Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng MONA M03 suffers large scale delivery delays (/)</li>
<li>1810 HK: Government official announces that Xiaomi has developed a 3nm smartphone SoC (+)</li>
<li>MNSO US: Toptoy Expands Stores to Southeast Asia (/ )</li>
</ul>


XPEV US: Xpeng MONA M03 suffers large scale delivery delays (/)
1810 HK: Government official announces that Xiaomi has developed a 3nm smartphone SoC (+)
MNSO US: Toptoy Expands Stores to Southeast Asia (/ )


[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/MNSO US/1519 HK/ZTO US/Macro News Update/Travel Market Update

<ul>
<li>Real Estate Industry Update: Press Conference of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: Restarting Monetized Resettlement May Drive a 3%-7% Increase in Property Transactions Value(+)</li>
<li>1585 HK/NIU US/603529 CH: Shanghai announces trade-in subsidy for electric bikes (+/+/+)</li>
<li>1211HK/1810HK/XPEVUS/NIOUS/LIUS:Electric vehicle sales surged in the 41st week of 2024, BYD,Xiaomi,andXpeng took the lead, Tesla was unexpectedly weak,and Aion did not enter the top ten for the second week (/////////)</li>
</ul>


Real Estate Industry Update: Press Conference of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development: Restarting Monetized Resettlement May Drive a 3%-7% Increase in Property Transactions Value(+)
1585 HK/NIU US/603529 CH: Shanghai announces trade-in subsidy for electric bikes (+/+/+)
1211HK/1810HK/XPEVUS/NIOUS/LIUS:Electric vehicle sales surged in the 41st week of 2024, BYD,Xiaomi,andXpeng took the lead, Tesla was unexpectedly weak,and Aion did not enter the top ten for the second week (/////////)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1585 HK/NIU US/603529 CH/1211HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/Real Estate Industry

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We expect 3Q24 earnings of some leading Chinese automakers including BYD, Geely and Li Auto to rise substantially from 2Q24, which could beat investors’ expectation.</li><li>We expect Great Wall’s 3Q24 earnings to be resilient and at a similar level as 2Q24. Although both Xpeng and NIO launched competitive new models in 3Q24, we do not expect their net losses to narrow QoQ as the increase in gross profits may not be able to cover the R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses growth.</li><li>As valuation becomes less attractive now, we prefer automakers with more solid earnings, such as Geely and Li Auto. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect 3Q24 earnings of some leading Chinese automakers including BYD, Geely and Li Auto to rise substantially from 2Q24, which could beat investors’ expectation.We expect Great Wall’s 3Q24 earnings to be resilient and at a similar level as 2Q24. Although both Xpeng and NIO launched competitive new models in 3Q24, we do not expect their net losses to narrow QoQ as the increase in gross profits may not be able to cover the R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses growth.As valuation becomes less attractive now, we prefer automakers with more solid earnings, such as Geely and Li Auto. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - 3Q Earnings Preview: Leading Players to Beat

<ul>
<li>Macro News Update: Weak Household Loan Data in September Highlights Urgency for Consumption Stimulus</li>
<li>Macro News Update : Scholars within China's government system indicates more incremental stimulus policies are on the way.</li>
<li>Macro News Update : Positive read thru on the Ministry of Finance press release(+)</li>
</ul>


Macro News Update: Weak Household Loan Data in September Highlights Urgency for Consumption Stimulus
Macro News Update : Scholars within China's government system indicates more incremental stimulus policies are on the way.
Macro News Update : Positive read thru on the Ministry of Finance press release(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

<ul><li>We summarize the Sep 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Aug 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.3ppts MoM in Sep, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German and Chinese brands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Sep 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Aug 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.3ppts MoM in Sep, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German and Chinese brands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Stable Discounts Imply Resilient 3Q Earnings

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/MNSO US/1519 HK/ZTO US/Macro News Update/Travel Market Update

XPEV US faces delivery delays, 1810 HK announces Xiaomi's 3nm smartphone SoC, MNSO US expands stores to Southeast Asia.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1585 HK/NIU US/603529 CH/1211HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/Real Estate Industry

Government initiatives like monetized resettlement and trade-in subsidies are driving growth in the real estate and electric vehicle industries,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - 3Q Earnings Preview: Leading Players to Beat

We expect 3Q24 earnings of some leading Chinese automakers including BYD, Geely and Li Auto to rise substantially from 2Q24, which could beat...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Stable Discounts Imply Resilient 3Q Earnings

We summarize the Sep 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report. Note that such discounts for each automaker are...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:XPEV US/1810 HK/MNSO US/1519 HK/ZTO US/Macro News Update/Travel Market Update

​XPEV US faces delivery delays, 1810 HK announces Xiaomi's 3nm smartphone SoC, MNSO US expands stores to Southeast Asia.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1585 HK/NIU US/603529 CH/1211HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/LI US/Real Estate Industry

​Government initiatives like monetized resettlement and trade-in subsidies are driving growth in the real estate and electric vehicle industries,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - 3Q Earnings Preview: Leading Players to Beat

We expect 3Q24 earnings of some leading Chinese automakers including BYD, Geely and Li Auto to rise substantially from 2Q24, which could beat...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1810 HK/1211HK/LI US/NIO US/XPEV US/MNSO US/ATAT US/002352 CH/2618HK/ZTO US/Macro

​Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Stable Discounts Imply Resilient 3Q Earnings

We summarize the Sep 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report. Note that such discounts for each automaker are...

CMB International

XPEV US faces delivery delays, 1810 HK announces Xiaomi's 3nm smartphone SoC, MNSO US expands stores to Southeast Asia.

Government initiatives like monetized resettlement and trade-in subsidies are driving growth in the real estate and electric vehicle industries,...

Household loan data in China highlights need for consumption stimulus; more incremental policies expected. Positive outlook on Ministry of Finance...