Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rohm's relative share price is trading above the 200-day moving average for the first time since August 2023.</li>
<li>Inventory de-stocking for SiC-based semiconductor suppliers is nearing its end, paving the way for order replenishment </li>
<li>Analysts expect Rohm’s margins to lag those of rivals in the recovery, but Rohm has done more to cut inventories than any other. </li>
</ul>


Rohm's relative share price is trading above the 200-day moving average for the first time since August 2023.
Inventory de-stocking for SiC-based semiconductor suppliers is nearing its end, paving the way for order replenishment 
Analysts expect Rohm’s margins to lag those of rivals in the recovery, but Rohm has done more to cut inventories than any other. 


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Himax Technologies Inc Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
China’s push for 100% auto chip localization by 2027 poses risk to Himax, which derived 75% of 1Q25 revenue from China. We engaged the company for comments./</li>
<li>
Himax may avoid direct targeting due to Taiwanese roots and local production via CN Nexchip, and we believe is less vulnerable than Western firms like NXP, TI, and Wolfspeed.</li>
<li>
Copackaged Optics (CPO) industry momentum continues to build as Himax continues role alongside TSMC and FOCI; industry moves from Nvidia, AMD validate long-term optical interconnect opportunity Himax is positioned for.</li>
</ul>



China’s push for 100% auto chip localization by 2027 poses risk to Himax, which derived 75% of 1Q25 revenue from China. We engaged the company for comments./

Himax may avoid direct targeting due to Taiwanese roots and local production via CN Nexchip, and we believe is less vulnerable than Western firms like NXP, TI, and Wolfspeed.

Copackaged Optics (CPO) industry momentum continues to build as Himax continues role alongside TSMC and FOCI; industry moves from Nvidia, AMD validate long-term optical interconnect opportunity Himax is positioned for.


TechChain Insights: Himax Threatened by China Auto Chip Push? CPO Tech with TSMC Remains Bright Spot

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>The rankings used for the June 2025 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (4th June 2025) opening prices. The announcement will be after the close on Friday.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs (along with a tracker of all live spinoff/M&amp;A events which affect the index the next two quarters).</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
The rankings used for the June 2025 index rebal event will be based on yesterday's (4th June 2025) opening prices. The announcement will be after the close on Friday.
In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs (along with a tracker of all live spinoff/M&amp;A events which affect the index the next two quarters).


[Quiddity Index Jun25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Final Predictions APP and IBKR

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

<ul>
<li>Globalwafers (6488 TT) held its shareholders’ meeting yesterday (May 26th).  </li>
<li>Regarding the U.S. market, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/globalwafers-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17916:1" rel="noopener">Globalwafers (6488 TT)</a> noted that the U.S. government will impose tariffs on imported products, although the specific rates are still unknown.  </li>
<li>Regarding the overall market conditions, the 12-inch silicon wafer market is currently performing significantly better than the 8-inch market, with higher utilization rates.  </li>
</ul>


Globalwafers (6488 TT) held its shareholders’ meeting yesterday (May 26th).  
Regarding the U.S. market, Globalwafers (6488 TT) noted that the U.S. government will impose tariffs on imported products, although the specific rates are still unknown.  
Regarding the overall market conditions, the 12-inch silicon wafer market is currently performing significantly better than the 8-inch market, with higher utilization rates.  


GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Shareholders’ Meeting Held; US Tariff Effects Pending; SiC Chances Ahead.

<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect two regular changes in June 2025. BUT... there are multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events likely to trigger intra-review index changes. Three are likely!</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P 500 index tracks the 500 largest names listed in the US and it is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
In this insight, we take a look at the upcoming constituent changes in the run up to the June 2025 index rebal event.
We expect two regular changes in June 2025. BUT... there are multiple live spin-off and M&amp;A events likely to trigger intra-review index changes. Three are likely!


[Quiddity Index Apr25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Possible

United States

Wolfspeed, Inc. develops and manufactures semiconductor products. The Company offers silicon carbide and GaN solutions for both high power and RF applications. Wolfspeed serves customers worldwide.

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Wolfspeed (WOLF US)

Rohm (6964): Is the Wait Finally Over?

Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...

Michael Allen

TechChain Insights: Himax Threatened by China Auto Chip Push? CPO Tech with TSMC Remains Bright Spot

China's push for auto chip localization poses some risk to Himax, but its local production may offer some protection. Himax's role in Copackaged...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

[Quiddity Index Jun25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Final Predictions APP and IBKR

The S&P500 June rebal comes after the close on Friday 6 June. We expect two ADDs and two DELETEs but the S&P Index Committee is fickle...

Travis Lundy

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Shareholders’ Meeting Held; US Tariff Effects Pending; SiC Chances Ahead.

Globalwafers (6488 TT) shareholders' meeting notes U.S. tariffs uncertainty, 12-inch silicon wafer market outperforming 8-inch market.

Patrick Liao

[Quiddity Index Apr25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Possible

The S&P 500 June 2025 rebal will have fun at both ends of the spectrum. A bunch of intra-review changes at the top are likely, and a few S&P...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rohm (6964): Is the Wait Finally Over?

​Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...

Michael Allen

TechChain Insights: Himax Threatened by China Auto Chip Push? CPO Tech with TSMC Remains Bright Spot

​China's push for auto chip localization poses some risk to Himax, but its local production may offer some protection. Himax's role in Copackaged...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

[Quiddity Index Jun25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Final Predictions APP and IBKR

The S&P500 June rebal comes after the close on Friday 6 June. We expect two ADDs and two DELETEs but the S&P Index Committee is fickle...

Travis Lundy

GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Shareholders’ Meeting Held; US Tariff Effects Pending; SiC Chances Ahead.

​Globalwafers (6488 TT) shareholders' meeting notes U.S. tariffs uncertainty, 12-inch silicon wafer market outperforming 8-inch market.

Patrick Liao

[Quiddity Index Apr25] S&P500/600 Jun25 Rebal: Lots of Intraview Changes Possible

The S&P 500 June 2025 rebal will have fun at both ends of the spectrum. A bunch of intra-review changes at the top are likely, and a few S&P...

Travis Lundy

Rohm's stock price above 200-day average, inventory de-stocking ending across multiple end-user markets, analysts predict lagging margins but...

China's push for auto chip localization poses some risk to Himax, but its local production may offer some protection. Himax's role in Copackaged...

Globalwafers (6488 TT) shareholders' meeting notes U.S. tariffs uncertainty, 12-inch silicon wafer market outperforming 8-inch market.