SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

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<li>
In 1Q2019, Consumer Staples was the second-best performing sector with +13.9% total return, reversing the -2.9% total return in calendar year 2018. It was also amongst the top net buy sectors for the quarter, garnering total institutional inflows of S$61.5 million. 
	 </li>
	<li>
The 20 largest capitalised Consumer Staples stocks on SGX have a combined market cap of more than S$80 billion, and are well-diversified – both in terms of product range as well as geographical spread. The majority of these players report more than half their revenues to the Asia Pacific and/or global markets, excluding Singapore. 
	 </li>
	<li>Among the 20, the five best performers in the YTD were: Indofood Agri Resources (+46.6%), QAF Ltd (+44.4%), Thai Beverage PCL (+38.0%), Golden Agri-Resources (+20.4%), and First Resources (+19.5%). They averaged a YTD total return of +33.8%.</li>
</ul>
Second-Best Performing Sector in 1Q19

In the first quarter of 2019, Consumer Staples was the second-best performing sector on SGX with a total return of +13.9%, after Information Technology’s +28.6% total return. Consumer Staples’ strong performance in 1Q19 also reverses the -2.9% total return it generated in calendar year 2018.

Consumer Staples was also among the top net buy sectors for the January-March quarter, garnering total institutional inflows of S$61.5 million, according to SGX data. This comprised inflows of S$50.3 million, S$9.0 million, and S$2.2 million for January, February and March 2019 respectively.

Geographical Diversity

The 20 largest capitalised Consumer Staples stocks on SGX have a combined market cap of more than S$80 billion and are well-diversified – both in terms of product range as well as geographical spread. The majority of these players report more than half their revenues to the Asia Pacific and/or global markets, excluding Singapore.

In the 2019 year-to-date, these 20 largest Consumer Staples stocks have averaged a total return of +12.9%, bringing their one-year and three-year total returns to -1.4% and +22.6% respectively. They have also averaged a price-earnings ratio of 24.5x and a dividend indicated yield of 2.5%.

Among the 20, the five best performers in the YTD were: Indofood Agri Resources (+46.6%), QAF Ltd (+44.4%), Thai Beverage PCL (+38.0%), Golden Agri-Resources (+20.4%), and First Resources (+19.5%). They have averaged a YTD total return of +33.8%.

Note that earlier this month, Jakarta Stock Exchange-listed PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk, controlled by Indonesian tycoon Anthoni Salim, offered S$0.28 per share to take Indofood Agri Resources private.

The table below details the 20 largest Consumer Staples stocks on SGX, sorted by YTD total return.

