Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 14th April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal (YAL AU)</a> <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260414/pdf/06yh1vf2g4rt14.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> it had entered into a transaction to acquire a majority stake in the Kestrel coal mine, located in Queensland, for "up to" US$2.4bn. </li>
<li>Yancoal intends to acquire the 80% stake held by EMR Capital and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adaro-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6061:1" rel="noopener">Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ)</a> JV. Mitsui will maintain its 20% stake. </li>
<li>80% of Kestrel was previously held by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>, and sold for A$2.25bn in 2018. That transaction required FIRB approval. This transaction also requires FIRB signing off. </li>
</ul>


On the 14th April, Yancoal (YAL AU) announced it had entered into a transaction to acquire a majority stake in the Kestrel coal mine, located in Queensland, for "up to" US$2.4bn. 
Yancoal intends to acquire the 80% stake held by EMR Capital and Adaro Energy (ADRO IJ) JV. Mitsui will maintain its 20% stake. 
80% of Kestrel was previously held by Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU), and sold for A$2.25bn in 2018. That transaction required FIRB approval. This transaction also requires FIRB signing off. 


Yancoal (YAL AU) Retraces Post Kestrel Mine Deal

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We first review at Q1 performance in the major markets we follow</li>
<li>The worst may be over in but news flow will drive markets in the short-term</li>
<li>We look at foreign positioning and fund flow data to assess risks</li>
</ul>


We first review at Q1 performance in the major markets we follow
The worst may be over in but news flow will drive markets in the short-term
We look at foreign positioning and fund flow data to assess risks


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.</li>
<li>Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.</li>
<li>Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.</li>
</ul>


So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the war enters its second month.
Asian countries are highly dependent on oil and gas shipments from the Middle East, with airlines, petrochemical companies, and gas distribution companies all negatively affected.
Iran now controls when the flow of energy from the Middle East starts and thereby when the war stops. Gulf countries will not allow Iran to be the Straits gatekeeper.


OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In Australia, currently four pair trade opportunities persist across two sectors.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Equity Capital Markets

Mahanadi Coalfields Limited / Equity Capital Markets

Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN)

<ul>
<li>This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahanadi-coalfields-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58636:1" rel="noopener">Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN)</a> .</li>
<li>It discusses about the company profile, key customers and financial snapshots.</li>
<li>Finally, we highlight the various points to look forward to in this IPO.</li>
</ul>


This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) .
It discusses about the company profile, key customers and financial snapshots.
Finally, we highlight the various points to look forward to in this IPO.


Australia

Yancoal Australia Ltd. is a prominent Australian coal mining company engaged in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal. It supplies thermal coal for electricity generation and metallurgical coal for steel manufacturing to international markets, primarily in the Asia-Pacific region. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

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Yancoal Australia (3668 HK)

Yancoal (YAL AU) Retraces Post Kestrel Mine Deal

Kestrel's already majority owned by foreigners and exports 100%. Perhaps behavioural remedies, at most, for FIRB, where possible, such that Yancoal...

David Blennerhassett

Q2 Outlook - Asian Equity Markets

Our outlook for Q2 2026 onwards. Separating the short-term noise from our longer-term investment themes. In Part 2 look at Asian equities

Rikki Malik

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mahanadi Coalfields IPO – First Cut

This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) . It discusses about the company...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yancoal (YAL AU) Retraces Post Kestrel Mine Deal

Kestrel's already majority owned by foreigners and exports 100%. Perhaps behavioural remedies, at most, for FIRB, where possible, such that Yancoal...

David Blennerhassett

Q2 Outlook - Asian Equity Markets

Our outlook for Q2 2026 onwards. Separating the short-term noise from our longer-term investment themes. In Part 2 look at Asian equities

Rikki Malik

OIL: When a Short-Term Spike Becomes Long-Term Reality

So far, global markets remain optimistic that the damage from the war in Iran will be repaired relatively soon; however, that will change as the...

David Mudd

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 Sep 2026)

​Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mahanadi Coalfields IPO – First Cut

This insight discusses about the broad structure of upcoming IPO of Mahanadi Coalfields Limited (0808507D IN) . It discusses about the company...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Discover four pair trade opportunities across two sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.