Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.</li>
<li>Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.
Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.</li>
<li>Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> by over 20%.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.
Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) by over 20%.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

<ul>
<li>One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.3% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have massively outperformed the potential deletes over the last year. We'd wait for a reversal before entering a trade here - worth monitoring.</li>
</ul>


One third of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One way turnover is estimated at 3.3% and the impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions.
The potential adds have massively outperformed the potential deletes over the last year. We'd wait for a reversal before entering a trade here - worth monitoring.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes Keep Rolling In

<ul>
<li>There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sillajen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22838:1" rel="noopener">SillaJen Inc (215600 KS)</a> is the biggest one.</li>
<li>The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.</li>
</ul>


There are 11 inclusions and 11 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the December rebalance to be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We had forecast most of the changes (10 adds and 9 deletes), so there are a few surprises. The inclusion of SillaJen Inc (215600 KS) is the biggest one.
The adds to the index become short sell eligible from the open of trading on 9 December while the deletions will not be short sell eligible from the same time.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

South Korea

Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd manufactures, sells, and exports semiconductor processing equipment such as gas supply systems, gas purifiers, and scrubbers.  The Company's products include gas cabinets, controller composition, valve manifold boxes (VMB), a line of gas purifiers, and plasma-enhanced chemical vapor disposition (PE-CVD).

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Wonik Holdings Co., Ltd (030530 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

There could be 8 changes at the regular rebalance plus a couple of ad hoc changes. The potential adds ran up a lot and have started to head lower....

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

There could be 9 index changes in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes by 50% over the last 4 months and trade at much more...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview (June): Changes Keep Rolling In

Early in the review period, we see 9 potential changes for the KOSDAQ150 in June. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by a...

Brian Freitas

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance: 11 Changes with a Couple of Surprises

There are 11 changes at the Dec rebal: mostly in line with forecasts. SillaJen is a surprise add; Devsisters is a surprise delete. Short interest...

Brian Freitas

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