Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 5.8% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 4.67bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last six months and there has been renewed outperformance over the last month.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.</li><li>The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).</li><li>China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI China index by 5.4ppt, delivering 0.2% return (vs MSCI China 5.6%).China Meidong Auto and Innovent Biologics delivered over 20% of return, and 4 of our 21 long ideas outperformed the benchmark.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,809.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, consumer discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 18th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$4,809.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, consumer discretionary sectors.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.


Northbound Flows (Nov 18th): Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Wingtech received an official notice from the UK government on 17 Nov that the Company was required to sell at least 86% stake of its Newport Wafer Fab (“NWF”) (acquired in 2021 with 100% ownership).</li><li>Wingtech believes the order has no significant impact on operations.</li><li>Potential loss may incur if future transaction price is lower than the acquisition price but the impact should be limited.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Wingtech received an official notice from the UK government on 17 Nov that the Company was required to sell at least 86% stake of its Newport Wafer Fab (“NWF”) (acquired in 2021 with 100% ownership).Wingtech believes the order has no significant impact on operations.Potential loss may incur if future transaction price is lower than the acquisition price but the impact should be limited.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Wingtech (600745 CH) – NWF Divesture Order Will Have Trivial Impact on Operation

China

Wingtech Technology Co.,Ltd manufactures communications equipment. The Company produces mobile phones, tablets, smart devices, and other equipment. Wingtech Technology also operates real estate development, hotel management, financing, and other businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wingtech Technology (600745 CH)

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Powering Higher

Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 10 potential adds/8 potential deletes in December. Turnover is over 5% and the potential...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CMBI Research Focus List (November Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

In our last report dated 17 October, we highlighted a list of 21 long ideas.The basket (equal weighted) of these 21 stocks underperformed MSCI...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Nov 18th): Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, China Merchants Bank, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Wingtech (600745 CH) – NWF Divesture Order Will Have Trivial Impact on Operation

Wingtech received an official notice from the UK government on 17 Nov that the Company was required to sell at least 86% stake of its Newport Wafer...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)