Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA.  This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to see how they compare with the long-term trend and to understand whether or not the current uptick is likely to continue.  The conclusion is that today's market is higher than it would be if the China-US trade war were not a concern.  A mid-2020 collapse is more than likely.

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA.  This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to see how they compare with the long-term trend and to understand whether or not the current uptick is likely to continue.  The conclusion is that today's market is higher than it would be if the China-US trade war were not a concern.  A mid-2020 collapse is more than likely.

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

Over the past few quarters leading DRAM and NAND flash makers have outlined their plans to cut wafer production by small percentages.  This can easily be misread as an equivalent reduction in output.  Instead, the output reduction is always significantly less, perhaps even trivial.  This SmartKarma Insight explains why this is the case and helps the investor to understand how to read these statements.

Over the past few quarters leading DRAM and NAND flash makers have outlined their plans to cut wafer production by small percentages.  This can easily be misread as an equivalent reduction in output.  Instead, the output reduction is always significantly less, perhaps even trivial.  This SmartKarma Insight explains why this is the case and helps the investor to understand how to read these statements.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. While we want to acknowledge that the potential for a US-China tariff escalation remains a risk for the market, we believe this is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. In our December International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our positive outlook, including actionable trade ideas in technology, health care and manufacturing.

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. While we want to acknowledge that the potential for a US-China tariff escalation remains a risk for the market, we believe this is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. In our December International Strategy, we highlight various themes which lead to our positive outlook, including actionable trade ideas in technology, health care and manufacturing.

Global Equities Headed Up and to the Right: Technology, Health Care Leading

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>
 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.</li>
<li>
 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.</li>
<li>
 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.</li>
</ul>



 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.

 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.

 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.


Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Taiwan

Winbond Electronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits (IC) and related products.  The Company sells its products in Taiwan, the United States, and Hong Kong.

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Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA. This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to...

Jim Handy

What a 5% DRAM Wafer Cut Really Means

Over the past few quarters leading DRAM and NAND flash makers have outlined their plans to cut wafer production by small percentages. This can...

Jim Handy

Global Equities Headed Up and to the Right: Technology, Health Care Leading

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

November Semiconductor Stats Good, But China Inventory Build May Be Misleading

Monthly chip revenues declined slightly in November, according to the SIA. This SmartKarma Insight examines recently-reported industry revenues to...

Jim Handy

What a 5% DRAM Wafer Cut Really Means

Over the past few quarters leading DRAM and NAND flash makers have outlined their plans to cut wafer production by small percentages. This can...

Jim Handy

Global Equities Headed Up and to the Right: Technology, Health Care Leading

Our weight of the evidence approach leads us to believe the market remains in the early stages of a broad-based advance, meaning a buy-the-dip...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

​Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...