Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market breadth stays strong despite market pullback in November.  Mainland investors continue to increase exposure to HK market through Southbound Connect platform.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> , the global leader in Robotaxis, was granted a license to start operating its autonomous cars in Hong Kong.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a> shares surged on takeover rumours after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a> increased its stake to more than 12% allowing them to call a Board meeting.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market breadth stays strong despite market pullback in November.  Mainland investors continue to increase exposure to HK market through Southbound Connect platform.

Baidu (9888 HK) , Baidu (BIDU US) , the global leader in Robotaxis, was granted a license to start operating its autonomous cars in Hong Kong.


Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK) shares surged on takeover rumours after Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP) increased its stake to more than 12% allowing them to call a Board meeting.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 2)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>’s shares surged 19.5% on speculation that billionaire Philip Ng will launch a takeover offer due to recent share purchases.  </li>
<li>Philip Ng’s stakebuilding suggests three potential outcomes. The likely near-term outcome is that he continues to nudge up his stake and potentially seek Board representation.</li>
<li>Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as Vitasoy’s valuation looked frothy at the last close.  </li>
</ul>



Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)’s shares surged 19.5% on speculation that billionaire Philip Ng will launch a takeover offer due to recent share purchases.  
Philip Ng’s stakebuilding suggests three potential outcomes. The likely near-term outcome is that he continues to nudge up his stake and potentially seek Board representation.
Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as Vitasoy’s valuation looked frothy at the last close.  


Vitasoy (345 HK): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Mounts

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial / Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH)</a>, a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136692" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/baicha-baidao-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136734" rel="noopener">Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (SCBCBDID CH), a leading freshly made tea drinks company, has launched an HKEx IPO to raise US$330 million. The shares will be listed on 23 April.
We previously discussed the IPO in Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bull Case and Baicha Baidao IPO: The Bear Case. 
There are no cornerstone investors. Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

Analyst

Steve

<ul>
<li>Since my previous insight on March 5, the share price is up 32% in less than a month.</li>
<li>The company reported 2023 results on March 26, as net profit was up 15% yoy while sales growth was flat for the year. </li>
<li>The company also announced a strong dividend payout ratio of 90% compared to below 30% previously, making the dividend yield of the stock at 6%. </li>
</ul>


Since my previous insight on March 5, the share price is up 32% in less than a month.
The company reported 2023 results on March 26, as net profit was up 15% yoy while sales growth was flat for the year. 
The company also announced a strong dividend payout ratio of 90% compared to below 30% previously, making the dividend yield of the stock at 6%. 


Yihai International (1579 HK):  Time To Take Profit

China

Yihai International Holding Ltd. is primarily engaged in the research, development, manufacturing, distribution, and sales of compound condiments. The company's key products include hot pot soup flavorings, hot pot dipping sauces, chicken essence, Chinese-style compound condiments, and convenient ready-to-eat food products like self-serving small hot pots and instant rice. These products are sold under brands such as Haidilao and Magic Cook. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2005.

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Yihai International (1579 HK)

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 2)

Hong Kong market breadth is high as mainland investors continue buy HK shares. Baidu, the largest Robotaxi operator was granted license to operate...

David Mudd

Vitasoy (345 HK): Take Profits as Takeover Speculation Mounts

Without the Lo family's support, a scheme privatisation is impossible. While a voluntary conditional offer is possible, it isn't very likely, as...

Arun George

Baicha Baidao (2555 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that Baicha is fairly valued at the HK$17.50 IPO price. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Apr 3rd): Tencent, Bank Of China, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent Holdings, Bank Of China, Xiaomi.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yihai International (1579 HK): Time To Take Profit

The company reported 2023 results on March 26, as net profit was up 15% yoy while sales growth was flat for the year. The company also announced a...

Steve

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