Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Must Asset Management, a 3% shareholder of Young Poong (000670 KS), started to go activist on the company on 5 February.</li>
<li>Based on current market cap, this would represent a P/B of 0.2x using the consolidated controlling interest equity of 3.9 trillion won!</li>
<li>There is some speculation that Must Asset Mgmt may form an alliance with Chairman Choi’s family as it proposed to Young Poong to recommend outside directors.</li>
</ul>


Must Asset Management, a 3% shareholder of Young Poong (000670 KS), started to go activist on the company on 5 February.
Based on current market cap, this would represent a P/B of 0.2x using the consolidated controlling interest equity of 3.9 trillion won!
There is some speculation that Must Asset Mgmt may form an alliance with Chairman Choi’s family as it proposed to Young Poong to recommend outside directors.


Must Asset Mgmt Goes Activist on Young Poong

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.</li>
<li>Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. </li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 4Q 2024.
Volatility has been high in the Korean stock market in the past several weeks resulting in some interesting widening of some gaps among numerous holdcos and opcos in Korea. 
Of the 38 pair trades, 19 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months and the other 19 opcos outperforming holdcos in the same period. 


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

<ul>
<li>We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150% higher than current price.</li>
<li>Some traders have been positioning for Young Poong to be deleted from the KOSPI200 in the next round of rebalancing. Young Poong is not likely to be deleted from KOSPI200.</li>
<li>We also provide three potential scenarios of the Choi family's strategy to fight back to gain control of Korea Zinc.</li>
</ul>


We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150% higher than current price.
Some traders have been positioning for Young Poong to be deleted from the KOSPI200 in the next round of rebalancing. Young Poong is not likely to be deleted from KOSPI200.
We also provide three potential scenarios of the Choi family's strategy to fight back to gain control of Korea Zinc.


NAV Analysis of Young Poong and Three Potential Scenarios of Choi Family's Strategy to Fight Back

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

HD Hyundai Marine Solution  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> in June. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-cns-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35945:1" rel="noopener">LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS)</a> listing could increase that number.</li>
<li>The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.</li>
</ul>


Halfway through the review period, there could be 6 changes for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) in June. The LG CNS (LGCNSZ KS) listing could increase that number.
The impact on the potential inclusions ranges from 2.1-26 days of ADV while the impact on the potential deletions varies from 5-11 days of ADV.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few months and the performance gap is near its widest point.


KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 February.</li>
<li>The top 10 stock picks include Orion Holdings, OCI Holdings, Hana Tour Service, Hyundai Motor, KT Corp, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, Korean Air, Hankook T&amp;T, Young Poong, and NICE Info Service.</li>
<li>Our top 10 Korean stock picks from 17 to 31 January are up on average 2.6%, outperforming KOSPI which is down 0.1% in the same period. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provide the top 10 stocks picks in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 February.
The top 10 stock picks include Orion Holdings, OCI Holdings, Hana Tour Service, Hyundai Motor, KT Corp, Samsung F&amp;M Insurance, Korean Air, Hankook T&amp;T, Young Poong, and NICE Info Service.
Our top 10 Korean stock picks from 17 to 31 January are up on average 2.6%, outperforming KOSPI which is down 0.1% in the same period. 


Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly (3 February 2025)

South Korea

Young Poong Corporation produces and markets non-ferrous metals, such as zinc ingots, sulfate, and cadmium.  The Company also generates income from leasing buildings.

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Young Poong (000670 KS)

Must Asset Mgmt Goes Activist on Young Poong

Must Asset Management, a 3% shareholder of Young Poong (000670 KS), started to go activist on the company on 5 February.

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 4Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

NAV Analysis of Young Poong and Three Potential Scenarios of Choi Family's Strategy to Fight Back

We have significantly raised the NAV of Young Poong to 965,193 won (up 105% than previously). Our current NAV estimate of the company is 150%...

Douglas Kim

KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: 6 Potential Changes in June; LG CNS Listing Could Increase That

There could be 6 changes for the KOSPI200 in June. The LG CNS listing tomorrow could increase that number. The forecast adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Top 10 Korean Stock Picks Bi-Weekly (3 February 2025)

We provide the top 10 stocks picks in the Korean stock market for the two weeks starting 3 February. Our top 10 Korean stock picks from 17 to 31...

Douglas Kim

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