Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>After <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nzme-limited-ae7028be-d76c-4521-9668-48a03910e954" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24021:1" rel="noopener">NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU)</a>, publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.</li>
<li>The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. </li>
<li>Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.</li>
</ul>


After NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU), publisher of the NZ Herald, recently announced sweeping job cuts, the country's largest private sector union called for the government to step in.
The union said the cutbacks not only affected staff, but also readers seeking information on important issues. NZME's revamped strategy focuses on stories that engage audience. Or clickbait by detractors. 
Reports are now emerging of a possible takeover from local entrepreneurs. Those reports appear tenuous, at best.


NZME Limited (NZM NZ/AU): In Need Of A Good Story

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://archive.is/b5mG6" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reportedly</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-clinical-labs-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36020:1" rel="noopener">Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a> may reload a merger. </li>
<li>The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  </li>
<li>Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitol-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14504:1" rel="noopener">Capitol Health (CAJ AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/integral-diagnostics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24306:1" rel="noopener">Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU)</a> merged.</li>
</ul>



Reportedly, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) and Healius (HLS AU) may reload a merger. 
The 2023 merger of the second and third-largest pathology plays was blocked by the ACCC. Any follow-up merger will similarly be blocked unless the combined entity jettisons certain ops.  
Since the collapse of the merger, Healius has sold its diagnostic business; Crescent Capital has exited ACL; and Capitol Health (CAJ AU) and Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) merged.


Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) / Healius (HLS AU): Round 2?

Get Nice Financial Group Ltd / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 5th November, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16415:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Holdings (64 HK)</a> (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a> (GNF).</li>
<li>The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0122/2025012200343.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">backed the Offer</a>.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0210/2025021000033.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 5th November, Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) (GNH) announced a scrip Offer, by way of a Scheme, for 72.99%-held Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK) (GNF).
The (then) HK$1.116/share implied scrip price &amp; divvy compared to a book value of HK1.736/share. and net cash of ~HK$1.00/share. At the 22nd January EGM, GNH shareholders backed the Offer.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 7th March,  with new GNH shares trading on the 7th April. The IFA (Veda Capital) botched its peer analysis.


Get Nice Financial (1469 HK)'s Scheme Vote On The 7th March

<ul>
<li>On the 10th December 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> announced a Scheme buyback, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a chunky 95% premium to undisturbed.</li>
<li>Assuming the Scheme gets up, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:433:1" rel="noopener">Fosun International (656 HK)</a> and concert parties would hold 100% in Fosun Tourism.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0210/2025021000007.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 4th March, and expected settlement on the 26th March. The IFA (Altus Capital) says "fair and reasonable".</li>
</ul>


On the 10th December 2024, Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) announced a Scheme buyback, with a Cancellation Price of $7.80/share (not declared final), a chunky 95% premium to undisturbed.
Assuming the Scheme gets up, Fosun International (656 HK) and concert parties would hold 100% in Fosun Tourism.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 4th March, and expected settlement on the 26th March. The IFA (Altus Capital) says "fair and reasonable".


Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)'s Scheme Buyback Vote On The 4th March

<ul>
<li>You could label <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)</a>"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wh-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13200:1" rel="noopener">WH Group (288 HK)</a>spins off <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smithfield-foods-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44251:1" rel="noopener">Smithfield Foods (SFD US)</a> - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.</li>
<li>As <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">China National Building Material (3323 HK)</a>'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?</li>
</ul>


You could label Kyocera Corp (6971 JP)"BULLISH" because the stock goes up rather than down; but you could easily label this BEARISH because the prospects aren't exciting.

WH Group (288 HK)spins off Smithfield Foods (SFD US) - below the prior expected price range.  Pricing looks full here.
As China National Building Material (3323 HK)'s Partial Offer heads towards the pointy end, do you buy, and/or borrow, and tender; short outright; or short tender?


Last Week in Event SPACE: Kyocera, WH Group/Smithfield, CNBM, Japan Eyewear, Core Concept Tech

Australia

Auswide Bank Ltd provides banking and financial services. The Bank offers home loans and mortgages, investment opportunities, electronic banking, insurance, credit cards, financial advisory, term deposits, business support, and foreign exchange services. Auswide Bank serves customers in Australia.

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Auswide Bank (ABA AU)

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This is a clean deal. Assuming payment early April, I'd pay up to HK$7.67/share for a gross/annualised return of 2%/15%.

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