Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Com2us Corp (078340 KS) is the most likely corporate activist target in Korea's game industry.</li>
<li>Our base case valuation of Com2uS suggests a target price of 97,321 won which is 49% higher than current price.</li>
<li>Finally, the company is expected to launch at least 3-4 promising new games this year. All in all, we have a positive view of Com2uS Corp. </li>
</ul>


Com2us Corp (078340 KS) is the most likely corporate activist target in Korea's game industry.
Our base case valuation of Com2uS suggests a target price of 97,321 won which is 49% higher than current price.
Finally, the company is expected to launch at least 3-4 promising new games this year. All in all, we have a positive view of Com2uS Corp. 


Com2uS Corp: The Most Likely Corporate Activist Target in Korea's Game Industry

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>K Car's major shareholder is Hahn &amp; Company, which has already fully recovered the initial investment. So, there is an actual probability that it will make an aggressive exit.</li>
<li>SingEel's 3-month IPO institutional and VCs will be released, 6.18% of SO. All of them are in a profit zone, there is a possibility that an aggressive overhang will occur.</li>
<li>Kakao's 47% holdings in Kakao Pay will be released. The possibility of lowering the stake seems quite low. Nevertheless, we must consider the risk that this will affect market sentiment.</li>
</ul>


K Car's major shareholder is Hahn &amp; Company, which has already fully recovered the initial investment. So, there is an actual probability that it will make an aggressive exit.
SingEel's 3-month IPO institutional and VCs will be released, 6.18% of SO. All of them are in a profit zone, there is a possibility that an aggressive overhang will occur.
Kakao's 47% holdings in Kakao Pay will be released. The possibility of lowering the stake seems quite low. Nevertheless, we must consider the risk that this will affect market sentiment.


Noteworthy Lockup Releases for the Next Two Months in Korea

<ul>
<li>We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end of each month.</li>
<li>Key companies that are highlighted in this monthly data have been typically underperforming the market much more than the market overall this year.</li>
<li>Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers this year include Kakao Pay (377300 KS), HYBE (352820 KS), WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS), and DearU (376300 KS).</li>
</ul>


We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end of each month.
Key companies that are highlighted in this monthly data have been typically underperforming the market much more than the market overall this year.
Among these stocks, some of the big underperformers this year include Kakao Pay (377300 KS), HYBE (352820 KS), WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS), and DearU (376300 KS).


Finding Alpha with the End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository

<ul>
<li>The additions are primarily in line with the predictions. But, the deletions contain many surprises. Webzen is the biggest surprise. Echo Marketing should also surprise a lot of fund trackers.</li>
<li>Creas F&amp;C will face the most substantial passive inflow at 4.08x ADTV, closely followed by Unitest. But factoring in liquidity, WYSIWYG Studios will likely draw the most attention</li>
<li>JNTC will suffer the most among the deletions. However, Webzen will likely be in the limelight as its outflow is by far the largest at ₩8.6B, equivalent to 3.84x ADTV.</li>
</ul>


The additions are primarily in line with the predictions. But, the deletions contain many surprises. Webzen is the biggest surprise. Echo Marketing should also surprise a lot of fund trackers.
Creas F&amp;C will face the most substantial passive inflow at 4.08x ADTV, closely followed by Unitest. But factoring in liquidity, WYSIWYG Studios will likely draw the most attention
JNTC will suffer the most among the deletions. However, Webzen will likely be in the limelight as its outflow is by far the largest at ₩8.6B, equivalent to 3.84x ADTV.


KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: Passive Flows & Basket Trading Candidates

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 12 inclusions and 12 exclusions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>Most of the inclusions were expected, but there are quite a few surprises among the deletions. The impact on the deletions will be higher than that on the inclusions.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been another leg up in the last couple of weeks. Expect the trend to continue till implementation week.</li>
</ul>


There are 12 inclusions and 12 exclusions for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) at the June rebalance to be implemented at the close on 9 June.
Most of the inclusions were expected, but there are quite a few surprises among the deletions. The impact on the deletions will be higher than that on the inclusions.
The adds have outperformed the deletes and there has been another leg up in the last couple of weeks. Expect the trend to continue till implementation week.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes in June

South Korea

Wysiwyg Studios Co., Ltd. provides video technology production services. The Company produces and sells movies, dramas, broadcasts, animations, and other products. Wysiwyg Studios markets its products throughout Korea.

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WYSIWYG Studios (299900 KS)

Com2uS Corp: The Most Likely Corporate Activist Target in Korea's Game Industry

Com2us Corp (078340 KS) is the most likely corporate activist target in Korea's game industry in our view. The company is expected to launch at...

Douglas Kim

Noteworthy Lockup Releases for the Next Two Months in Korea

This post investigates the noteworthy lockup releases on KOSPI and KOSDAQ for the next two months, October and November.

Sanghyun Park

Finding Alpha with the End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods Data from Korea Securities Depository

We discuss ways of finding alpha with the end of mandatory lock-up periods data from Korea Securities Depository (KSD) which comes out at the end...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ 150 Rebalancing Results: Passive Flows & Basket Trading Candidates

This post details the results of the KOSDAQ 150 June rebalancing, with the estimates of passive impact, and suggests suitable candidates for basket...

Sanghyun Park

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes in June

There are 12 adds/deletes for the KOSDAQ150 in June. Most of the inclusions were expected while there appears to be discretion used in choosing the...

Brian Freitas

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