Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)</li>
<li>MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)</li>
<li>981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)
MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)
981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

<ul>
<li>LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US:In the 47th week of new energy vehicles, LI and BYD were impacted by new new forces. (////////////)</li>
<li>1211 HK:BYD Requests Suppliers to Reduce Prices by 10% in 2025.(+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/JD US: Jiangsu Province Expands Consumer Subsidy Scope, Adding 27 Product Categories Including Mobile Phones and Laptops.(+/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US:In the 47th week of new energy vehicles, LI and BYD were impacted by new new forces. (////////////)
1211 HK:BYD Requests Suppliers to Reduce Prices by 10% in 2025.(+)
1810 HK/JD US: Jiangsu Province Expands Consumer Subsidy Scope, Adding 27 Product Categories Including Mobile Phones and Laptops.(+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Haier plans to acquire all shares of Autohome and dismiss 30% of Autohome’s employees.</li>
<li>In 3Q24, Xiaomi's revenue grew by 30% YoY or 17% YoY without electric vehicle.</li>
<li>In 3Q24, Tongcheng Travel's revenue increased by 51% YoY with gross profit up by 29% YoY.</li>
</ul>


Haier plans to acquire all shares of Autohome and dismiss 30% of Autohome’s employees.
In 3Q24, Xiaomi's revenue grew by 30% YoY or 17% YoY without electric vehicle.
In 3Q24, Tongcheng Travel's revenue increased by 51% YoY with gross profit up by 29% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (25 Nov 2024): Xiaomi, Haier, Autohome, Xpeng, Full Truck, Tongcheng

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)
LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.</li><li>We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.</li><li>Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

Price Gauge
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XPeng (XPEV US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (25 Nov 2024): Xiaomi, Haier, Autohome, Xpeng, Full Truck, Tongcheng

Haier plans to acquire Autohome. In 3Q24, Xiaomi's revenue grew by 30% YoY or 17% YoY without electric vehicle. Tongcheng Travel revenue increased...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

​Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

​New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Consumption Weekly (25 Nov 2024): Xiaomi, Haier, Autohome, Xpeng, Full Truck, Tongcheng

Haier plans to acquire Autohome. In 3Q24, Xiaomi's revenue grew by 30% YoY or 17% YoY without electric vehicle. Tongcheng Travel revenue increased...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

​Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the...

CMB International

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...