in the economy.&nbsp; I develop a model of the Australian dollar that produces better out of sample performance during the Federal Reserve's zero interest rate policy.&nbsp; This and a modified model based on purchasing power parity suggests that the A$ is modestly under-valued relative to the US$,&nbsp; which has important implications for currency traders and the performance of Australian stocks with material US$ exposure.

A new narrative for the Australian dollar in a zirped-up world

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unibail-rodamco-westfield" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27181:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU)</strong></a>, Europe's largest listed commercial property company, recently reported solid 3Q23 financials (through to September 2023). </li>
<li>Covid played havoc on shopping mall players/developers - URW is still down 62% from its Covid cliff versus an average of 24% for a basket of peers.</li>
<li>Investor concerns over URW's strategy and leverage have been a drag on the stock; however its long-term plan is finding the right path. </li>
</ul>



Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield (URW AU), Europe's largest listed commercial property company, recently reported solid 3Q23 financials (through to September 2023). 
Covid played havoc on shopping mall players/developers - URW is still down 62% from its Covid cliff versus an average of 24% for a basket of peers.
Investor concerns over URW's strategy and leverage have been a drag on the stock; however its long-term plan is finding the right path. 


Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield: The Retail Community

Australia

Westfield Corp is a property trust that invests in, leases and manages over retail shopping centers in Australia, New Zealand, the United States and the United Kingdom.  The Group's operations also include funds and asset management and property development and construction.

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Westfield Corp (WFD AU)

Portfolio Return Opportunity from Strategic Currency Allocations?

Strategic Portfolio returns available from strategic currency allocations. We review ClearMacro's expected returns methodology and the...

ClearMacro

Cycle Inflection Turns

Chartonics webcast Tuesday 8 March 2016Cycle inflection pointsTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/2hBvPl15 4:14 min.Our focus...

Thomas Schroeder

Beware of NPL Coverage Trends Across Asia

Do not be lulled by a false sense of security with high NPL coverage. The figures can decline quickly and China is the quintessential example....

Daniel Tabbush

A new narrative for the Australian dollar in a zirped-up world

The RBA’s recent communications continue to draw attention to the central bank’s view that the Australian dollar remains relatively high given the...

Sam Ferraro

Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield: The Retail Community

Concerns over URW's strategy and leverage have been a drag on the stock; however its long-term plan is finding the right path. Not a hard catalyst...

David Blennerhassett

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