Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As with large, clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng (11 HK)</a>'s annualised spreads to widen (i.e. gross spread remains static) as investors hit their full quota early on. </li>
<li>The question is whether <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soft99-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18486:1" rel="noopener">Soft99 (4464 JP)</a>'s MBO Bidco raises the price to  ¥3,200 saying "let's split the difference", and that would make some people happy. It's doubtful they will.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK)</a> has benefited a little from the HK$500mn buyback programme announced last October. But a HK$11bn run up in market cap YTD? This looks stretched to me.</li>
</ul>


As with large, clean liquid deals in Asia-Pac, expect Hang Seng (11 HK)'s annualised spreads to widen (i.e. gross spread remains static) as investors hit their full quota early on. 
The question is whether Soft99 (4464 JP)'s MBO Bidco raises the price to  ¥3,200 saying "let's split the difference", and that would make some people happy. It's doubtful they will.

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK) has benefited a little from the HK$500mn buyback programme announced last October. But a HK$11bn run up in market cap YTD? This looks stretched to me.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 12th November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK)</a> proposed spinning-off the shares of Xuanzhu Biopharm on the main board of Hong Kong.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xuanzhu-biopharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44117:1" rel="noopener">Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical</a>'s prospectus is now out. Shares are priced at HK$11.60/share, backing out a market cap of ~HK$6bn vs. Sihuan Pharma's HK$17.4bn market cap. Trading commences on the 15th October.</li>
<li>Sihuan Pharma will hold 49.1% post IPO. Its share price is up 189% YTD. Looks frothy. Then again, so does Hong Kong's IPO market.</li>
</ul>


On the 12th November 2024, Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460 HK) proposed spinning-off the shares of Xuanzhu Biopharm on the main board of Hong Kong.

Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical's prospectus is now out. Shares are priced at HK$11.60/share, backing out a market cap of ~HK$6bn vs. Sihuan Pharma's HK$17.4bn market cap. Trading commences on the 15th October.
Sihuan Pharma will hold 49.1% post IPO. Its share price is up 189% YTD. Looks frothy. Then again, so does Hong Kong's IPO market.


Sihuan Pharma (460 HK): On Xuanzhu Biopharm's Imminent Spin-Off

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, this week saw a few good listings across the region while the spotlight will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> in the coming week.</li>
<li>On the placements front, it was a relatively quiter week, as compared to some of the more recent weekly flows.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, this week saw a few good listings across the region while the spotlight will be on Zijin Gold (2259 HK) in the coming week.
On the placements front, it was a relatively quiter week, as compared to some of the more recent weekly flows.


ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Trump administration is considering putting “severe restrictions” on the drugs from China, which would negative for China biotech that mainly relies on licensing-out model. We share our views below.</li>
<li>The key to assessing the future profitability of innovative drugs in China lies in their ability to control costs, not just in the growth of product sales.</li>
<li>Sihuan achieved a turnaround and is undervalued. Just "medical aesthetics + cash" worth RMB15.3 billion valuation. The innovative drug business will provide decent upside potential, but with some concerns behind. </li>
</ul>


The Trump administration is considering putting “severe restrictions” on the drugs from China, which would negative for China biotech that mainly relies on licensing-out model. We share our views below.
The key to assessing the future profitability of innovative drugs in China lies in their ability to control costs, not just in the growth of product sales.
Sihuan achieved a turnaround and is undervalued. Just "medical aesthetics + cash" worth RMB15.3 billion valuation. The innovative drug business will provide decent upside potential, but with some concerns behind. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

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Xuanzhu Biopharmaceutical (XUANZHU HK)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Sihuan Pharma (460 HK): On Xuanzhu Biopharm's Imminent Spin-Off

Sihaun Pharma has benefited a little from the HK$500mn, 12-month buyback programme announced on the 6th October 2024. But a HK$11bn run up in...

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Hang Seng Bank, Soft99, Sihuan Pharma, Dongfeng Motor

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Sihuan Pharma (460 HK): On Xuanzhu Biopharm's Imminent Spin-Off

Sihaun Pharma has benefited a little from the HK$500mn, 12-month buyback programme announced on the 6th October 2024. But a HK$11bn run up in...

David Blennerhassett

ECM Weekly (29 September 2025)- Zijin, Chery, CAREIT, Orion, Butong, Victory Giant, Northern Star

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.14) - Trump to Put Restrictions on Chinese Drugs, Sihuan Is Undervalued

​Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Trump may impose restrictions on China drugs, impacting China biotech reliant on licensing model. Profitability in China biotech hinges on cost...