Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Yum China (9987 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Feb 23rd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Yum China (9987 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC (5 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 23rd): AIA, HSBC, Yum China

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>1211 HK: BYD's battery subsidiary FinDreams signed a lithium iron phosphate battery production agreement with Borg Warner (+)</li>
<li>1810 HK: OPPO AI strategic press conference officially announced to be held on February 20, dubbed as 'Opening the era of AI phones for all' (-)</li>
<li>BEKE: Real Estate Industry: Existing home sales increased 70% yoy in CNY holiday(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK: BYD's battery subsidiary FinDreams signed a lithium iron phosphate battery production agreement with Borg Warner (+)
1810 HK: OPPO AI strategic press conference officially announced to be held on February 20, dubbed as 'Opening the era of AI phones for all' (-)
BEKE: Real Estate Industry: Existing home sales increased 70% yoy in CNY holiday(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211 HK/300750 SZ/1810 HK/ATAT/HTHT/3690 HK/BEKE

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Xiaomi will report its 4Q23 results in late March. We estimate 4Q revenue will deliver +10% YoY/+3% QoQ growth, and adj. net income will climb 180% YoY to RMB 4,096mn, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales and resilient internet revenue.</li><li>We think 4Q23E results will be largely in-line with market expectations given outstanding sales of Xiaomi 14 and Double 11 sales event.</li><li>Overall, we expect Xiaomi’s smartphone sales will continue to improve with market recovery and continued share gains, and we are positive on EV product launch in 2Q24E and shipment ramp-up into 2H24E. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Xiaomi will report its 4Q23 results in late March. We estimate 4Q revenue will deliver +10% YoY/+3% QoQ growth, and adj. net income will climb 180% YoY to RMB 4,096mn, mainly driven by strong smartphone sales and resilient internet revenue.We think 4Q23E results will be largely in-line with market expectations given outstanding sales of Xiaomi 14 and Double 11 sales event.Overall, we expect Xiaomi’s smartphone sales will continue to improve with market recovery and continued share gains, and we are positive on EV product launch in 2Q24E and shipment ramp-up into 2H24E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 4Q23E Preview: Strong Smartphone Recovery, Eye on EV Product Launch in 2Q24

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Tongcheng Travel Holdings  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>As expected, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the close on 1 March.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$7.74bn (US$988m). There is nearly 14x ADV to buy in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel (780 HK)</a> does not appear to be very high, while positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a> is very high with a couple of deletions coming up.</li>
</ul>


As expected, Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) will replace GDS Holdings (9698 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the close on 1 March.
Estimated one-way turnover is 3.9% leading to a round-trip trade of HK$7.74bn (US$988m). There is nearly 14x ADV to buy in Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK). 
Positioning in Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) does not appear to be very high, while positioning in GDS Holdings (9698 HK) is very high with a couple of deletions coming up.


HSTECH Index Rebalance: Tongcheng (780 HK) In; GDS (9698 HK) Out; Round Trip Trade US$1bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharti-hexacom" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40858:1" rel="noopener">Bharti Hexacom</a> is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. 
Bharti Hexacom (BH) is a communications solutions provider offering consumer mobile services, fixed-line telephone and broadband services to customers in the Rajasthan and the North East telecommunication circles in India.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Bharti Hexacom Pre-IPO - The Positives - Earnings Have Been Recovering Well

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 23rd): AIA, HSBC, Yum China

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211 HK/300750 SZ/1810 HK/ATAT/HTHT/3690 HK/BEKE

BYD's battery subsidiary partners with Borg Warner for lithium iron phosphate battery production; OPPO to hold AI phone conference; existing home...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 4Q23E Preview: Strong Smartphone Recovery, Eye on EV Product Launch in 2Q24

Overall, we expect Xiaomi’s smartphone sales will continue to improve with market recovery and continued share gains, and we are positive on EV...

CMB International

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Tongcheng (780 HK) In; GDS (9698 HK) Out; Round Trip Trade US$1bn

Tongcheng Travel replaces GDS Holdings in the HSTECH at the close on 1 March. GDS is also a delete from a global index on 29 Feb, Positioning in...

Brian Freitas

Bharti Hexacom Pre-IPO - The Positives - Earnings Have Been Recovering Well

Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Feb 23rd): AIA, HSBC, Yum China

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were AIA (1299 HK), HSBC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 1211 HK/300750 SZ/1810 HK/ATAT/HTHT/3690 HK/BEKE

​BYD's battery subsidiary partners with Borg Warner for lithium iron phosphate battery production; OPPO to hold AI phone conference; existing home...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - 4Q23E Preview: Strong Smartphone Recovery, Eye on EV Product Launch in 2Q24

Overall, we expect Xiaomi’s smartphone sales will continue to improve with market recovery and continued share gains, and we are positive on EV...

CMB International

HSTECH Index Rebalance: Tongcheng (780 HK) In; GDS (9698 HK) Out; Round Trip Trade US$1bn

Tongcheng Travel replaces GDS Holdings in the HSTECH at the close on 1 March. GDS is also a delete from a global index on 29 Feb, Positioning in...

Brian Freitas

Bharti Hexacom Pre-IPO - The Positives - Earnings Have Been Recovering Well

Bharti Hexacom is looking to raise up to US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

BYD's battery subsidiary partners with Borg Warner for lithium iron phosphate battery production; OPPO to hold AI phone conference; existing home...