European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Private Equity Interest: Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive market presence in Europe.</li>
<li>Market Challenges: Worldline's stock declined over 50% in 2024, with Q3 revenues dropping 1.1% organically, reflecting struggles in Merchant and Financial Services and the need to stabilize growth.</li>
<li>Valuation and Takeover Potential: Worldline’s current valuation at 4.61x EV/EBITDA offers upside potential, with a €9.00/share target implying an 18.4% return, though profitability recovery remains uncertain.</li>
</ul>


Private Equity Interest: Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive market presence in Europe.
Market Challenges: Worldline's stock declined over 50% in 2024, with Q3 revenues dropping 1.1% organically, reflecting struggles in Merchant and Financial Services and the need to stabilize growth.
Valuation and Takeover Potential: Worldline’s current valuation at 4.61x EV/EBITDA offers upside potential, with a €9.00/share target implying an 18.4% return, though profitability recovery remains uncertain.


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a>’s NZ$1.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is within the NZ$1.07 to A$1.43 valuation range. </li>
<li>Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive, as the offer is attractive and no competing proposal has emerged.</li>
<li>The scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for the 4 November payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.4%/31.0%.  </li>
</ul>


The Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) IE considers Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)’s NZ$1.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is within the NZ$1.07 to A$1.43 valuation range. 
Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive, as the offer is attractive and no competing proposal has emerged.
The scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for the 4 November payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.4%/31.0%.  


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Scheme Vote on 14 October

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> has entered a scheme implementation deed with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a> at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.</li>
<li>The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   </li>
<li>Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) has entered a scheme implementation deed with Shift4 Payments (FOUR US) at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), a 19.4% premium to the last close price of NZ$1.005.
The scheme is subject to shareholder and OIO approval. In the absence of a competing proposal, the offer is the best and final offer.   
Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

<ul>
<li>On 2 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20456:1" rel="noopener">Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ)</a> disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a> offer.</li>
<li>Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shift4-payments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28965:1" rel="noopener">Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)</a>). </li>
<li>Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.</li>
</ul>


On 2 May, Smartpay Holdings (SPY NZ) disclosed receiving a third non-binding scheme proposal from another international strategic at NZ$1.20 (A$1.12), 20% premium to the Tyro Payments (TYR AU) offer.
Smartpay previously disclosed a NZ$1.00 cash/scrip bid from Tyro and an undisclosed offer from an international strategic (rumoured to be Shift4 Payments (FOUR US)). 
Smartpay was susceptible to bids due to the RBA’s surcharge review, but the shareholder structure necessitates an attractive offer. The NZ$1.20 offer is attractive.


Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

France

Worldline SA creates and operates digital transaction processing platforms. The Company offers merchant services and terminals, mobility and transactional services, financial processing and software licensing. Worldline services business around the world.

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Worldline SA (WLN FP)

Potential Take Private of Worldline

Worldline has attracted early-stage interest from private equity firms, including Bain Capital, driven by its discounted valuation and extensive...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Scheme Vote on 14 October

The scheme vote is low risk. At the last close and for the 4 November payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.4%/31.0%.

Arun George

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Shift4’s Binding Proposal at NZ$1.20

Microequities has provided an irrevocable, and the other substantial shareholders should be supportive as the offer is attractive.

Arun George

Smartpay (SPY NZ/SMP AU): Three Is No Crowd as a Third Bid Lands at NZ$1.20

Due to the RBA’s surcharge review, Smartpay was susceptible to bids. Three bidders increase the odds of one converting to a binding proposal.

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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