China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng.</li>
<li>Having gone through all the negatives which led to Xpeng’s underperforming vs peers, we believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s advantages/technology improvements have been ignored.</li>
<li>After 4 months of sales decline, company fundamentals would bottom out from November onwards with G9 starting to speak for itself. </li>
</ul>


After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng.
Having gone through all the negatives which led to Xpeng’s underperforming vs peers, we believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s advantages/technology improvements have been ignored.
After 4 months of sales decline, company fundamentals would bottom out from November onwards with G9 starting to speak for itself. 


Xpeng (9868.HK, XPEV): Painful Year, but Payoffs for Technology Improvements Ahead

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Property / Cover Story: Developers impose deeper ‘haircuts’ on creditors in latest debt overhauls</li><li>Livestreaming /In Depth: China’s livestreaming apps face a reckoning over gambling</li><li>Refugees /: Global displaced population hits record as UN refugee agency faces funding cuts</li></ul>

Property / Cover Story: Developers impose deeper ‘haircuts’ on creditors in latest debt overhaulsLivestreaming /In Depth: China’s livestreaming apps face a reckoning over gamblingRefugees /: Global displaced population hits record as UN refugee agency faces funding cuts

CX Daily: Developers Impose Deeper ‘Haircuts’ on Creditors in Latest Debt Overhauls 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.</li><li>Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.</li><li>Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)</li>
<li>1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)</li>
<li>New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK : BYD Issues Super Short-Term Commercial Paper. (-)
1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/1810 HK /XPEV US:2025 June 9 – June 15 NEV Delivery Rankings(+/+/-/-//)
New Energy Vehicles: Lithium Carbonate Price Falls to 60,000 Yuan/Ton (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.</li>
<li>BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.</li>
<li>The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.</li>
</ul>


BYD announced that the company would provide price discounts for 22 models.
BYD has scale advantage over other NEV car makers and the NEV industry has bargaining power over suppliers and dealers.
The auto association and the Ministry of Industry are trying to protect small companies from bankruptcy.


BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

Xpeng (9868.HK, XPEV): Painful Year, but Payoffs for Technology Improvements Ahead

After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng. We believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s...

Victoria Li

CX Daily: Developers Impose Deeper ‘Haircuts’ on Creditors in Latest Debt Overhauls

TOP STORIES Property / Cover Story: Developers impose deeper ‘haircuts’ on creditors in latest debt overhauls As China’s real estate slump drags...

Caixin Global

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

BYD provideS price discounts for 22 models. BYD has cashflow advantage over competitors, suppliers, and dealers. Authorities are trying to prevent...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Xpeng (9868.HK, XPEV): Painful Year, but Payoffs for Technology Improvements Ahead

After a 86% decline on share price YTD, we believe it’s time to revisit Xpeng. We believe the market has overreacted, while the company’s...

Victoria Li

CX Daily: Developers Impose Deeper ‘Haircuts’ on Creditors in Latest Debt Overhauls

TOP STORIES Property / Cover Story: Developers impose deeper ‘haircuts’ on creditors in latest debt overhauls As China’s real estate slump drags...

Caixin Global

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/ TSLA US/LI US/ 1810 HK /XPEV US/New Energy Vehicles

​BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK): Authorities Halting Severe Competition Throughout Industry and Industry Chain

BYD provideS price discounts for 22 models. BYD has cashflow advantage over competitors, suppliers, and dealers. Authorities are trying to prevent...

Ming Lu

BYD issues super short-term commercial paper while NEV delivery rankings fluctuate among various companies. Lithium carbonate price drops to...