Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a> announced a short-term buyback. 3 months, 3%. It isn't huge but it helps with the TOPIX FFW changes to come in two weeks. </li>
<li>It also helps with the extra overhang from last year's selldown and the significant cross-holding overhang which exists. </li>
<li>But the shares are very inexpensive vs peers when one looks at consensus forward earnings and EBIT, and better growth is expected too.</li>
</ul>



Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) announced a short-term buyback. 3 months, 3%. It isn't huge but it helps with the TOPIX FFW changes to come in two weeks. 
It also helps with the extra overhang from last year's selldown and the significant cross-holding overhang which exists. 
But the shares are very inexpensive vs peers when one looks at consensus forward earnings and EBIT, and better growth is expected too.


Yamaha Motors Buyback (7272) - Medium-Bigly Buyback Complicated by TOPIX FFW and Cross-Holdings

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Yamaha Motor’s 4Q21 beat on margins with revenue of ¥450bn (+1.2% QoQ, +11.3% YoY) and OP of ¥27.7bn for an OPM of 6.2%. </li>
<li>The reported OP was 8.6% higher than consensus estimates while revenue was relatively in-line. </li>
<li>Yamaha’s FY OP generation was ¥182.3bn, right in the middle of our ¥180-185bn estimate and 2022 guidance was more or less in-line with consensus.</li>
</ul>


Yamaha Motor’s 4Q21 beat on margins with revenue of ¥450bn (+1.2% QoQ, +11.3% YoY) and OP of ¥27.7bn for an OPM of 6.2%. 
The reported OP was 8.6% higher than consensus estimates while revenue was relatively in-line. 
Yamaha’s FY OP generation was ¥182.3bn, right in the middle of our ¥180-185bn estimate and 2022 guidance was more or less in-line with consensus.


Yamaha Motor – Lowballing Guidance on Material Costs

<p>Yamaha Motors posted a strong 3Q with OP 35% higher than consensus estimates despite no significant beat at the top line. While volumes are still being impacted by the semiconductor shortage, margins are improving and consensus is underestimating future profit potential.</p>

Yamaha Motors posted a strong 3Q with OP 35% higher than consensus estimates despite no significant beat at the top line. While volumes are still being impacted by the semiconductor shortage, margins are improving and consensus is underestimating future profit potential.

Yamaha Motor – Comfortable Beat of Consensus on the Cards

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>Hong Kong saw shorts rise on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunny-optical-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13363:1" rel="noopener">Sunny Optical (2382 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK)</a>. Shorts increased in the Information Technology, Real Estate and Communication Services sectors, while decreasing in the Financials sector.</p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamaha-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7411:1" rel="noopener">Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tamura-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9782:1" rel="noopener">Tamura Corp (6768 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16287:1" rel="noopener">ASICS Corp (7936 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumco-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:379:1" rel="noopener">SUMCO Corp (3436 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> while there was short covering on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Inc (4755 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeda-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11747:1" rel="noopener">Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/resona-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6841:1" rel="noopener">Resona Holdings (8308 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anritsu-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3700:1" rel="noopener">Anritsu Corp (6754 JP)</a>. Shorts decreased the most in the Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Information Technology and Health Care sectors.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-heavy-industries-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7389:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oci-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1904:1" rel="noopener">Oci Co Ltd (010060 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-chem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3583:1" rel="noopener">LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mando-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8119:1" rel="noopener">Mando Corp (204320 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-wia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12283:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Wia (011210 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>In Taiwan, shorts increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wan-hai-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14262:1" rel="noopener">Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asustek-computer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13002:1" rel="noopener">Asustek Computer (2357 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/winbond-electronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9177:1" rel="noopener">Winbond Electronics (2344 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nantex-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1865:1" rel="noopener">Nantex Industry (2108 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigabyte-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17486:1" rel="noopener">Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT)</a> while shorts covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-cement" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19736:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Cement (1101 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/largan-precision-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9126:1" rel="noopener">Largan Precision (3008 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergreen-marine-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15428:1" rel="noopener">Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT)</a>. </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.Hong Kong saw shorts rise on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Sunny Optical (2382 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) while there was short covering on Meituan (3690 HK), HKEX (388 HK), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), BYD (1211 HK) and WuXi AppTec Co. Ltd. (2359 HK). Shorts increased in the Information Technology, Real Estate and Communication Services sectors, while decreasing in the Financials sector.In Japan, stocks increased on Yamaha Motor (7272 JP), Tamura Corp (6768 JP), ASICS Corp (7936 JP), SUMCO Corp (3436 JP) and Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) while there was short covering on Oriental Land (4661 JP), Rakuten Inc (4755 JP), Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP), Resona Holdings (8308 JP) and Anritsu Corp (6754 JP). Shorts decreased the most in the Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, Information Technology and Health Care sectors.In Korea, shorts increased on Kakao Corp (035720 KS), Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS), Doosan Heavy Industries &amp; Construction (034020 KS), Oci Co Ltd (010060 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS) while shorts were covered on LG Chem Ltd (051910 KS), Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), Mando Corp (204320 KS), Hyundai Wia (011210 KS) and Doosan Infracore (042670 KS). In Taiwan, shorts increased on Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT), Asustek Computer (2357 TT), Winbond Electronics (2344 TT), Nantex Industry (2108 TT) and Gigabyte Technology (2376 TT) while shorts covered on TSMC (2330 TT), Taiwan Cement (1101 TT), Largan Precision (3008 TT), United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) and Evergreen Marine Corp (2603 TT). 

Asia Shorts: Xiaomi, Anta, HKEX, BYD, Yamaha, ASICS, Rakuten, Resona, Kakao, HMC, Doosan, Wan Hai

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). </p>

Our outlook remains unchanged as the weight of the evidence continues to suggest a mixed, but overall constructive market. Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight (i.e., Energy, Materials, Manufacturing, and Transportation), while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples, Health Care, and Real Estate). 

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Japan

Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures motorcycles.  The Company also produces motor vehicle engines for Toyota Motor Corp. and Ford Motor Co.  Yamaha Motor's specialty products include motor boats, snowmobiles, golf carts, and electric power generators.  Yamaha Motor sells products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and South America.

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Yamaha Motor (7272 JP)

Yamaha Motors Buyback (7272) - Medium-Bigly Buyback Complicated by TOPIX FFW and Cross-Holdings

Yamaha Motor (7272 JP) announced a buyback which helps offset the likely selling to come from the TOPIX FFW review to be announced early April....

Travis Lundy

Yamaha Motor – Lowballing Guidance on Material Costs

Yamaha’s FY OP generation was ¥182.3bn, right in the middle of our ¥180-185bn estimate and 2022 guidance was more or less in-line with consensus....

Mio Kato

Yamaha Motor – Comfortable Beat of Consensus on the Cards

Yamaha Motors posted a strong 3Q with OP 35% higher than consensus estimates despite no significant beat at the top line and consensus is...

Mio Kato

Asia Shorts: Xiaomi, Anta, HKEX, BYD, Yamaha, ASICS, Rakuten, Resona, Kakao, HMC, Doosan, Wan Hai

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

Global Equity Strategy: Value Remains Leadership But Defensives Improving

Cyclical value Sectors continue to be our favorite areas to overweight, while defensive Sectors also continue to be worth a look (i.e., Staples,...

Vermilion Research

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