IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.</li>
<li>The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.</li>
<li>Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.</li>
</ul>



Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) announced a preconditional tender offer from MBK Partners at JPY11,751, a 4.8% premium to last close and a 6.8% premium to Nidec’s withdrawn JPY11,000 offer.
The offer is broadly in line with the midpoint of the IFA DCF valuation range. The tender offer is expected to commence in early December.
Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges with a higher offer.


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.</li>
<li>Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.</li>
<li>US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.</li>
</ul>


Positive US-China talks and the de-escalation of tariffs signal a major softening by both sides.
Expect momentum favourites to continue climbing as risk-on greenlights CTA factor buying.
US Pharma rebounded with Trump executive order seen as toothless and vague.


Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

<ul>
<li>Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.</li>
<li>ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.</li>
<li>Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? </li>
</ul>


Late session rally for chips and semi-cap names with the US signalling a softening of export curbs.
ARM numbers after the bell sending stock -10% point to Softbank missing todays upside.
Is Japanese shipbuilding expertise the new bargaining chip against tariffs? 


Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>The stock market ended on a strong note, with both the Nikkei 225 (+3.4%) and the  Topix (+3.7%) indices posting substantial weekly gains amid ongoing U.S.-Japan trade negotiations</li>
<li>Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa's meeting with President Trump on Thursday proved pivotal, with Trump reportedly identifying a deal with Japan as a "top priority."</li>
<li>Auto stocks posted impressive gains Tuesday after reports that Trump was considering pausing his 25% levies on auto imports, with Mazda (+8%) leading the sector for the week.</li>
</ul>


The stock market ended on a strong note, with both the Nikkei 225 (+3.4%) and the  Topix (+3.7%) indices posting substantial weekly gains amid ongoing U.S.-Japan trade negotiations
Japanese Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa's meeting with President Trump on Thursday proved pivotal, with Trump reportedly identifying a deal with Japan as a "top priority."
Auto stocks posted impressive gains Tuesday after reports that Trump was considering pausing his 25% levies on auto imports, with Mazda (+8%) leading the sector for the week.


Japan Strategy Weekly | Stocks Rally as Trade Tensions Ease and Hopes Rise for Bilateral Deal

<ul>
<li>Oversold tech/SPE/AI surging after Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs on all but China, with the SOX up the most of all time.</li>
<li>Expect similar moves with oversold tech beta likely to open &gt;+10%.</li>
<li>Banks and life insurance  should continue to fare well given the persistently high yields, and names with high export ratios to the US.</li>
</ul>


Oversold tech/SPE/AI surging after Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs on all but China, with the SOX up the most of all time.
Expect similar moves with oversold tech beta likely to open &gt;+10%.
Banks and life insurance  should continue to fare well given the persistently high yields, and names with high export ratios to the US.


Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

Japan

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

Price Gauge
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Yaskawa Electric (6506 JP)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Stocks Rally as Trade Tensions Ease and Hopes Rise for Bilateral Deal

Stock market in Japan surges as U.S.-Japan trade talks progress, with auto stocks seeing significant gains amid potential tariff pause.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

Oversold Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): MBK’s Preconditional Offer Is Not the Likely Endgame

Despite the offer resulting from an auction, there remains a medium probability that Nidec or a spurned white knight bidder (Candidate A) emerges...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: Japan Tech and SPE to Continue Higher with Nasdaq100 Back in a Bull Mkt

​US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Rescinding of US Chip Restrictions to Send JP Semi Plays Higher

Upside for chips and semi-cap as US eases export curbs, poor outlook for Softbank as ARM drops 10%, Japanese shipbuilding expertise may be used as...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Strategy Weekly | Stocks Rally as Trade Tensions Ease and Hopes Rise for Bilateral Deal

​Stock market in Japan surges as U.S.-Japan trade talks progress, with auto stocks seeing significant gains amid potential tariff pause.

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: Trump Pulls off One of the Greatest Ruses of All Time

Oversold ​Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...

Andrew Jackson

US-China trade tensions ease as tariffs are de-escalated, resulting in risk-on buying across sectors. Should see improved sentiment for Japan...

Stock market in Japan surges as U.S.-Japan trade talks progress, with auto stocks seeing significant gains amid potential tariff pause.

Oversold Tech surging after delay on reciprocal tariffs, with SOX hitting record highs. Expect gains in oversold tech beta and strong performance...