Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points: Chinese tourism and interest rates, Thailand GDP growth, South Korea exports</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vodafone-idea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15678:1" rel="noopener">Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points: Chinese tourism and interest rates, Thailand GDP growth, South Korea exports

 Companies mentioned:JD.com (9618 HK), XPeng (9868 HK), Vodafone Idea (IDEA IN)



GEMWeekly (23 Feb 2024): China, Thailand, South Korea Macro; JD.com, Xpeng, Vodafone Idea

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Dec 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jan 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The blended average discounts for foreign brands slightly narrowed MoM in Jan 2024, based on our calculations, while those for Chinese brands widened by 0.6ppt MoM on average, as Chinese automakers are probably more aggressive in pushing sales before the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

<ul><li>We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.</li><li>Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales volumes on 1 Feb 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 80% YoY (ranging from +18% to +978%) on low a base (Chinese New Year (CNY) in Jan 2023)) and fell 34% MoM (ranging from -59% to +95%) in Jan 2024.Xpeng fell most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 106% YoY and fell 38% MoM to about 31,000 units in Jan 2024, in line with its weekly insurance data. Li Auto’s monthly deliveries were surpassed by Aito by about 1,800 units last month, the first time since Nov 2022.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

<ul><li>According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>PV retail sales volume in 2023 rose 6% YoY to 21.7mn units. Wholesale volume rose 23% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.79mn units in Dec 2023, the best Dec in history, and 11% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>PV wholesale volume rose 11% YoY to 26.06mn units in 2023, the highest in China’s history.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher than our prior forecast.PV retail sales volume in 2023 rose 6% YoY to 21.7mn units. Wholesale volume rose 23% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.79mn units in Dec 2023, the best Dec in history, and 11% higher than our prior forecast.PV wholesale volume rose 11% YoY to 26.06mn units in 2023, the highest in China’s history.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Attractive valuation with likely resilient earnings

China

XPeng designs, develops, manufactures, and markets smart electric vehicles, integrating advanced technologies like autonomous driving and intelligent operating systems. Its product lineup includes a range of smart electric sedans, SUVs, and MPVs. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

XPeng (9868 HK)

GEMWeekly (23 Feb 2024): China, Thailand, South Korea Macro; JD.com, Xpeng, Vodafone Idea

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly summarizes the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global...

Wium Malan, CFA

Auto - Chinese Brands’ Discounts Continued to Widen in Jan

Discounts at dealers usually narrow after the CNY amid more new model launches, which did not occur in 2022 and 2023, as price war outweighed new...

CMB International

Auto - Moderate Leading Indicators May Result in Mild Recovery After CNY

We summarize the Jan 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jan NEV Sales in Line; More Catalysts After CNY

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Jan 2024 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Attractive valuation with likely resilient earnings

According to insurance data, China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 0.3% YoY and 28% MoM to 2.53mn units in Dec 2023, 6% higher...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)