External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>YAL’s net profit in 2024 came in at A$1.2bn, down 33% YoY but 8% above our estimates due to a higher-than-expected FX gain (A$149mn).</li><li>YAL declared a final dividend of A$0.52/share, which is long-awaited by the market.</li><li>The payout ratio of 56% is in line with YAL’s dividend policy, which we believe will enhance investors’ confidence. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

YAL’s net profit in 2024 came in at A$1.2bn, down 33% YoY but 8% above our estimates due to a higher-than-expected FX gain (A$149mn).YAL declared a final dividend of A$0.52/share, which is long-awaited by the market.The payout ratio of 56% is in line with YAL’s dividend policy, which we believe will enhance investors’ confidence. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - Dividend Resumed with 56% Pay-Out Ratio

<ul><li>Yancoal’s (YAL) 4Q24 volume data are in-line with the guidance and our expectation, with attributable production/ sales volume increasing 0%/3% YoY.</li><li>Blended ASP, however, dropped 10% YoY in 4Q24 as the thermal coal ASP tracked closely with the market price of API5 (5500kCal).</li><li>We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.84bn of revenue in 4Q24 (-7% YoY; +3% QoQ). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal’s (YAL) 4Q24 volume data are in-line with the guidance and our expectation, with attributable production/ sales volume increasing 0%/3% YoY.Blended ASP, however, dropped 10% YoY in 4Q24 as the thermal coal ASP tracked closely with the market price of API5 (5500kCal).We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.84bn of revenue in 4Q24 (-7% YoY; +3% QoQ). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - Potential Dividend Resumption a Catalyst

<ul><li>Yancoal’s (YAL) 3Q24 operating data are slightly better than our expectation, with attributable production / sales volume increasing 10%/21% YoY (improved from -4%/+1% in 2Q24).</li><li>Blended ASP dropped 14% YoY in 3Q24, which is largely in line with the market trend.</li><li>We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.78bn of revenue in 3Q24 (+5% YoY; +15% QoQ). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal’s (YAL) 3Q24 operating data are slightly better than our expectation, with attributable production / sales volume increasing 10%/21% YoY (improved from -4%/+1% in 2Q24).Blended ASP dropped 14% YoY in 3Q24, which is largely in line with the market trend.We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.78bn of revenue in 3Q24 (+5% YoY; +15% QoQ). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - 3Q24 Sales Volume Accelerated to +21% YoY

<ul><li>Yancoal’s (YAL) net profit came in at A$420mn in 1H24 (-57% YoY) which is slightly below our expectation due to higher-than-expected unit cost.</li><li>Unlike that in 2022 and 2023, YAL did not propose interim dividend this time despite a strong net cash position (A$1.42bn as at end-Jun).</li><li>Therefore, we do not rule out the possibility that YAL is getting closer to a potential M&amp;A deal to boost product diversification and long-term growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal’s (YAL) net profit came in at A$420mn in 1H24 (-57% YoY) which is slightly below our expectation due to higher-than-expected unit cost.Unlike that in 2022 and 2023, YAL did not propose interim dividend this time despite a strong net cash position (A$1.42bn as at end-Jun).Therefore, we do not rule out the possibility that YAL is getting closer to a potential M&amp;A deal to boost product diversification and long-term growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - 1H24 Net Profit -57% YoY Below Expectations

<ul><li>Yancoal’s (YAL) 2Q24 operating data came in slightly below our expectation, with only 1% YoY increase in attributable sales volume due to adverse weather conditions and operational factors such as longwall move and wash plant throughput rates.</li><li>Blended ASP dropped 20% YoY in 2Q24 but is in line with the market trend and our expectation.</li><li>We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.5bn of revenue in 2Q24 (-20% YoY; +3% QoQ). YAL maintains the full-year sales volume guidance unchanged. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal’s (YAL) 2Q24 operating data came in slightly below our expectation, with only 1% YoY increase in attributable sales volume due to adverse weather conditions and operational factors such as longwall move and wash plant throughput rates.Blended ASP dropped 20% YoY in 2Q24 but is in line with the market trend and our expectation.We estimate Yancoal delivered ~A$1.5bn of revenue in 2Q24 (-20% YoY; +3% QoQ). YAL maintains the full-year sales volume guidance unchanged. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yancoal Australia (3668 HK) - 2Q24 Sales Volume +1%; Full-Year Target Still Achievable

Australia

Yancoal Australia Ltd. is a prominent Australian coal mining company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal. It supplies thermal coal for electricity generation and metallurgical coal for steel manufacturing to international markets, primarily in the Asia-Pacific region. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

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Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)