Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Wistron Corp's share price is up 96% in the past six months. Despite its outstanding results, a lot of the positives have already been reflected in its share price.  </li>
<li>We think a more likely scenario for the stock is to undergo a period of share price consolidation in the next several months. </li>
<li>Its valuations also appear stretched, especially in terms of P/E and P/B valuation multiples as compared to their historical valuation multiples. </li>
</ul>


Wistron Corp's share price is up 96% in the past six months. Despite its outstanding results, a lot of the positives have already been reflected in its share price.  
We think a more likely scenario for the stock is to undergo a period of share price consolidation in the next several months. 
Its valuations also appear stretched, especially in terms of P/E and P/B valuation multiples as compared to their historical valuation multiples. 


Wistron Corp: Valuations Stretched After a 96% Share Price Climb in 6 Months

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors</li>
<li>After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.</li>
<li>We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.</li>
</ul>


Y/Y improvement for LCD, PMIC, GaAs RF, gaming card, cooling system, semi equipment&amp;material, semi fab construction, memory, and foundry vendors but more y/y deterioration for WiFi and CMOS sensor vendors
After 6 vendors beating consensus, we might see AI server supply chain, large panel LCD driver, WiFi/networking, and NAND flash vendors in US to report a better than expected 1Q24.
We might see 8"/12" raw wafer (like Shin Etsu, SUMCO , National Silicon Industry, Siltronic AG) vendors in Japan, China, and Germany to report a worse than expected 1Q24.


Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. </li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. </li>
</ul>


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. 
Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names</li>
<li>Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure</li>
<li>TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength</li>
</ul>


Nvidia GTC Conference This Week Likely to Create Newsflow for Many Tech Names
Samsung Could Hike NAND Flash Prices by 20%; Silicon Motion for Exposure
TSMC Reportedly Placing Orders for Additional Advanced Packaging Capacity, Likely In Response to Demand Strength


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech Plays Have Soared Since TSMC's Strong Outlook, and SK Hynix Reported a Return to Op Profit</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron</li>
<li>Key Upcoming Events -- Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, UMC Results Ahead</li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech Plays Have Soared Since TSMC's Strong Outlook, and SK Hynix Reported a Return to Op Profit
Memory Monitor: Microsoft Copilot Will Supercharge Demand for DRAM; SK Hynix, Nanya Tech, Micron
Key Upcoming Events -- Intel, Microsoft, Mediatek, UMC Results Ahead


Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

Taiwan

Wistron Corporation manufactures and markets notebook computers, personal computers, and other related information products.

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Wistron Corp (3231 TT)

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Wistron Corp: Valuations Stretched After a 96% Share Price Climb in 6 Months

Wistron Corp's share price is up 96% in the past six months. Despite its outstanding results, a lot of the positives have already been reflected in...

Douglas Kim

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales

Early Signs from the Reported March/1Q24 Taiwan Semi/Tech Sales; we might see AI server, WiFi/networking, and NAND vendors in US to beat 1Q24 but...

Andrew Lu

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

​TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Conference; Samsung to Hike NAND Prices; TSMC Adding Capex Due to Demand

​Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: SK Hynix Boosts Optimism for Memory; Intel, Mediatek, Microsoft, UMC Key Events

​A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Many Taiwanese companies participating at Nvidia's GTC conference this week. Local reports say Samsung to hike NAND flash prices by 20%. Also,...

A strong outlook from TSMC and SK Hynix's return to op profit have boosted Taiwan tech; Why Microsoft's Copilot will accelerate demand for DRAM;...