Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.</li></ul><ul><li>Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.</li><li>The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.</li></ul>

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance will test its limits.Traditional suppliers are losing export availability, giving Asian producers more room to meet requirements in the US, Europe and other overseas markets.The response spans the region, with South Korea, Taiwan, India, Singapore and China all sending cargoes beyond Asia.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Credit

<ul>
<li>The LatAm Corporate Index widened by 4 bps to 317 bps in the week ended Wednesday, January 15, 2025. </li>
<li>YPF Priced $1.1bn Bond Due 2034 at 8.5% Yield. PEMEX Commits to Settling Supplier Debts by March</li>
<li>Moody’s Upgrades Ratings of Argentine Non-Financial Companies Following Country Ceiling Adjustment</li>
</ul>


The LatAm Corporate Index widened by 4 bps to 317 bps in the week ended Wednesday, January 15, 2025. 
YPF Priced $1.1bn Bond Due 2034 at 8.5% Yield. PEMEX Commits to Settling Supplier Debts by March
Moody’s Upgrades Ratings of Argentine Non-Financial Companies Following Country Ceiling Adjustment


<ul><li>Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension of those shipments to Europe and the Americas</li></ul><ul><li>Asia's summer surplus is smaller than usual as open arbitrage kept more barrels moving to the Americas and Europe.</li><li>Cargoes that loaded in July and August are now reaching those destinations, partially offsetting tighter US and Middle East supply.</li></ul>

Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension of those shipments to Europe and the AmericasAsia's summer surplus is smaller than usual as open arbitrage kept more barrels moving to the Americas and Europe.Cargoes that loaded in July and August are now reaching those destinations, partially offsetting tighter US and Middle East supply.

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 18 Sep '26

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

William Demant Holding A/S / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.</li>
<li>No reason to be anything but bullish if ACWI-US is above its 2-month base at $158-$159, ACWX-US is above $76-$76.50, and EFA-US is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50.</li>
<li>These levels are being tested now; we expect these levels to hold, and we would get more cautious if they break.</li>
</ul>


Our global intermediate-term outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI (in place since our 5/14/25 Compass). We also remain near-term bullish on MSCI ACWI since our 4/23/26 Int’l Compass.
No reason to be anything but bullish if ACWI-US is above its 2-month base at $158-$159, ACWX-US is above $76-$76.50, and EFA-US is above its 6-month base at $105-$105.50.
These levels are being tested now; we expect these levels to hold, and we would get more cautious if they break.


MSCI ACWI Testing Base Support; Focus on Non-A.I. Areas: Energy, Shipping, Healthcare,Software,Telco

<ul><li>A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a likely destination.</li><li>A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan at end-August headed to India, with arrival due this week.</li><li>A large cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan at end-July headed to the US Gulf coast, with arrival due in late-September.</li></ul>

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a likely destination.A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan at end-August headed to India, with arrival due this week.A large cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades loaded from Taiwan at end-July headed to the US Gulf coast, with arrival due in late-September.

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 18 September

Argentina

YPF Sociedad Anonima is involved in the exploration, development and production of crude oil, natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas. The Company also refines, markets, and distributes oil alongside its derivatives YPF generates nearly all of its revenue inside Argentina, and has headquarters in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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YPF SA (YPF US)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance...

Base Oil News

EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.

Leandro Gubler

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 18 Sep '26

Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension...

Base Oil News

MSCI ACWI Testing Base Support; Focus on Non-A.I. Areas: Energy, Shipping, Healthcare,Software,Telco

MSCI $ACWI Testing Base Support ($158-$159 and $156.50); Focusing on Non-A.I. Areas. Actionable Themes: Energy, Marine Shipping, Services, Health...

Vermilion Research

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 18 September

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 25 Sep '26

Asia's spare capacity is filling gaps left by tighter US, European and Middle East supply, but recovering demand and fourth-quarter maintenance...

Base Oil News

EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

​LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.

Leandro Gubler

Base Oils and Lubricants: Weekly Global Market Review - 18 Sep '26

Asian base oils exports have reduced the summer surplus in the region, with recovering demand and upcoming maintenance complicating any extension...

Base Oil News

MSCI ACWI Testing Base Support; Focus on Non-A.I. Areas: Energy, Shipping, Healthcare,Software,Telco

MSCI $ACWI Testing Base Support ($158-$159 and $156.50); Focusing on Non-A.I. Areas. Actionable Themes: Energy, Marine Shipping, Services, Health...

Vermilion Research

Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 18 September

A larger-than-usual cargo with a combination of Group II light and heavy grades was set to load from Taiwan in the coming days, with India a...

Base Oil News

LatAm Corporate Index widens, YPF prices $1.1bn bond, PEMEX commits to settling debts, Moody's upgrades Argentine companies.