Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Alcoholic Beverages sector exposure has dropped to multi-year lows, falling below 50% of active GEM funds. </li>
<li>Recent outflows total $700m, with China &amp; HK and Brazil seeing the steepest declines. </li>
<li>Key stocks like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin face consistent month-on-month closures as managers rotate out.</li>
</ul>


Alcoholic Beverages sector exposure has dropped to multi-year lows, falling below 50% of active GEM funds. 
Recent outflows total $700m, with China &amp; HK and Brazil seeing the steepest declines. 
Key stocks like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin face consistent month-on-month closures as managers rotate out.


Last Orders? GEM Funds Retreat from Alcoholic Beverages Stocks

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US</li>
<li>Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.</li>
<li>We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.</li>
</ul>


In our latest int'l reports we have preached caution, and since January we have discussed our expectations for $93 to cap upside on the ACWI-US
Thus far, $93 has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and ACWI-US now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun.
We would expect this pullback to continue down to $86-87 at minimum, and potentially $84 (December 2022 low). Even $75-77 (the 2022 lows) is not out of the question.


MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of A-share stocks as of Aug 7th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD352,973m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY (HUIZHOU), BYD.


A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

<ul>
<li>The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.</li>
<li>As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.</li>
<li>China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.</li>
</ul>


The MSCI EM vs.EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the DXY peaked in November 2022, and also shows signs of reversing the 2-year downtrend.
As long as the DXY remains below $103.50-$106, we expect outperformance from EM to continue.
China/Hong Kong, Greece, South Africa, and Mexico stand out as attractive countries. Our top actionable Sectors include Communications, Consumer Discretionary, and Technology. We highlight 76 attractive EM stocks.


EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul>
<li>While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.</li>
<li>Shrugging off years of official probes into the notoriously graft-plagued industry, luxury brands like Moutai and Wuliangye made a head-spinning amount of money in the first six months of 2022.</li>
<li>In the first half of 2022, Kweichow Moutai Co. Ltd. and Wuliangye Yibin Co. Ltd. retained their long-standing No. 1 and No. 2 positions in the market.</li>
</ul>


While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.
Shrugging off years of official probes into the notoriously graft-plagued industry, luxury brands like Moutai and Wuliangye made a head-spinning amount of money in the first six months of 2022.
In the first half of 2022, Kweichow Moutai Co. Ltd. and Wuliangye Yibin Co. Ltd. retained their long-standing No. 1 and No. 2 positions in the market.


China’s Big Brand Baijiu-Makers Have a Toast-Worthy First Half

China

Wuliangye Yibin Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets Wuliangye series of liquors. Through its subsidiaries, the Company also manufactures carbon and lactic acid and has operation in printing and packaging materials businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Wuliangye Yibin Co Ltd A (000858 CH)

Last Orders? GEM Funds Retreat from Alcoholic Beverages Stocks

Alcoholic Beverages sector exposure among GEM funds has dropped to a decade low, with Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin driving the exodus.

Steven Holden

MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

$93 on $ACWI has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and it now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun....

Vermilion Research

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

China’s Big Brand Baijiu-Makers Have a Toast-Worthy First Half

While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Orders? GEM Funds Retreat from Alcoholic Beverages Stocks

Alcoholic Beverages sector exposure among GEM funds has dropped to a decade low, with Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye Yibin driving the exodus.

Steven Holden

MSCI ACWI Uptrend Break; Defensives to Shine; Ideas in Staples, Health Care, Telecomm, Utilities

$93 on $ACWI has proven to be rock-solid resistance, and it now displays a 4.5-month uptrend violation signaling the pullback has officially begun....

Vermilion Research

A-Share Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 7th): Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, BYD

We analyzed A-share margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Yangtze Power, Wuliangye, Mindray, VICTORY GIANT TECHNOLOGY...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EM Outperformance to Continue (Vs. EAFE) -- Add on a Pullback; DXY Needs to Hold Below $106

EM vs. EAFE ratio (local currency) shows EM has outperformed relative to EAFE since the $DXY peaked in November 2022. If the DXY remains below...

Vermilion Research

China’s Big Brand Baijiu-Makers Have a Toast-Worthy First Half

While continual Covid-19 outbreaks continue to make their mark on earnings season, one commodity is still raking in cash: top-shelf baijiu.

Caixin Global