IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>, which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. </p></div><div><p>At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $16.00-18.00 per ADS, TDCX will have a market cap of $2.4 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $294.5 million, below the rumoured $400 million raise target. TDCX has received indications of interest worth 2% of the ADSs being offered from the founder, directors and officers. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay $188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.</p></div><div><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tdcx-ipo-initiation-good-service" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:57442" rel="noopener">TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service</a>, we stated that in a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a>. This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. We concluded that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the IPO price range.  </p></div></div></div>

TDCX (TDCX US), which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. At the mid-point of the proposed IPO price range of $16.00-18.00 per ADS, TDCX will have a market cap of $2.4 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the net proceeds are $294.5 million, below the rumoured $400 million raise target. TDCX has received indications of interest worth 2% of the ADSs being offered from the founder, directors and officers. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay $188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.In TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service, we stated that in a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US). This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. We concluded that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the IPO price range.  

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>, which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.</p><p>The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a>. This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.</p></div>

TDCX (TDCX US), which is headquartered in Singapore, is a digital customer experience (CX) solutions provider for innovative technology and other blue-chip companies. TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400 million, according to press reports. The IPO proceeds will be used to repay US$188.0 million of the Credit Suisse facility (related to the acquisition of the founder’s interests in TDCX KY) and to expand into new markets.The business Support Services (BSS) industry has moved from a focus on cost arbitrage solutions to driving business outcomes and creating value for customers. There remains a significant portion of higher value-added workstreams that remain reliant on human expertise as businesses continue to deal with customers who request more engaging experiences. CX services, which is a subset of the BSS industry, is forecasted to grow 6.6% CAGR from 2021 to 2025 to reach US$100.4 billion in 2025, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. In a competitive market, TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high growth and sector-leading margin. The key risk is the high dependence on two customers, Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US). This customer risk is partly mitigated by long-standing relationships. Overall, we believe that TDCX’s fundamentals are attractive.

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas, CrossASEAN Research

Henry Soediarko

Asian Insight Provider - Actionable ideas

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<p>March 2021 was the first time in the past pandemic-stricken year that air travel volume has climbed back to the 2019 level pre-COVID-19 era. Volume recovery is the main thesis for Travelsky but somehow its share price has not received the same attention from investors to trade on par with the airlines that are still loss-making and naturally saddled with a higher debt to equity ratio. </p>
<p>Bullish on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> . </p>
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March 2021 was the first time in the past pandemic-stricken year that air travel volume has climbed back to the 2019 level pre-COVID-19 era. Volume recovery is the main thesis for Travelsky but somehow its share price has not received the same attention from investors to trade on par with the airlines that are still loss-making and naturally saddled with a higher debt to equity ratio. 
Bullish on Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) . 


Travelsky (696): Recovery and Undervalued Vs Airlines

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> remains the de-facto SaaS play in the Chinese domestic airlines' industry that is proven by the higher ROE and lower debt level compared to the airlines in general. Volumes have recovered post the worse COVID-19 period thanks to the decisive government policy and as of October 2020, the YoY variance has narrowed to -1.3% compared to -46.7% in May 2020, further reinforcing the investment thesis that domestic travel that makes up to 85% of the group's business is recovering on the right direction. </p>
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<p><strong>Investors should treat <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travelsky-technology-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19829:1" rel="noopener">Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK)</a> as an ETF to get exposure to the air travel recovery in China without the hassle of picking which airlines to buy.</strong></p>
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Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) remains the de-facto SaaS play in the Chinese domestic airlines' industry that is proven by the higher ROE and lower debt level compared to the airlines in general. Volumes have recovered post the worse COVID-19 period thanks to the decisive government policy and as of October 2020, the YoY variance has narrowed to -1.3% compared to -46.7% in May 2020, further reinforcing the investment thesis that domestic travel that makes up to 85% of the group's business is recovering on the right direction. 

Investors should treat Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) as an ETF to get exposure to the air travel recovery in China without the hassle of picking which airlines to buy.


Travelsky (696): Muted Impact from New Virus

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India, Yellowstone Equity

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

Equity L/S Analyst | Forensic Accounting | India

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/firstsource-solutions-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3099:1" rel="noopener">Firstsource Solutions (FSOL IN)</a> is a well-recognized BPO player with marquee clients globally. Its client base includes the likes of a leading auto lender in US, 5 of the top 10 mortgage servicers in US, 4 of the top 10 lenders in US, 3 of the top 5 credit card issuers in US, 3 of the top 6 retail banks in UK,  global media houses like Sky, 2 of the top 6 telecom and broadcasting companies in US, 5 of the top 10 health insurance/managed care companies and 650+ hospitals in US.<br><br>While the jury is still out there on how much the BPO industry would be impacted by COVID-19, we believe that from a medium-term to long-term perspective, it will only benefit led by accelerated digital adoption and outsourcing to enhance cost efficiency and improve operational resilience. Our strong outlook on the industry coupled with favorable valuation of FSOL makes us bullish on the stock.</p>
<p>Insight Flow:</p>
<ul>
<li>Q4FY20 Earnings Update</li>
<li>Business Background</li>
<li>FSOL's Competitive Advantages</li>
<li>Revenue Growth Drivers &amp; Margin Expansion</li>
<li>Valuation</li>
<li>Conclusion</li>
</ul>

Firstsource Solutions (FSOL IN) is a well-recognized BPO player with marquee clients globally. Its client base includes the likes of a leading auto lender in US, 5 of the top 10 mortgage servicers in US, 4 of the top 10 lenders in US, 3 of the top 5 credit card issuers in US, 3 of the top 6 retail banks in UK,  global media houses like Sky, 2 of the top 6 telecom and broadcasting companies in US, 5 of the top 10 health insurance/managed care companies and 650+ hospitals in US.  While the jury is still out there on how much the BPO industry would be impacted by COVID-19, we believe that from a medium-term to long-term perspective, it will only benefit led by accelerated digital adoption and outsourcing to enhance cost efficiency and improve operational resilience. Our strong outlook on the industry coupled with favorable valuation of FSOL makes us bullish on the stock.
Insight Flow:

Q4FY20 Earnings Update
Business Background
FSOL's Competitive Advantages
Revenue Growth Drivers &amp; Margin Expansion
Valuation
Conclusion


Firstsource Solutions: An Attractive and Undervalued BPO Player

India

WNS (Holdings) Ltd., operates as a holding company The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides business process outsourcing services including finance, accounting, customer relationship management, and business administration services.

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Wns Holdings Ltd Adr (WNS US)

TDCX IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that TDCX is attractively valued to its customer experience (CX) centric peers, particularly at the low-end of the...

Arun George

TDCX IPO Initiation: Good Service

TDCX has filed for an NYSE IPO to raise proceeds of $400m. TDCX’s differentiated value-added services are reflected in market share gains, high...

Arun George

Travelsky (696): Recovery and Undervalued Vs Airlines

Volume recovery is the main thesis for Travelsky but its share price has not received the same attention from investors and u/perform the airlines...

Henry Soediarko

Travelsky (696): Muted Impact from New Virus

Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) is comparable to an ETF for investors who want to get exposure to the air travel recovery in China without...

Henry Soediarko

Firstsource Solutions: An Attractive and Undervalued BPO Player

Firstsource Solutions (FSOL IN) is a well-recognized BPO player with marquee clients globally. Its client base includes the likes of a leading auto...

Ankit Agrawal, CFA

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