HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.</li>
<li>We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.</li>
<li>As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. </li>
</ul>


CXO sector plummeted after Biden has officially signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. In our impression, all sharp declines of CXO were mostly due to geographical conflicts/overseas policy disturbances.
We remain conservative about CXO’s outlook. If investors still choose to invest in CXO, there are some questions to ponder based on the general environment of Sino-US confrontation.
As tensions between China and the US escalate, it may no longer be possible to think on the basis of "common sense". Investors are advised to think “outside the box”. 


About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

<ul type="square"><li>The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as agriculture, plastics, and energy.</li><li>The executive order would contain a plan for mass investments in related industries.</li><li>Shares of Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK, NR) and other CRO companies fell significantly yesterday (13 Sept) due to the fears of Chinese companies being targeted.</li></ul>

The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as agriculture, plastics, and energy.The executive order would contain a plan for mass investments in related industries.Shares of Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK, NR) and other CRO companies fell significantly yesterday (13 Sept) due to the fears of Chinese companies being targeted.

The U.S. Executive Order on Its Biotech Industry May Not Materiality Affect Chinese CRO Industry

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 31st based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Link Reit (823 HK), Forest Cabin (2657 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Jul 31st based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Link Reit (823 HK), Forest Cabin (2657 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 31st): Link Reit, Forest Cabin, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>“Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Online Drug Sales” was released, which indicated that the online sale of prescription drugs is allowed, but there are certain restrictions and requirements.</li>
<li>The rise of China biotech is based on the historical opportunities of both alpha (individual efforts) and beta (industry development) superposition. It’s unique. Investors shouldn’t expect to “copy” similar paths.</li>
<li>We have noted that some biotech/biopharma have or are considering changing excess capacity to do CDMO. This is caused by too much “bubble” in the market, which is not logical.</li>
</ul>


“Measures for the Supervision and Administration of Online Drug Sales” was released, which indicated that the online sale of prescription drugs is allowed, but there are certain restrictions and requirements.
The rise of China biotech is based on the historical opportunities of both alpha (individual efforts) and beta (industry development) superposition. It’s unique. Investors shouldn’t expect to “copy” similar paths.
We have noted that some biotech/biopharma have or are considering changing excess capacity to do CDMO. This is caused by too much “bubble” in the market, which is not logical.


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep2)-Online Drug Sale, Biotech's Historical Opportunity, Biotech to Be CDMO

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a> is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.</li>
<li>For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.</li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.

CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.
For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

China

Wuxi Biologics is a global Contract Research, Development, and Manufacturing Organization (CRDMO) offering end-to-end solutions for biologics discovery, development, and manufacturing, including complex modalities like monoclonal antibodies and antibody-drug conjugates. The company provides comprehensive services from concept to commercialization, including vaccine CRDMO services. It was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China.

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Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)

About the CXO Plunge After Biden Signed National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative

CXO plunged after Biden signed the National Biotechnology and Biomanufacturing Initiative. As tensions between China and US escalate, it is no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The U.S. Executive Order on Its Biotech Industry May Not Materiality Affect Chinese CRO Industry

The U.S. launched new support to its biotech production, aiming to boost biomanufacturing in pharmaceuticals but also in other industries such as...

Quam Securities

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Jul 31st): Link Reit, Forest Cabin, Xiaomi

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Link Reit (823 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly(Sep2)-Online Drug Sale, Biotech's Historical Opportunity, Biotech to Be CDMO

New policy of online drug sales is released,including certain restrictions.The rise of China biotech is based on historical opportunity of alpha...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Jiangsu Province released VBP results on medical consumables. CStone proposed a potential sale of the business.We analyzed the logic behind. Maybe...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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