Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Following on from our last HK piece, we take a closer look at the tech sector</li>
<li>While the overall HSTECH index provides a good risk-reward, some</li>
<li>Individual E-commerce &amp; software names offer much more upside than  downside</li>
</ul>


Following on from our last HK piece, we take a closer look at the tech sector
While the overall HSTECH index provides a good risk-reward, some
Individual E-commerce &amp; software names offer much more upside than  downside


HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Employment picture worsened in December. We believe Chinese government will erect hiring-related corporate subsidy in 2025;</li>
<li>Early attempts at street drink overseas have failed. But new attempts from Luckin might well work, over time;</li>
<li>Tesla's new Model Y received a raving reception from Chinese consumers. But we doubt it can last.</li>
</ul>


Employment picture worsened in December. We believe Chinese government will erect hiring-related corporate subsidy in 2025;
Early attempts at street drink overseas have failed. But new attempts from Luckin might well work, over time;
Tesla's new Model Y received a raving reception from Chinese consumers. But we doubt it can last.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 4/52] Luckin Coffee's Overseas Expansion Is Worth Waiting For

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).</li><li>Looking into 2025, AI smart glasses market is set to continue strong momentum with 135% YoY growth to 5.5mn units, backed by strong product pipeline from Meta/Xiaomi /Bytedance/Ray Neo/Rokid, based on Wellsenn XR.</li><li>As more players expand into AI smart glass products, we expect BOM cost will decline gradually and more killer apps in AI glasses to become prevalent in the next few years. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).Looking into 2025, AI smart glasses market is set to continue strong momentum with 135% YoY growth to 5.5mn units, backed by strong product pipeline from Meta/Xiaomi /Bytedance/Ray Neo/Rokid, based on Wellsenn XR.As more players expand into AI smart glass products, we expect BOM cost will decline gradually and more killer apps in AI glasses to become prevalent in the next few years. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

<ul>
<li>Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; </li>
<li>What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;</li>
<li>Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.</li>
</ul>


Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; 
What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;
Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.


[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

<ul><li>4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.</li><li>By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.</li><li>Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.By brand, Xiaomi/Vivo outperformed peers with 4.8%/12.7% YoY growth in 4Q24, while Apple/Samsung declined 4.1%/2.7% YoY with share loss.Looking ahead to 2025, we estimate global smartphone shipments to grow 3% YoY boosted by iPhone 17 cycle, AI integration and Chinese subsidy programs. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

The initial market reaction to the Deepseek news is to bid up Chinese tech names, both platform and semiconductor-related. The tariff newsflow will...

Rikki Malik

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 4/52] Luckin Coffee's Overseas Expansion Is Worth Waiting For

Employment deteriorated in December. We believe government will need to introduce hiring-related corporate subsidies in the March Two Session. ...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

This week's macro data pointed to gradual recovery. We also found new focus on profitability by leading companies, which is a good sign.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

The initial market reaction to the Deepseek news is to bid up Chinese tech names, both platform and semiconductor-related. The tariff newsflow will...

Rikki Malik

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 4/52] Luckin Coffee's Overseas Expansion Is Worth Waiting For

​Employment deteriorated in December. We believe government will need to introduce hiring-related corporate subsidies in the March Two Session. ...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Technology - Global AI Smart Glasses Market Set to Kick off in 2025

Global AI smart glasses shipment jumped 588% YoY to 2.34mn in 2024, thanks to strong sales of Ray Ban Meta in 4Q24 (1.36mn; +183% QoQ).

CMB International

[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

This week's macro data pointed to gradual recovery. We also found new focus on profitability by leading companies, which is a good sign.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Technology - 4Q24 Global Smartphone Shipments Ahead; Xiaomi/Vivo Outperformed Apple/Samsung

4Q24 global smartphone shipments grew 2.4% YoY to 332mn units, driven by China sales promotions, new model launches and aggressive trade-ins.

CMB International

Employment deteriorated in December. We believe government will need to introduce hiring-related corporate subsidies in the March Two Session. ...