Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Yang Ming Marine Transport / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).</li>
<li>Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.</li>
<li>We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 363bn (US$12.1bn).
Following a change in methodology, there could be 16 adds and 6 deletes in June with an estimated one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn.
We expect the adds to outperform the deletes over the next few days, following which reversion could set in.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Realtek Semiconductor, Wisdom Marine Lines, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Yang Ming Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jan 3rd which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.1bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Realtek Semiconductor, Wisdom Marine Lines, Wiwynn, Eva Airways, Yang Ming Marine.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 3rd): Realtek Semiconductor, Wisdom Marine Lines, Wiwynn

<ul>
<li>There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 changes a side for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in December. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919TW) has an AUM of US$9.3bn.
Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of US$3.2bn. All adds and deletes have over 5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The rebalance will be implemented over 8 trading days and the ETF started trading some stocks late last week and the rest from 17 December.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. / Index Rebalance

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. (2880 TT)

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. 
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).</li>
<li>We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.</li>
</ul>


The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF (00919 TW) tracks the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index and has an AUM of TWD 285bn (US$8.75bn).
We forecast 8 changes a side at the December rebalance with an estimated one-way turnover of around 16% and a round-trip trade of around US$2.8bn.
An equal weighted basket of potential inclusions has outperformed an equal weighted basket of potential deletions since the start of July with most of the outperformance coming from September.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Taiwan

Wisdom Marine Lines Company Ltd. transports freight by ship.  The Company operates bulk carriers, loggers, tweendeckers, multipurpose ships, roll-on and roll-offs, and container ships.

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Wisdom Marine Lines (2637 TT)

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebal Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$9bn Trade

A change in methodology could result in 16 adds and 6 deletes in June leading to one-way turnover of 39% and a round-trip trade of US$9bn. The adds...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jan 3rd): Realtek Semiconductor, Wisdom Marine Lines, Wiwynn

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Realtek Semiconductor, Wisdom Marine Lines,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$3.2bn Trade with BIG Impact

There are 8 changes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 17.2% and round-trip trade is US$3.2bn. All add/deletes have over 5x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Div Index Rebalance Preview: US$2.8bn Trade as Adds Outperform

Announcement of the changes will made post market close today. The potential adds and deletes have performed in line since the end of the review...

Brian Freitas

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