<table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td>
			Name
			</td>
			<td>
			SGX Code
			</td>
			<td>
			Market Cap (S$M)
			</td>
			<td>
			Total Return YTD (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			Total Return 1Y (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			Total Return 3Y (%)
			</td>
			<td>
			P/E (x)
			</td>
			<td>
			Div Ind Yld (%)
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			INDOFOOD AGRI RESOURCES*
			</td>
			<td>
			5JS
			</td>
			<td>
			391
			</td>
			<td>
			46.6
			</td>
			<td>
			-10.5
			</td>
			<td>
			-49.0
			</td>
			<td>
			NA
			</td>
			<td>
			2.5
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			QAF LTD
			</td>
			<td>
			Q01
			</td>
			<td>
			492
			</td>
			<td>
			44.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-14.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-9.3
			</td>
			<td>
			59.5
			</td>
			<td>
			5.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			THAI BEVERAGE PCL
			</td>
			<td>
			Y92
			</td>
			<td>
			20,719
			</td>
			<td>
			38.0
			</td>
			<td>
			6.1
			</td>
			<td>
			27.9
			</td>
			<td>
			21.2
			</td>
			<td>
			2.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES
			</td>
			<td>
			E5H
			</td>
			<td>
			3,757
			</td>
			<td>
			20.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-15.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-26.9
			</td>
			<td>
			NA
			</td>
			<td>
			2.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			FIRST RESOURCES
			</td>
			<td>
			EB5
			</td>
			<td>
			2,931
			</td>
			<td>
			19.5
			</td>
			<td>
			15.5
			</td>
			<td>
			0.8
			</td>
			<td>
			17.9
			</td>
			<td>
			1.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			WILMAR INTL
			</td>
			<td>
			F34
			</td>
			<td>
			23,034
			</td>
			<td>
			17.3
			</td>
			<td>
			17.8
			</td>
			<td>
			11.1
			</td>
			<td>
			14.8
			</td>
			<td>
			2.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			BUMITAMA AGRI
			</td>
			<td>
			P8Z
			</td>
			<td>
			1,251
			</td>
			<td>
			16.9
			</td>
			<td>
			4.8
			</td>
			<td>
			-6.8
			</td>
			<td>
			12.0
			</td>
			<td>
			3.8
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			OLAM INTL
			</td>
			<td>
			O32
			</td>
			<td>
			6,094
			</td>
			<td>
			15.8
			</td>
			<td>
			-13.7
			</td>
			<td>
			22.7
			</td>
			<td>
			21.0
			</td>
			<td>
			3.9
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			YEO HIAP SENG
			</td>
			<td>
			Y03
			</td>
			<td>
			568
			</td>
			<td>
			12.0
			</td>
			<td>
			-11.7
			</td>
			<td>
			-22.1
			</td>
			<td>
			47.3
			</td>
			<td>
			2.0
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			MEWAH INTL
			</td>
			<td>
			MV4
			</td>
			<td>
			420
			</td>
			<td>
			10.0
			</td>
			<td>
			-4.7
			</td>
			<td>
			2.3
			</td>
			<td>
			20.6
			</td>
			<td>
			2.4
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			DEL MONTE PACIFIC
			</td>
			<td>
			D03
			</td>
			<td>
			276
			</td>
			<td>
			8.8
			</td>
			<td>
			-39.6
			</td>
			<td>
			-54.0
			</td>
			<td>
			11.9
			</td>
			<td>
			NA
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS
			</td>
			<td>
			F03
			</td>
			<td>
			291
			</td>
			<td>
			6.7
			</td>
			<td>
			-15.1
			</td>
			<td>
			126.4
			</td>
			<td>
			12.2
			</td>
			<td>
			1.2
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			JB FOODS
			</td>
			<td>
			BEW
			</td>
			<td>
			188
			</td>
			<td>
			4.8
			</td>
			<td>
			13.7
			</td>
			<td>
			224.7
			</td>
			<td>
			5.1
			</td>
			<td>
			3.3
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			OLD CHANG KEE
			</td>
			<td>
			5ML
			</td>
			<td>
			96
			</td>
			<td>
			4.6
			</td>
			<td>
			8.8
			</td>
			<td>
			41.0
			</td>
			<td>
			18.6
			</td>
			<td>
			3.8
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			DELFI LTD
			</td>
			<td>
			P34
			</td>
			<td>
			856
			</td>
			<td>
			4.5
			</td>
			<td>
			-6.3
			</td>
			<td>
			-41.6
			</td>
			<td>
			29.8
			</td>
			<td>
			1.6
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			BREADTALK GROUP
			</td>
			<td>
			CTN
			</td>
			<td>
			476
			</td>
			<td>
			3.7
			</td>
			<td>
			-10.1
			</td>
			<td>
			79.3
			</td>
			<td>
			39.2
			</td>
			<td>
			1.8
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			FRASER &amp; NEAVE
			</td>
			<td>
			F99
			</td>
			<td>
			4,131
			</td>
			<td>
			3.6
			</td>
			<td>
			-2.1
			</td>
			<td>
			64.3
			</td>
			<td>
			19.9
			</td>
			<td>
			2.5
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			SHENG SIONG GROUP
			</td>
			<td>
			OV8
			</td>
			<td>
			1,579
			</td>
			<td>
			-1.9
			</td>
			<td>
			5.3
			</td>
			<td>
			32.9
			</td>
			<td>
			22.1
			</td>
			<td>
			3.3
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			JAPFA LTD
			</td>
			<td>
			UD2
			</td>
			<td>
			1,287
			</td>
			<td>
			-5.5
			</td>
			<td>
			43.8
			</td>
			<td>
			2.6
			</td>
			<td>
			8.9
			</td>
			<td>
			0.7
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			DAIRY FARM INTL
			</td>
			<td>
			D01
			</td>
			<td>
			14,320
			</td>
			<td>
			-11.4
			</td>
			<td>
			-0.5
			</td>
			<td>
			26.1
			</td>
			<td>
			116.3
			</td>
			<td>
			2.7
			</td>
		</tr>
<tr>
<td>
			Average
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			 
			</td>
			<td>
			12.9
			</td>
			<td>
			-1.4
			</td>
			<td>
			22.6
			</td>
			<td>
			24.9
			</td>
			<td>
			2.5
			</td>
		</tr>
</tbody></table>
Source: Bloomberg &amp; StockFacts (data as of 22 April 2019)

