China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch up and shorten its R&amp;D cycle.</li>
<li>We see two benefits for Xpeng: 1) a new revenue stream from tech licensing and potential reduction of supply chain costs; 2) VW’s endorsement  could help Xpeng’s overseas expansion.</li>
<li>We think the potential of Xpeng’s high-margin tech licensing being opened to more VW models and other OEMs. Our TP implies 2.5x 2024PS</li>
</ul>


VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch up and shorten its R&amp;D cycle.
We see two benefits for Xpeng: 1) a new revenue stream from tech licensing and potential reduction of supply chain costs; 2) VW’s endorsement  could help Xpeng’s overseas expansion.
We think the potential of Xpeng’s high-margin tech licensing being opened to more VW models and other OEMs. Our TP implies 2.5x 2024PS


[XPeng(XPEV US, BUY, TP US$24.3)TP Change]: Potential of Tech Licensing and EV Sales Lifts Valuation

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ATAT: Legacy-Huazhu 2Q23 RevPAR increased 21% vs. same period in 2019（+）</li>
<li>XPEV: weekly data indicates G6 capacity still needs time to ramp up (-)</li>
<li>XPEV : The VW brand concludes technological framework agreement for long-term cooperation with Xpeng (+)</li>
</ul>


ATAT: Legacy-Huazhu 2Q23 RevPAR increased 21% vs. same period in 2019（+）
XPEV: weekly data indicates G6 capacity still needs time to ramp up (-)
XPEV : The VW brand concludes technological framework agreement for long-term cooperation with Xpeng (+)


China TMT Update-ATAT/XPEV-The VW Brand Cooperate with Xpeng;G6 Capacity;Legacy-Huazhu 2Q23 RevPAR

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Black Sesame International Holding / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Black Sesame Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Losses Remain Wide and Suffers from a Concentration Risk

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 12% MoM in Jun 2023 amid high base, 5% higher than our prior forecast, driving the 1H23 retail sales volume 5% higher than a year ago.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 2% YoY and 11% MoM to 2.27mn units in Jun 2023, the highest Jun in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 9% YoY (or +0.41mn units YoY) in 1H23, aided by 88% YoY growth (or +0.83mn units YoY) of exports.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 12% MoM in Jun 2023 amid high base, 5% higher than our prior forecast, driving the 1H23 retail sales volume 5% higher than a year ago.Wholesale volume rose 2% YoY and 11% MoM to 2.27mn units in Jun 2023, the highest Jun in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 9% YoY (or +0.41mn units YoY) in 1H23, aided by 88% YoY growth (or +0.83mn units YoY) of exports.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Strong June provides more confidence for 2H23

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Black Sesame Pre-IPO - The Positives - Catering to a Growing Demand for Automotive Automation

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (9868 HK)

[XPeng(XPEV US, BUY, TP US$24.3)TP Change]: Potential of Tech Licensing and EV Sales Lifts Valuation

VW’s long-term software dilemma caused delays of new EV model launch. Thus, leveraging established software capability of Xpeng could help VW catch...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-ATAT/XPEV-The VW Brand Cooperate with Xpeng;G6 Capacity;Legacy-Huazhu 2Q23 RevPAR

XPEV : The VW brand cooperation with Xpeng (+);XPEV: weekly data indicates G6 capacity still needs time to ramp up (-);ATAT: Legacy-Huazhu 2Q23...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Black Sesame Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Losses Remain Wide and Suffers from a Concentration Risk

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not...

Clarence Chu

China Auto Sector – Strong June provides more confidence for 2H23

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 2% YoY and 12% MoM in Jun 2023 amid high base, 5% higher than our prior forecast

CMB International

Black Sesame Pre-IPO - The Positives - Catering to a Growing Demand for Automotive Automation

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Clarence Chu

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