Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>India / In Depth: India’s sputtering efforts to boost manufacturing investment</li><li>Jobs /: More young Chinese are giving up on the job hunt, study says</li><li>Batteries /: China tightens export rules to protect its lead in lithium battery tech</li></ul>

India / In Depth: India’s sputtering efforts to boost manufacturing investmentJobs /: More young Chinese are giving up on the job hunt, study saysBatteries /: China tightens export rules to protect its lead in lithium battery tech

CX Daily: India’s Sputtering Efforts to Boost Manufacturing Investment 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U.S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce advanced chips would have limited impact on their operations.</li><li>The U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday added 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its Entity List, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.</li><li>The<a href="https://www.caixinglobal.com/2024-12-04/backlash-from-key-chinese-industries-as-us-expands-chip-export-restrictions-102264222.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener"><strong> new rules</strong></a><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);"> also restrict exports of high-bandwidth memory, a core component for AI development.</span></li></ul>

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U.S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce advanced chips would have limited impact on their operations.The U.S. Department of Commerce on Monday added 140 companies, including 136 Chinese firms, to its Entity List, effectively banning them from accessing U.S. advanced chip and AI-related technology.The new rules also restrict exports of high-bandwidth memory, a core component for AI development.

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs   

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Despite wide-spread social media expectations of China's electronics industry benefiting from Middle East supply chain disruptions following explosive incidents, September trade data suggested otherwise;</li>
<li>Middle East exports declined 2.1% yoy, underperforming other regions, while electronics were worse, declining 7.0% yoy. Communication device exports to Iran, Palestine and Lebanon were among the worst performing categories;</li>
<li>This suggests terrorist related trade was a negligible portion. As customs data are two-way verifiable, we believe we can safely conclude China doesn't benefit from the war in Mid East.</li>
</ul>


Despite wide-spread social media expectations of China's electronics industry benefiting from Middle East supply chain disruptions following explosive incidents, September trade data suggested otherwise;
Middle East exports declined 2.1% yoy, underperforming other regions, while electronics were worse, declining 7.0% yoy. Communication device exports to Iran, Palestine and Lebanon were among the worst performing categories;
This suggests terrorist related trade was a negligible portion. As customs data are two-way verifiable, we believe we can safely conclude China doesn't benefit from the war in Mid East.


Did China Exports Really Benefit from the Israel/Lebanon Pager Attack?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>MS-China adds 33 names and deletes 32, effective 1 Sep 2026. The ADDs include 31 A-shares and 2 HK stocks, the DELETEs 25 and 7.</li>
<li>Our ADD Hit rate was 15 of 16 announced (94%), with 1 false positive in 16 calls. DELETE Hit rate was 9 of 12 (75%).</li>
<li>All announced 33 ADDs enter the bridge after a +20.3% average run. We won't chase gap-ups.</li>
</ul>


MS-China adds 33 names and deletes 32, effective 1 Sep 2026. The ADDs include 31 A-shares and 2 HK stocks, the DELETEs 25 and 7.
Our ADD Hit rate was 15 of 16 announced (94%), with 1 false positive in 16 calls. DELETE Hit rate was 9 of 12 (75%).
All announced 33 ADDs enter the bridge after a +20.3% average run. We won't chase gap-ups.


MS-China Sep 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

China

Wingtech Technology Co.,Ltd manufactures communications equipment. The Company produces mobile phones, tablets, smart devices, and other equipment. Wingtech Technology also operates real estate development, hotel management, financing, and other businesses.

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Wingtech Technology (600745 CH)

CX Daily: India’s Sputtering Efforts to Boost Manufacturing Investment

TOP STORIES India / In Depth: India’s sputtering efforts to boost manufacturing investment Last month, Prime Minister Narendra Modi laid out his...

Caixin Global

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U. S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce...

Caixin Global

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

MS-China Sep 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

MGlobal Index announced the Review results after market close on 12 Aug with 33 ADDs and 32 DELETEs, effective 1 Sep. We review the pre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: India’s Sputtering Efforts to Boost Manufacturing Investment

TOP STORIES India / In Depth: India’s sputtering efforts to boost manufacturing investment Last month, Prime Minister Narendra Modi laid out his...

Caixin Global

Chinese Chip Firms Play Down Impact of New U.S. Export Curbs

Several companies in China’s semiconductor supply chain said new U. S. export restrictions aimed at crippling the country’s ability to produce...

Caixin Global

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Did China Exports Really Benefit from the Israel/Lebanon Pager Attack?

Despite expectations, China's Middle East exports have yet to see benefit from the pager attacks. On the contrary, electronics and communication...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

MS-China Sep 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

MGlobal Index announced the Review results after market close on 12 Aug with 33 ADDs and 32 DELETEs, effective 1 Sep. We review the pre...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM