Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from the startup vehicle business.</li>
<li>The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business.</li>
<li>We believe XM has an upside of 60% for the yearend 2025.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from the startup vehicle business.
The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business.
We believe XM has an upside of 60% for the yearend 2025.


Xiaomi (1810 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 22%

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>We expect one index change in December 2025 translating to capping flows of US$530mn one-way.</li>
<li>We also expect seven index changes for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
We expect one index change in December 2025 translating to capping flows of US$530mn one-way.
We also expect seven index changes for the next semiannual index review which will take place in March 2026.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.</li>
</ul>


Following the methodology update for the HSIII Index, there could be up to 5 constituent changes in December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$9.8bn (US$1.25bn).

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest beneficiary of the new methodology while there will be large funding outflows for a lot of the current index constituents.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp">Xiaomi</a> is successfully executing its "Human x Car x Home"strategy, integrating its vast ecosystem of consumer electronics with its new and rapidly growing Smart Electric Vehicle (EV) business.</li>
 <li>The company demonstrates a strong growth trajectory, with significant year-over-year improvements in revenue and profitability, driven by both its established smartphone/AIoT segments and the promising new EV division.</li>
 <li>While facing intense competition in the smartphone market and execution risks in the nascent EV space, <a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp">Xiaomi</a>'s strong brand, massive user base, and proven operational efficiency position it for potential long-term growth and market share gains across its key segments.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
Xiaomi is successfully executing its "Human x Car x Home"strategy, integrating its vast ecosystem of consumer electronics with its new and rapidly growing Smart Electric Vehicle (EV) business.
  The company demonstrates a strong growth trajectory, with significant year-over-year improvements in revenue and profitability, driven by both its established smartphone/AIoT segments and the promising new EV division.
  While facing intense competition in the smartphone market and execution risks in the nascent EV space, Xiaomi's strong brand, massive user base, and proven operational efficiency position it for potential long-term growth and market share gains across its key segments.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Xiaomi is expected to report 3Q25 results in mid-Nov.</li><li>We expect 3Q25E to deliver another strong adj. net profit growth of 60% YoY to RMB 10.01bn, in-line with consensus estimates, mainly driven by strong momentum of smart EV with improving profitability and stable IoT/internet growth.</li><li>For GPM, despite smartphone BOM cost hikes (esp. memory), our 3Q GPM estimate is at 22.9% (vs 22.5% for consensus), backed by resilient smart phone (SP)/IoT/internet GPM at 11%/23%/75.3%, while EV GPM may come in softer at 25.8% (vs 26.4 in 2Q) on capacity constraint, on our estimate. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi is expected to report 3Q25 results in mid-Nov.We expect 3Q25E to deliver another strong adj. net profit growth of 60% YoY to RMB 10.01bn, in-line with consensus estimates, mainly driven by strong momentum of smart EV with improving profitability and stable IoT/internet growth.For GPM, despite smartphone BOM cost hikes (esp. memory), our 3Q GPM estimate is at 22.9% (vs 22.5% for consensus), backed by resilient smart phone (SP)/IoT/internet GPM at 11%/23%/75.3%, while EV GPM may come in softer at 25.8% (vs 26.4 in 2Q) on capacity constraint, on our estimate. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - Expect Another Strong Quarter on Better EV Business...

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Xiaomi (1810 HK): 3Q25, Revenue Up by 22%

Xiaomi’s total revenue grew by 22% in 3Q25, which mainly came from vehicle. The company well controls the gross margin of the vehicle business. We...

Ming Lu

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec25/Mar26: One Change for Dec25; New Expected ADD/DELs for Mar26

We now see new listings Pony AI (2026 HK), Mininglamp Technology (2718 HK), and Deepexi Technology (1384 HK) to be expected ADDs in March 2026.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Methodology Change Leads to US$1.25bn Trade

The methodology update could result in 5 changes in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 12.8% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$1.25bn. There...

Brian Freitas

Primer: Xiaomi (1810 HK) - Oct 2025

Xiaomi is successfully executing its "Human x Car x Home"strategy, integrating its vast ecosystem of consumer electronics with its new and...

αSK Primers

Xiaomi (1810 HK) - Expect Another Strong Quarter on Better EV Business...

We expect 3Q25E to deliver another strong adj. net profit growth of 60% YoY to RMB 10.01bn, in-line with consensus estimates, mainly driven by...

CMB International

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