Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Macronix International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Building on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/macronix-shows-nor-flash-cycle-turning-as-ai-infrastructure-reshapes-memory-demand" target="_blank" rel="noopener">our Jan 28 analysis</a> of the NOR flash cycle trough, Macronix January revenue of NT$3.2bn, +35%YoY (+40% for NOR) and recent industry developments, signal strength amid tightening supply.</li>
<li>
AI's memory narrative often spotlights HBM and advanced NAND, but NOR memory is the quiet enabler in the datacenter's backbone—storing boot code, servers firmware, BMCs, and configuration data for networking.</li>
<li>
 Macronix International (2337 TT) and Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) together control the majority of global NOR supply. We've increased our model forecasts for Macrionix, see further upside for the stock.</li>
</ul>



Building on our Jan 28 analysis of the NOR flash cycle trough, Macronix January revenue of NT$3.2bn, +35%YoY (+40% for NOR) and recent industry developments, signal strength amid tightening supply.

AI's memory narrative often spotlights HBM and advanced NAND, but NOR memory is the quiet enabler in the datacenter's backbone—storing boot code, servers firmware, BMCs, and configuration data for networking.

 Macronix International (2337 TT) and Winbond Electronics (2344 TT) together control the majority of global NOR supply. We've increased our model forecasts for Macrionix, see further upside for the stock.


Macronix (2337 TT): NOR Flash Shortage Intensifies as AI Racks Drive New Type of Demand

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-precision-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44938:1" rel="noopener">Hon Precision (7769 TT)</a> is an inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this inclusion will add to the flow and impact for the stock.  </li>
<li>There has been a big uptick in short interest in the forecast deletes and there will be short covering on a drop in the stock prices.</li>
</ul>


There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF and 1 deletion for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in March.

Hon Precision (7769 TT) is an inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this inclusion will add to the flow and impact for the stock.  
There has been a big uptick in short interest in the forecast deletes and there will be short covering on a drop in the stock prices.


Taiwan Top 50 / Yuanta Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Flow for the Adds; Big Impact for Deletes

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 13th. The aggregated holding was USD1,714.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,958mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, MediaTek, Lite-On Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Feb 13th. The aggregated holding was USD1,714.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD2,958mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, MediaTek, Lite-On Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 13th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, MediaTek

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>A major global index provider will announce its quarterly review results on 10th February 2026. There could be tens of billions of dollars of flows during this event.</li>
<li>This insight shows our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for all 47 markets in the index universe for the upcoming rebal event.</li>
<li>The Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the end of February 2026.</li>
</ul>


A major global index provider will announce its quarterly review results on 10th February 2026. There could be tens of billions of dollars of flows during this event.
This insight shows our final expectations for ADDs/DELs for all 47 markets in the index universe for the upcoming rebal event.
The Inclusion/Exclusion events will take place at the end of February 2026.


Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

<ul>
<li>There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in March. With one stock very close to entering inclusion zone, that could increase to 6.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-precision-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44938:1" rel="noopener">Hon Precision (7769 TT)</a> is a potential inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this ETF inclusion comes a few weeks later.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a very wide margin as short interest has surged in some of the forecast deletions.</li>
</ul>


There could be 5 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in March. With one stock very close to entering inclusion zone, that could increase to 6.

Hon Precision (7769 TT) is a potential inclusion to a global index at the end of February, and this ETF inclusion comes a few weeks later.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes by a very wide margin as short interest has surged in some of the forecast deletions.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

Taiwan

Winbond Electronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells integrated circuits (IC) and related products.  The Company sells its products in Taiwan, the United States, and Hong Kong.

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Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)

Macronix (2337 TT): NOR Flash Shortage Intensifies as AI Racks Drive New Type of Demand

Macronix's strong revenue growth signals NOR flash cycle turning amid tightening supply, highlighting its importance in datacenter infrastructure.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 / Yuanta Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Flow for the Adds; Big Impact for Deletes

There could be 5 changes for the Top50 ETF and 1 deletion for the TWDP ETF. There is big flow for the forecast adds and big impact for the forecast...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 13th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

There were 124 changes confirmed for the Feb26 rebal. We correctly predicted 108 changes which is 87% of the confirmed changes. We achieved hit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

There could be 5 changes for the ETF in March. With one stock close to rank 40, that could increase to 6 changes. Only 3 trading days to cutoff....

Brian Freitas

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Macronix (2337 TT): NOR Flash Shortage Intensifies as AI Racks Drive New Type of Demand

​Macronix's strong revenue growth signals NOR flash cycle turning amid tightening supply, highlighting its importance in datacenter infrastructure.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 / Yuanta Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Big Flow for the Adds; Big Impact for Deletes

There could be 5 changes for the Top50 ETF and 1 deletion for the TWDP ETF. There is big flow for the forecast adds and big impact for the forecast...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Feb 13th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl, MediaTek

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Macronix Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Predictions for the Major Global Index Rebal in Feb 2026

There were 124 changes confirmed for the Feb26 rebal. We correctly predicted 108 changes which is 87% of the confirmed changes. We achieved hit...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes a Side Could Increase to 6

There could be 5 changes for the ETF in March. With one stock close to rank 40, that could increase to 6 changes. Only 3 trading days to cutoff....

Brian Freitas

Macronix's strong revenue growth signals NOR flash cycle turning amid tightening supply, highlighting its importance in datacenter infrastructure.