Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We hosted over 15 companies and several industry experts at the HDFC Securities’ 8th annual IT conference</li><li>Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand</li><li>(2) stable to upward bias in pricing and some improvement in the decision cycle</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted over 15 companies and several industry experts at the HDFC Securities’ 8th annual IT conferenceKey takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand(2) stable to upward bias in pricing and some improvement in the decision cycleContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Adani Ports to Invest INR 3,500 Crore in Madhya Pradesh Projects</li>
<li>Wipro's Strategic AI Partnerships in US Healthcare: Strong FY25 Forecast</li>
<li>Dixon Technologies to Partner with China’s HKC for Display Module Manufacturing</li>
</ul>


Adani Ports to Invest INR 3,500 Crore in Madhya Pradesh Projects
Wipro's Strategic AI Partnerships in US Healthcare: Strong FY25 Forecast
Dixon Technologies to Partner with China’s HKC for Display Module Manufacturing


# 52 India Insight: Reliance AGM, Wipro AI Partnership, Adani Ports INR 3,500 Crores Investment

<ul>
<li>ONGC plans a Rs 2 lakh crore investment for net-zero carbon emissions by 2038, boosting shares</li>
<li>Jupiter Wagons' shares dropped 3% following the announcement of a Qualified Institutional Placement</li>
<li>India’s defence exports surged 32.5% to Rs.21,083 crore in FY24, reflecting robust growth and global reach</li>
</ul>


ONGC plans a Rs 2 lakh crore investment for net-zero carbon emissions by 2038, boosting shares
Jupiter Wagons' shares dropped 3% following the announcement of a Qualified Institutional Placement
India’s defence exports surged 32.5% to Rs.21,083 crore in FY24, reflecting robust growth and global reach


#28 India Insight: ONGC INR 2 Crore Investment, Jupiter Wagons QIP, Indian Defence Exports Surged

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q1FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.</li><li>However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement.</li><li>Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The IT Services sector is anticipated to exhibit moderated growth in Q1FY25, primarily due to weaker discretionary spending, driven by uncertainties in macroeconomic conditions and upcoming elections in the US.However, non-discretionary spending is expected to see some improvement.Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and reduced discretionary spending.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

India

Wipro Limited is an Indian multinational technology company that provides information technology, consulting, and business process services. Its offerings include digital strategy, cloud transformation, cybersecurity, data analytics, and artificial intelligence solutions across various industries. The company is headquartered in Bengaluru, India, and was founded on December 29, 1945.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Wipro (WIT US)

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

IT Sector: Recovery Signs

Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand (2) stable to upward bias...

HDFC Securities

# 52 India Insight: Reliance AGM, Wipro AI Partnership, Adani Ports INR 3,500 Crores Investment

Adani Ports investing in Madhya Pradesh, Wipro's AI partnerships in US healthcare drive strong forecast, Dixon Technologies partnering with HKC...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#28 India Insight: ONGC INR 2 Crore Investment, Jupiter Wagons QIP, Indian Defence Exports Surged

ONGC plans massive investment for net-zero emissions, Jupiter Wagons shares drop after QIP, India's defence exports surge 32.5% in FY24.

Sudarshan Bhandari

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

IT Sector: Recovery Signs

Key takeaways included (1) continued (prosaic) commentary on cost optimisation focus but signs of improvement in demand (2) stable to upward bias...

HDFC Securities

# 52 India Insight: Reliance AGM, Wipro AI Partnership, Adani Ports INR 3,500 Crores Investment

​Adani Ports investing in Madhya Pradesh, Wipro's AI partnerships in US healthcare drive strong forecast, Dixon Technologies partnering with HKC...

Sudarshan Bhandari

#28 India Insight: ONGC INR 2 Crore Investment, Jupiter Wagons QIP, Indian Defence Exports Surged

​ONGC plans massive investment for net-zero emissions, Jupiter Wagons shares drop after QIP, India's defence exports surge 32.5% in FY24.

Sudarshan Bhandari

It Services Q1fy25 Result Preview – Moderated Growth; Recovery Expected

Many large enterprises are likely to prioritize cost optimizations, resulting in an increase in cost take-out deals, vendor consolidation, and...

Axis Direct

Adani Ports investing in Madhya Pradesh, Wipro's AI partnerships in US healthcare drive strong forecast, Dixon Technologies partnering with HKC...

ONGC plans massive investment for net-zero emissions, Jupiter Wagons shares drop after QIP, India's defence exports surge 32.5% in FY24.