*privatisation offer announced by parent

SGX lists more than 140 consumer stocks with a combined market capitalisation of over S$135 billion. More than 40 of these belong to the Consumer Staples sector, while the remainder are classified under the Consumer Discretionary segment. The retail and distribution of packaged foods and meats, production of agricultural goods, as well as beverage producers like soft drink makers and breweries, fall under the Consumer Staples sector.

Defensive Nature

Given the backdrop of slower global growth and increased macro risks, analysts have recommended investors to focus on sectors with robust balance sheets, stable earnings and decent valuations. In a <a href="https://api2.sgx.com/sites/default/files/2019-04/SG_Consumer_Sector%20Update_20190405_RHB.pdf">report</a> published earlier this month, RHB Research maintained its overweight rating on the Consumer space, pointing to “pockets of opportunities” in companies with strong attributes. “We continue to favour players with market exposure to the region that are likely to benefit from stronger GDP growth and higher domestic consumption,” the brokerage added.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its global growth outlook to the lowest rate since the Global Financial Crisis, forecasting 3.3% growth in 2019, down from a 3.5% projection made in January. In its latest World Economic Outlook <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2019/03/28/world-economic-outlook-april-2019">report</a>, the agency cited downside risks from ongoing global trade tensions, as well as a slowdown in several major economies, including the Eurozone, Latin America, the US and the UK.
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In 1Q2019, Consumer Staples was the second-best performing sector with +13.9% total return, reversing the -2.9% total return in calendar year 2018. It was also amongst the top net buy sectors for the quarter, garnering total institutional inflows of S$61.5 million. 
	 
	
The 20 largest capitalised Consumer Staples stocks on SGX have a combined market cap of more than S$80 billion, and are well-diversified – both in terms of product range as well as geographical spread. The majority of these players report more than half their revenues to the Asia Pacific and/or global markets, excluding Singapore.  
	 
	Among the 20, the five best performers in the YTD were: Indofood Agri Resources (+46.6%), QAF Ltd (+44.4%), Thai Beverage PCL (+38.0%), Golden Agri-Resources (+20.4%), and First Resources (+19.5%). They averaged a YTD total return of +33.8%.

Second-Best Performing Sector in 1Q19

In the first quarter of 2019, Consumer Staples was the second-best performing sector on SGX with a total return of +13.9%, after Information Technology’s +28.6% total return. Consumer Staples’ strong performance in 1Q19 also reverses the -2.9% total return it generated in calendar year 2018.

Consumer Staples was also among the top net buy sectors for the January-March quarter, garnering total institutional inflows of S$61.5 million, according to SGX data. This comprised inflows of S$50.3 million, S$9.0 million, and S$2.2 million for January, February and March 2019 respectively.

Geographical Diversity

The 20 largest capitalised Consumer Staples stocks on SGX have a combined market cap of more than S$80 billion and are well-diversified – both in terms of product range as well as geographical spread. The majority of these players report more than half their revenues to the Asia Pacific and/or global markets, excluding Singapore.

In the 2019 year-to-date, these 20 largest Consumer Staples stocks have averaged a total return of +12.9%, bringing their one-year and three-year total returns to -1.4% and +22.6% respectively. They have also averaged a price-earnings ratio of 24.5x and a dividend indicated yield of 2.5%.

