Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$15+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying still positive but still below US$500mm/day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, HEALTHCARE, FINANCIALS, ENERGY stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, INFO TECH again. 9 weeks in a row negative. Tencent bigly sold.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$15+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying still positive but still below US$500mm/day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, HEALTHCARE, FINANCIALS, ENERGY stand out, dramatically. Among top sells, INFO TECH again. 9 weeks in a row negative. Tencent bigly sold.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 June 2025); Volumes Up, TECH Down, HEALTHCARE Bought Big

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSTECH index rebal event in September 2025.</li>
<li>We see one low-conviction ADD/DEL and one significant float percentage revision which could collectively trigger roughly US$1.3bn in one-way index flows in September 2025.</li>
</ul>


The HSTECH Index tracks the performance of the top 30 technology companies listed in Hong Kong that have high business exposure to certain technology themes.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for HSTECH index rebal event in September 2025.
We see one low-conviction ADD/DEL and one significant float percentage revision which could collectively trigger roughly US$1.3bn in one-way index flows in September 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep25: 1 Low-Conviction Change + 1 FAF Revision; US$1.3bn One-Way

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. It’s back again to raise another US$600m via a placement.</li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. It’s back again to raise another US$600m via a placement.
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
In this note we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Horizon Robotics Placement - Momentum Is Strong but Raising Seems Opportunistic

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In May, onshore Chinese investors bought US$5.85bn of HK-listed stocks, down sharply from the $19-21 bn net buying range of the past three months. The favorite stocks also changed sharply.</li>
<li>The hitherto Southbound favorites, Tencent, Alibaba and Xiaomi were sold down. Onshore investors’ current favorites seem to be the high dividend yield stocks, particularly China Mobile, CNOOC, China Construction Bank.</li>
<li>Competitive pressures crashed food delivery and EV share prices. But Southbound investors seem to see these share price drawdowns as buying opportunities. Meituan, Li Auto were bought in significant measure.</li>
</ul>


In May, onshore Chinese investors bought US$5.85bn of HK-listed stocks, down sharply from the $19-21 bn net buying range of the past three months. The favorite stocks also changed sharply.
The hitherto Southbound favorites, Tencent, Alibaba and Xiaomi were sold down. Onshore investors’ current favorites seem to be the high dividend yield stocks, particularly China Mobile, CNOOC, China Construction Bank.
Competitive pressures crashed food delivery and EV share prices. But Southbound investors seem to see these share price drawdowns as buying opportunities. Meituan, Li Auto were bought in significant measure.


Asian Equities: Southbound Flows Turning to Dividends and Beaten Down Sectors

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HS TECH in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.


HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
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XPeng (9868 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 June 2025); Volumes Up, TECH Down, HEALTHCARE Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND volumes continue to be strong, with net buying continuing near US$2bn a week. Lots of buying of deep H/A discount names.

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep25: 1 Low-Conviction Change + 1 FAF Revision; US$1.3bn One-Way

We expect high-impact index flows for the ADD, DEL, and the FAF-revision names. There could be multiple days of volume to trade for these names if...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Horizon Robotics Placement - Momentum Is Strong but Raising Seems Opportunistic

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. It’s back again to raise another US$600m via a placement.

Sumeet Singh

Asian Equities: Southbound Flows Turning to Dividends and Beaten Down Sectors

In May, CN onshore investors moved from tech giants to high dividend yield stocks - CN Mobile, CNOOC & CCB. They saw buying opportunities in the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 13 June 2025); Volumes Up, TECH Down, HEALTHCARE Bought Big

SOUTHBOUND volumes continue to be strong, with net buying continuing near US$2bn a week. Lots of buying of deep H/A discount names.

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard HSTECH Sep25: 1 Low-Conviction Change + 1 FAF Revision; US$1.3bn One-Way

We expect high-impact index flows for the ADD, DEL, and the FAF-revision names. There could be multiple days of volume to trade for these names if...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Horizon Robotics Placement - Momentum Is Strong but Raising Seems Opportunistic

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO in October 2024. It’s back again to raise another US$600m via a placement.

Sumeet Singh

Asian Equities: Southbound Flows Turning to Dividends and Beaten Down Sectors

In May, ​CN onshore investors moved from tech giants to high dividend yield stocks - CN Mobile, CNOOC & CCB. They saw buying opportunities in the...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

HS TECH Index Earning Revision (May): Xiaomi, Ntes, Meituan, Jd, Smic, Horizonrobot

We analyzed HS TECH's consensus for May 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Xiaomi, Ntes - S, Meituan, Jd - Sw, Smic, Horizonrobot, Hua Hong Semi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

In May, CN onshore investors moved from tech giants to high dividend yield stocks - CN Mobile, CNOOC & CCB. They saw buying opportunities in the...