HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK) </a>will suffer from a higher USD rate as Trump's massive deportation plan raises inflation.  High-cash companies will better position, however.</li>
<li>The surge in tariffs on US imports of goods from China will further accelerate supply chain diversification, boosting intra-Asia trade and driving <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sitc-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15301:1" rel="noopener">SITC International (1308 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC (883 HK)</a> may gain from a slowdown in the green transition in the US as oil prices are supported. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meitu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23573:1" rel="noopener">Meitu Inc (1357 HK)</a>, given its crypto investments, will benefit. </li>
</ul>



China Southern Airlines (1055 HK) will suffer from a higher USD rate as Trump's massive deportation plan raises inflation.  High-cash companies will better position, however.
The surge in tariffs on US imports of goods from China will further accelerate supply chain diversification, boosting intra-Asia trade and driving SITC International (1308 HK). 

CNOOC (883 HK) may gain from a slowdown in the green transition in the US as oil prices are supported. Meitu Inc (1357 HK), given its crypto investments, will benefit. 


China & HK Strategy: Some Stocks for Trump Trade

<ul>
<li>The companies that suffered exchange losses in FY23 due to Rmb depreciation will now benefit from potential Rmb appreciation in 2H24 and FY25. Meanwhile, gainers will become losers. </li>
<li>The beneficiaries are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinjiang-goldwind-science-technology-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10112:1" rel="noopener">Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-eastern-airlines-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1079:1" rel="noopener">China Eastern Airlines (670 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-east-education-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27843:1" rel="noopener">China East Education (667 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> may need to book exchange losses (vs. gains in FY23). </li>
</ul>


The companies that suffered exchange losses in FY23 due to Rmb depreciation will now benefit from potential Rmb appreciation in 2H24 and FY25. Meanwhile, gainers will become losers. 
The beneficiaries are Air China Ltd (753 HK), Shenzhen International (152 HK), China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), Xinjiang Goldwind (2208 HK), and China Eastern Airlines (670 HK). 

Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), China East Education (667 HK), and China Communications Construction (1800 HK) may need to book exchange losses (vs. gains in FY23). 


China Strategy: Re-Assessing the Rmb Exchange Impacts

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 4th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Hua Hong Semi, CCB, Alibaba, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 4th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, Hua Hong Semi, CCB, Alibaba, ICBC.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 4th): Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, CCB

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)</li>
</ul>


300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Innovent Bio, Minimax, Kuaishou, Ping An.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

China

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures wind generator sets, provides consulting service in building and operating wind generating plants, builds and operates middle-sized wind generating plants.

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (002202 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (002202 CH)

China & HK Strategy: Some Stocks for Trump Trade

A higher USD rate due to Trump's deportation plan will impact CSA. Tariff surge on US imports from China will boost SITC. CNOOC may benefit from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Strategy: Re-Assessing the Rmb Exchange Impacts

With the US kick-starting the lower interest rate cycle with a 50bp cut overnight and indicated an expectation of an aggregate further 50bp cut in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 4th): Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: Some Stocks for Trump Trade

​A higher USD rate due to Trump's deportation plan will impact CSA. Tariff surge on US imports from China will boost SITC. CNOOC may benefit from...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Strategy: Re-Assessing the Rmb Exchange Impacts

With the US kick-starting the lower interest rate cycle with a 50bp cut overnight and indicated an expectation of an aggregate further 50bp cut in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Sep 4th): Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas, Yofc, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Zj Innolight, Tencent, AIA, Minimax, Knowledge Atlas,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 28th): Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma, Minimax

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Akeso, Yofc, Cspc Pharma,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A higher USD rate due to Trump's deportation plan will impact CSA. Tariff surge on US imports from China will boost SITC. CNOOC may benefit from...