Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; </li>
<li>ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off</li>
<li>For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.</li>
</ul>


While Trump's sweeping wins in presidential, senate and house, and supreme court earlier gave him unprecedented mandate to reform the US economy, his agenda is unrealistic to begin with; 
ADS/Electrification, GAI/renewable/employment, (3) inflation/trade/ immigration are just three that the Trump Administration will likely backpedal.  Execution of Trump's economic agenda requires perfect coordination which is tough to pull off
For a short term trade, we recommend PDD and BYD. We also like Xiaomi. Consumption stocks can benefit from stimulus package from the Chinese government.


What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Xiaomi will report 3Q24 results in late Nov. We estimate 3Q revenue/adj. net profit to grow 28%/1.4% YoY to RMB 90.5bn/6.1bn, 1%/6% above Bloomberg consensus, driven by global market share gains in smartphone, strength in AIoT/internet and strong momentum of SU 7 Series EVs.</li><li>Looking ahead to 4Q24/FY25, we remain constructive on 1) Smartphone: Xiaomi’s market share gains and better mix in smartphones, backed by its latest flagship Xiaomi 15 Series, Double 11 sales festival and expansion in LATAM/EMEA/SEA</li><li>2) AIoT: domestic home appliance and overseas AIoT; and 3) Smart EV: accelerated delivery of the SU 7 Series.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Xiaomi will report 3Q24 results in late Nov. We estimate 3Q revenue/adj. net profit to grow 28%/1.4% YoY to RMB 90.5bn/6.1bn, 1%/6% above Bloomberg consensus, driven by global market share gains in smartphone, strength in AIoT/internet and strong momentum of SU 7 Series EVs.Looking ahead to 4Q24/FY25, we remain constructive on 1) Smartphone: Xiaomi’s market share gains and better mix in smartphones, backed by its latest flagship Xiaomi 15 Series, Double 11 sales festival and expansion in LATAM/EMEA/SEA2) AIoT: domestic home appliance and overseas AIoT; and 3) Smart EV: accelerated delivery of the SU 7 Series.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 3Q24E Preview: Continued Strength in Core Business and EV Upside

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

<ul>
<li>In the US, September factory orders fell 0.5% m-o-m (-0.5% e / -0.8% revised p).</li>
<li>Meanwhile, the September (final) durable goods orders dropped by 0.7% (-0.9% p), slightly below the preliminary reading of -0.8%.</li>
<li>Treasuries climbed yesterday, as the market pared expectations of a Donald Trump victory in the US presidential election after a weekend poll surprisingly showed current Vice-President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead in Iowa (a state comfortably won by Mr Trump in 2016 and 2020). This was partly offset by a soft auction for 3Y notes. The UST curve bull-flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST falling 5 bps to 4.16% and the 10Y down 10 bps at 4.29%.</li>
</ul>


In the US, September factory orders fell 0.5% m-o-m (-0.5% e / -0.8% revised p).
Meanwhile, the September (final) durable goods orders dropped by 0.7% (-0.9% p), slightly below the preliminary reading of -0.8%.
Treasuries climbed yesterday, as the market pared expectations of a Donald Trump victory in the US presidential election after a weekend poll surprisingly showed current Vice-President Kamala Harris with a narrow lead in Iowa (a state comfortably won by Mr Trump in 2016 and 2020). This was partly offset by a soft auction for 3Y notes. The UST curve bull-flattened, with the yield on the 2Y UST falling 5 bps to 4.16% and the 10Y down 10 bps at 4.29%.


Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

<ul>
<li>JD US/3690 HK/BABA US:JD.com’s 7FRESH Supermarket lowers prices to gain traffic, challenging Meituan and Freshippo (+/+/+)</li>
<li>1024 HK:Kuaishou's Overseas Short-video Platform Kwai Officially Launches E-commerce in Brazil (+)</li>
<li>1024 HK:Kuaishou Game &lt;Endless Dream&gt; Surpasses 10 Million Pre-Registered Players, Announces Collaboration with &lt;Soul Knight&gt; (+)</li>
</ul>


JD US/3690 HK/BABA US:JD.com’s 7FRESH Supermarket lowers prices to gain traffic, challenging Meituan and Freshippo (+/+/+)
1024 HK:Kuaishou's Overseas Short-video Platform Kwai Officially Launches E-commerce in Brazil (+)
1024 HK:Kuaishou Game &lt;Endless Dream&gt; Surpasses 10 Million Pre-Registered Players, Announces Collaboration with &lt;Soul Knight&gt; (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD/3690HK/BABA/1024HK/700HK/BIDU/3092JP/4385JP/PDD/1810HK/NTES /MSFT

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar, China Mobile, CNOOC, Zto Express.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar, China Mobile, CNOOC, Zto Express.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 1st): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar, China Mobile

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 3Q24E Preview: Continued Strength in Core Business and EV Upside

We estimate 3Q revenue/adj. net profit to grow 28%/1.4% YoY to RMB 90.5bn/6.1bn, 1%/6% above Bloomberg consensus, driven by global market share...

CMB International

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, September factory orders fell 0.5% m-o-m (-0.5% e / -0.8% revised p). Meanwhile, the September (final) durable goods orders dropped by...

Lucror Analytics

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD/3690HK/BABA/1024HK/700HK/BIDU/3092JP/4385JP/PDD/1810HK/NTES /MSFT

JD.com's 7FRESH Supermarket lowers prices to compete with Meituan and Freshippo, Kuaishou launches e-commerce in Brazil and announces...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 1st): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What Trump Can and Cannot Accomplish in His 2nd Term

​Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 3Q24E Preview: Continued Strength in Core Business and EV Upside

We estimate 3Q revenue/adj. net profit to grow 28%/1.4% YoY to RMB 90.5bn/6.1bn, 1%/6% above Bloomberg consensus, driven by global market share...

CMB International

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, September factory orders fell 0.5% m-o-m (-0.5% e / -0.8% revised p). Meanwhile, the September (final) durable goods orders dropped by...

Lucror Analytics

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD/3690HK/BABA/1024HK/700HK/BIDU/3092JP/4385JP/PDD/1810HK/NTES /MSFT

​JD.com's 7FRESH Supermarket lowers prices to compete with Meituan and Freshippo, Kuaishou launches e-commerce in Brazil and announces...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 1st): Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, Geely Automobile, CCB, Xinyi Solar,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trump's ambitious economic agenda faces challenges and backpedaling. We see energy electrification, GAI power demand and inflation/immigration...

JD.com's 7FRESH Supermarket lowers prices to compete with Meituan and Freshippo, Kuaishou launches e-commerce in Brazil and announces...