HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s 2024 results are in line with guidance. TIDES business was the key driver of WuXi Chemistry. However, the downturn of “R” business cast a shadow on performance recovery.</li>
<li>2025 is a crucial year for WuXi AppTec and the entire CXO industry, as it needs to verify whether about RMB40 billion revenue and 6,000 customers represent the ceiling/growth bottleneck?</li>
<li>The disposal of WuXi XDC shares help boost WuXi AppTec’s share price. However, due to the geopolitical conflicts/recession risks, the long-term growth prospects of WuXi AppTec are still uncertain.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec’s 2024 results are in line with guidance. TIDES business was the key driver of WuXi Chemistry. However, the downturn of “R” business cast a shadow on performance recovery.
2025 is a crucial year for WuXi AppTec and the entire CXO industry, as it needs to verify whether about RMB40 billion revenue and 6,000 customers represent the ceiling/growth bottleneck?
The disposal of WuXi XDC shares help boost WuXi AppTec’s share price. However, due to the geopolitical conflicts/recession risks, the long-term growth prospects of WuXi AppTec are still uncertain.


WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - The Concerns Behind the 2024 Performance Rebound and 2025 Outlook

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in March 2025.</li>
<li>The index changes for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 21st February 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in March 2025.
The index changes for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 21st February 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44224:1" rel="noopener">JHP</a>  has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.

JHP  has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Innovation and Overseas Expansion Driving Earnings Rebound

Murata Manufacturing / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a> appears to be gearing up for a launch soon.</li>
<li>On the placements front, while Wuxi XDC failed to perform, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/murata-manufacturing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11649:1" rel="noopener">Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP)</a> has been holding up so far.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Guming Holdings appears to be gearing up for a launch soon.
On the placements front, while Wuxi XDC failed to perform, Murata Manufacturing (6981 JP) has been holding up so far.


ECM Weekly (20th Jan 2025) - Guming, LG India, Schloss (Leela), Freetech, Chongqing Terminus, Murata

China

WuXi XDC Cayman Inc. operates as a leading contract testing, development and manufacturing organization focused on the global antibody drug conjugates and broader bioconjugate market. The Company provides bioconjugation discovery, analytical development, intermediate and conjugation manufacturing, and other services. WuXi XDC Cayman provides its services worldwide.

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WuXi XDC Cayman (2268 HK)

WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - The Concerns Behind the 2024 Performance Rebound and 2025 Outlook

WuXi AppTec 2024 results showed recovery, but challenges in "R" business raise concerns for 2025 growth.Geopolitical/recession risk cloud long...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

The Hang Seng Index February 2025 index review results will be confirmed on Friday this week (21st). This would be a good time to revisit this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Innovation and Overseas Expansion Driving Earnings Rebound

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 2025) - Guming, LG India, Schloss (Leela), Freetech, Chongqing Terminus, Murata

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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WuXi AppTec (2359.HK/603259.CH) - The Concerns Behind the 2024 Performance Rebound and 2025 Outlook

​WuXi AppTec 2024 results showed recovery, but challenges in "R" business raise concerns for 2025 growth.Geopolitical/recession risk cloud long...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

The Hang Seng Index February 2025 index review results will be confirmed on Friday this week (21st). This would be a good time to revisit this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Innovation and Overseas Expansion Driving Earnings Rebound

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (20th Jan 2025) - Guming, LG India, Schloss (Leela), Freetech, Chongqing Terminus, Murata

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

WuXi AppTec 2024 results showed recovery, but challenges in "R" business raise concerns for 2025 growth.Geopolitical/recession risk cloud long...