Among the 20, the five best performers in the YTD were: Indofood Agri Resources (+46.6%), QAF Ltd (+44.4%), Thai Beverage PCL (+38.0%), Golden Agri-Resources (+20.4%), and First Resources (+19.5%). They have averaged a YTD total return of +33.8%.

Note that earlier this month, Jakarta Stock Exchange-listed PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk, controlled by Indonesian tycoon Anthoni Salim, offered S$0.28 per share to take Indofood Agri Resources private.

The table below details the 20 largest Consumer Staples stocks on SGX, sorted by YTD total return.




			Name
			
			
			SGX Code
			
			
			Market Cap (S$M)
			
			
			Total Return YTD (%)
			
			
			Total Return 1Y (%)
			
			
			Total Return 3Y (%)
			
			
			P/E (x)
			
			
			Div Ind Yld (%)
			
		


			INDOFOOD AGRI RESOURCES*
			
			
			5JS
			
			
			391
			
			
			46.6
			
			
			-10.5
			
			
			-49.0
			
			
			NA
			
			
			2.5
			
		


			QAF LTD
			
			
			Q01
			
			
			492
			
			
			44.4
			
			
			-14.4
			
			
			-9.3
			
			
			59.5
			
			
			5.9
			
		


			THAI BEVERAGE PCL
			
			
			Y92
			
			
			20,719
			
			
			38.0
			
			
			6.1
			
			
			27.9
			
			
			21.2
			
			
			2.0
			
		


			GOLDEN AGRI-RESOURCES
			
			
			E5H
			
			
			3,757
			
			
			20.4
			
			
			-15.4
			
			
			-26.9
			
			
			NA
			
			
			2.0
			
		


			FIRST RESOURCES
			
			
			EB5
			
			
			2,931
			
			
			19.5
			
			
			15.5
			
			
			0.8
			
			
			17.9
			
			
			1.9
			
		


			WILMAR INTL
			
			
			F34
			
			
			23,034
			
			
			17.3
			
			
			17.8
			
			
			11.1
			
			
			14.8
			
			
			2.9
			
		


			BUMITAMA AGRI
			
			
			P8Z
			
			
			1,251
			
			
			16.9
			
			
			4.8
			
			
			-6.8
			
			
			12.0
			
			
			3.8
			
		


			OLAM INTL
			
			
			O32
			
			
			6,094
			
			
			15.8
			
			
			-13.7
			
			
			22.7
			
			
			21.0
			
			
			3.9
			
		


			YEO HIAP SENG
			
			
			Y03
			
			
			568
			
			
			12.0
			
			
			-11.7
			
			
			-22.1
			
			
			47.3
			
			
			2.0
			
		


			MEWAH INTL
			
			
			MV4
			
			
			420
			
			
			10.0
			
			
			-4.7
			
			
			2.3
			
			
			20.6
			
			
			2.4
			
		


			DEL MONTE PACIFIC
			
			
			D03
			
			
			276
			
			
			8.8
			
			
			-39.6
			
			
			-54.0
			
			
			11.9
			
			
			NA
			
		


			FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS
			
			
			F03
			
			
			291
			
			
			6.7
			
			
			-15.1
			
			
			126.4
			
			
			12.2
			
			
			1.2
			
		


			JB FOODS
			
			
			BEW
			
			
			188
			
			
			4.8
			
			
			13.7
			
			
			224.7
			
			
			5.1
			
			
			3.3
			
		


			OLD CHANG KEE
			
			
			5ML
			
			
			96
			
			
			4.6
			
			
			8.8
			
			
			41.0
			
			
			18.6
			
			
			3.8
			
		


			DELFI LTD
			
			
			P34
			
			
			856
			
			
			4.5
			
			
			-6.3
			
			
			-41.6
			
			
			29.8
			
			
			1.6
			
		


			BREADTALK GROUP
			
			
			CTN
			
			
			476
			
			
			3.7
			
			
			-10.1
			
			
			79.3
			
			
			39.2
			
			
			1.8
			
		


