External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s Politburo meeting called for research on destocking measures, a topic that has not been mentioned on this level’s meeting since 2016.</li><li>The Ministry of Natural Resource (MNR) requested cities with high inventory to suspend residential land supply.</li><li>Chengdu fully removed its home purchase limit despite it is the top performer on both property sales and home price among major cities.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s Politburo meeting called for research on destocking measures, a topic that has not been mentioned on this level’s meeting since 2016.The Ministry of Natural Resource (MNR) requested cities with high inventory to suspend residential land supply.Chengdu fully removed its home purchase limit despite it is the top performer on both property sales and home price among major cities.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Hope +ve Policy Tone and Better Trading Sentiment to Help Fundamental Recovery

<ul><li>NBS property data in 1Q24 remained sluggish but was well expected by the market.</li><li>REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if excluding this impact.</li><li>The decline of property sales value narrowed a bit more than decline in sales volume, reflecting a 1.4% hike in ASP as more supply was from higher tier cities with higher ASP in Mar. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS property data in 1Q24 remained sluggish but was well expected by the market.REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if excluding this impact.The decline of property sales value narrowed a bit more than decline in sales volume, reflecting a 1.4% hike in ASP as more supply was from higher tier cities with higher ASP in Mar. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - NBS 1Q24: Weakness Was Well Expected, Expecting More Financing-Side Policies

<ul><li>Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market.</li><li>The company explained the financing challenge it currently faces during the analyst briefing and we believe the openness should help it gain more assistance.</li><li>Demand-side relaxation continued with BJ and SZ taking small moves while the practical impact might be limited. High-frequency data showed a strong WoW recovery in new home market at the month end while the YoY decline remained deep at -47%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market.The company explained the financing challenge it currently faces during the analyst briefing and we believe the openness should help it gain more assistance.Demand-side relaxation continued with BJ and SZ taking small moves while the practical impact might be limited. High-frequency data showed a strong WoW recovery in new home market at the month end while the YoY decline remained deep at -47%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Strong WoW recovery at Mar end, policy relaxation continued

<ul><li>Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with sound fundamentals experienced an uptick.</li><li>We interpret this as an indication that the market is gradually absorbing the information regarding the potential unforeseen impacts of the implementation of financing-side policies – the project whitelist.</li><li>We think the policy intention is to prevent adding new names to the defaulted list and avoid banks to withdraw project funding only based on risk at developers’ group level regardless of project quality, which caused more construction halting. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with sound fundamentals experienced an uptick.We interpret this as an indication that the market is gradually absorbing the information regarding the potential unforeseen impacts of the implementation of financing-side policies – the project whitelist.We think the policy intention is to prevent adding new names to the defaulted list and avoid banks to withdraw project funding only based on risk at developers’ group level regardless of project quality, which caused more construction halting. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property – Which Projects in Whitelist Are More Likely to Obtain Incremental Loans?

<ul><li>The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.</li><li>Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.</li><li>Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline narrowed to -6.5%/-9.6% YoY (-12.5/-16.5% excluding base adjustment impact) from -26.7/- 10% in 2022，still in bottoming process.Looking into 2024, we believe the recovery in new home market will still take time.Sales and investments may show a continuous fall at -4/-9% YoY in our view, considering the diminishing policy effect, developers’ debt issue which may squeeze purchase demand to secondary market, low land acquisition in 2023 which may result in a lower level of quality saleable resource, and higher affordable housing supply which may lead to less demand for commercial housing. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

Hong Kong

Yuexiu Property is a comprehensive real estate developer engaged in property development, investment, and management across residential, commercial, and industrial sectors. The company develops and sells residential properties, operates and leases commercial spaces, and provides property management services. Headquartered in Guangzhou, Guangdong, China, it was established in 1983.

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Yuexiu Property (123 HK)

Property - Hope +ve Policy Tone and Better Trading Sentiment to Help Fundamental Recovery

China’s Politburo meeting called for research on destocking measures, a topic that has not been mentioned on this level’s meeting since 2016.

CMB International

Property - NBS 1Q24: Weakness Was Well Expected, Expecting More Financing-Side Policies

REI decline widened to 9.5% from -9.0% in 2M24 even though continued base adjustment lowered the number in 1Q23 by 6%. REI was at - 15% if...

CMB International

Property - Weekly highlight: Strong WoW recovery at Mar end, policy relaxation continued

Vanke’s H/A shares shed 13%/5% yesterday as another wave of negative news flooded the market. The company explained the financing challenge it...

CMB International

China Property – Which Projects in Whitelist Are More Likely to Obtain Incremental Loans?

Last Friday, developer names saw mixed performance. In contrast to speculating on defaulted names previously, it is worth noting that stocks with...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Dec data in line, still in bottoming process

The NBS (National Bureau of Statistics) property data was in-line in December 2023, the full year property sales value/property investment decline...

CMB International

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