Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Low-Cost retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO (9896 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0923/2024092301478.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake</a> in supermarket chain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui (601933 CH)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI (DFI SP)</a> and two units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.</li>
<li>Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “<a href="https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/miniso-spends-us890-million-to-challenge-sams-club-in-china/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">With a brave heart, start a new world!</a>”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost retailer MINISO (9896 HK) has entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake in supermarket chain Yonghui (601933 CH) from DFI (DFI SP) and two units of JD.com (9618 HK). 
Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.
Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “With a brave heart, start a new world!”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.


DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO</a>'s  acquisition of a 29.4% stake in the loss-making supermarket chain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui</a>  for USD 890 million has been viewed negatively by investors, leading to a sharp decline in Miniso's stock.</li>
<li>The deal's size, combined with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH)</a> unprofitable track record and   <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO(9896 HK)</a> 's unexpected move into the low-margin, highly competitive supermarket space, has likely fueled investor concerns.</li>
<li>However, we believe the acquisition provides Miniso with a strategic opportunity for growth and diversification to a sector that remains vital in the offline retail landscape at undemanding valuations.  </li>
</ul>



MINISO's  acquisition of a 29.4% stake in the loss-making supermarket chain Yonghui  for USD 890 million has been viewed negatively by investors, leading to a sharp decline in Miniso's stock.
The deal's size, combined with Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH) unprofitable track record and   MINISO(9896 HK) 's unexpected move into the low-margin, highly competitive supermarket space, has likely fueled investor concerns.
However, we believe the acquisition provides Miniso with a strategic opportunity for growth and diversification to a sector that remains vital in the offline retail landscape at undemanding valuations.  


MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Index Rebalance

Hainan Airport Infrastructure / Index Rebalance

Hainan Airport Infrastructure (600515 CH)

<ul>
<li>After market close on Friday 24th November 2023, the December 2023 index review results for CSI 300/500 and SSE 50/180 were announced.</li>
<li>CSI 300 and CSI will have 14 and 50 changes while SSE 50 and SSE 180 will have 5 and 18 changes respectively. There are many overlapping flows.</li>
<li>In this insight, I have presented the details of the index changes and aggregated the expected flows attributable to the four indices mentioned above.</li>
</ul>


After market close on Friday 24th November 2023, the December 2023 index review results for CSI 300/500 and SSE 50/180 were announced.
CSI 300 and CSI will have 14 and 50 changes while SSE 50 and SSE 180 will have 5 and 18 changes respectively. There are many overlapping flows.
In this insight, I have presented the details of the index changes and aggregated the expected flows attributable to the four indices mentioned above.


Quiddity Aggregation of CSI300/500 and SSE50/180 Index Flows for Dec 2023: US$4.2bn One-Way!

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple fired five employees of China App Store for corruption.</li>
<li>Yonghui follows Alibaba's Freshippo outlets to open discounted stores this year.</li>
<li>JD.com sued 44 companies and 3 persons for abusing JD’s trademark.</li>
</ul>


Apple fired five employees of China App Store for corruption.
Yonghui follows Alibaba's Freshippo outlets to open discounted stores this year.
JD.com sued 44 companies and 3 persons for abusing JD’s trademark.


China Internet Weekly (23 Oct 2023): AAPL, Alibaba, JD.com

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A / Index Rebalance

Jiangxi Special Electric Motor A (002176 CH)

<ul>
<li>Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Three quarters of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 11.47% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 10.11bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last few weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

China

Yonghui Superstores Company Limited operates supermarket franchises . The Company mainly operates hypermarkets, marketplace and supermarkets.

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Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH)

DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

DFI doesn't appear too demanding here; but has already run up ~9% on the news. I 'd get involved on any weakness. JMH does look attractive here....

David Blennerhassett

MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?

Acquisition upsides worth considering - inexpensive valuation for a supermarket chain with turnaround potential, diversification to a segment that...

Devi Subhakesan

Quiddity Aggregation of CSI300/500 and SSE50/180 Index Flows for Dec 2023: US$4.2bn One-Way!

Large Mainland China index flows coming up. I expect the CSI300/500 and the SSE50/180 Inclusion and Exclusion events to take place at the close of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China Internet Weekly (23 Oct 2023): AAPL, Alibaba, JD.com

Apple fired five employees of China App Store for corruption. Yonghui follow Alibaba to open discounted stores. JD.com sued companies and persons...

Ming Lu

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continuing to Outperform

We forecast 50 changes a side at the June rebal leading to a one-way turnover of 11.47% & in a one-way trade of CNY 10bn. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

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