			FRASER &amp; NEAVE
			
			
			F99
			
			
			4,131
			
			
			3.6
			
			
			-2.1
			
			
			64.3
			
			
			19.9
			
			
			2.5
			
		


			SHENG SIONG GROUP
			
			
			OV8
			
			
			1,579
			
			
			-1.9
			
			
			5.3
			
			
			32.9
			
			
			22.1
			
			
			3.3
			
		


			JAPFA LTD
			
			
			UD2
			
			
			1,287
			
			
			-5.5
			
			
			43.8
			
			
			2.6
			
			
			8.9
			
			
			0.7
			
		


			DAIRY FARM INTL
			
			
			D01
			
			
			14,320
			
			
			-11.4
			
			
			-0.5
			
			
			26.1
			
			
			116.3
			
			
			2.7
			
		


			Average
			
			
			 
			
			
			 
			
			
			12.9
			
			
			-1.4
			
			
			22.6
			
			
			24.9
			
			
			2.5
			
		

Source: Bloomberg &amp; StockFacts (data as of 22 April 2019)

*privatisation offer announced by parent

SGX lists more than 140 consumer stocks with a combined market capitalisation of over S$135 billion. More than 40 of these belong to the Consumer Staples sector, while the remainder are classified under the Consumer Discretionary segment. The retail and distribution of packaged foods and meats, production of agricultural goods, as well as beverage producers like soft drink makers and breweries, fall under the Consumer Staples sector.

Defensive Nature

Given the backdrop of slower global growth and increased macro risks, analysts have recommended investors to focus on sectors with robust balance sheets, stable earnings and decent valuations. In a report published earlier this month, RHB Research maintained its overweight rating on the Consumer space, pointing to “pockets of opportunities” in companies with strong attributes. “We continue to favour players with market exposure to the region that are likely to benefit from stronger GDP growth and higher domestic consumption,” the brokerage added.

Earlier this month, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its global growth outlook to the lowest rate since the Global Financial Crisis, forecasting 3.3% growth in 2019, down from a 3.5% projection made in January. In its latest World Economic Outlook report, the agency cited downside risks from ongoing global trade tensions, as well as a slowdown in several major economies, including the Eurozone, Latin America, the US and the UK.



Singapore’s Largest Consumer Staples Stocks Returned 34% in YTD

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10 Biggest Food & Beverage Stocks with a Manufacturing Business

Equity Bottom-Up

Melvin Teo is a seasoned troubleshooter who thrives on pressure.
Thirteen months ago, the veteran banker took on the role of Chief Executive Officer of Singapore-listed Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd because he was intrigued by the challenges facing the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry.
"Even now, I get calls from people asking: Am I here to dress up the company for a sale? Or is it time for me to return to banking after taking a year's break? The truth is actually very far from these scenarios," Teo said with a chuckle.
After more than 20 years in banking - almost half of that time with DBS Bank, handling functions ranging from front, middle and back office, Teo was contemplating the idea of a career switch.

Melvin Teo is a seasoned troubleshooter who thrives on pressure.
Thirteen months ago, the veteran banker took on the role of Chief Executive Officer of Singapore-listed Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd because he was intrigued by the challenges facing the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry.
"Even now, I get calls from people asking: Am I here to dress up the company for a sale? Or is it time for me to return to banking after taking a year's break? The truth is actually very far from these scenarios," Teo said with a chuckle.
After more than 20 years in banking - almost half of that time with DBS Bank, handling functions ranging from front, middle and back office, Teo was contemplating the idea of a career switch.

Yeo's Creates New Brews to Please Evolving Palates

Singapore

Yeo Hiap Seng Limited manufactures, distributes, and exports canned food, sauces, and non-alcoholic beverages.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company also rents beverage vending machines.  Yeo Hiap Seng develops and invests in properties.

Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)

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10 Biggest Food & Beverage Stocks with a Manufacturing Business

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Yeo's Creates New Brews to Please Evolving Palates

Melvin Teo is a seasoned troubleshooter who thrives on pressure. Thirteen months ago, the veteran banker took on the role of Chief Executive...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)